Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Saying that LLMs are what Google should've done for search but they just didn't give a shit is... interesting.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Saying that LLMs are what Google should've done for search but they just didn't give a shit is... interesting.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Just pure argumentum ad sneerum
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
A single issue he has zero expertise in!
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I wasn't at all into Pokemon Go but I'll be VERY into the other thing
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Those are examples of the real societal externalities he was referring to rather than the mostly BS environmental criticisms, yes.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
That's a problem with Elon's specifically terrible company, not the industry as a whole.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Weird that the other five all got tuna then
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Federal funding isn't on that chart let alone indirect funding like Medicaid coverage. You really don't understand the problem here at all, do you? Can you start by admitting your claim that Michigan spends half its budget on police was wrong?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
It's all tuna in this analogy. WTF are you talking about. And in actual societies that have barely enough to eat you'd get banished for throwing away perfectly good food.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Imagining that "liberals" have the power to easily fix this problem if only they wanted to is just deluded on multiple levels.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
1) rural towns control their own police budgets and 2) they are actually not large at all compared to health care spending. This isn't how any of this works. Those towns can choose to dissolve their police departments is they want to but the money will still be a drop in the bucket.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Are you under the impression that liberals control total town police budgets?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Maybe he's just pretending to sing along
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
This is the way
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Also not a big fan of being corrected when he tried to ding me on punctuation. I got blocked for this lol bsky.app/profile/braw...
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
1) That would not be an Oxford comma and 2) the tense of 'were' makes it unambiguous which phrase 'web3' belongs with. If you're really struggling with it the additional punctuation *could* be a semicolon after 'software'.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I do not work in web3, so I feel like your critical reading credentials are possibly in doubt. Anyway I'm going to play outside! Enjoy your evening praying for the any-day-now downfall of AI.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Shocking that your only source is Ed! Just FYI Ed is not a finance or business or tech reporter. He's a PR guy who got into blogging. Read his stuff if you want but don't be disappointed when all his prognostications don't come true.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah I don't know that I want to actively hurt anyone but we really don't have to keep sending them truckloads of cash.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
"it's burning cash" and "it has no customers" are not the same thing. One is true and one is incredibly wrong.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I work in software and web3 and the metaverse were clearly never going anywhere in most of the industry. LLMs are already widely adopted and you're straight up deluding yourself with the "no customers" because OAI and Anthropic alone have ~$17B annual revenue already.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I realize he's in his 60s but bragging about 135... is a choice.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes, obviously if tariff policy changed the empty shelves prediction would change
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
This thing where you pretend everyone is wrong because they didn't include every possible but obvious caveat in a 300 character skeet is not actually a substitute for savviness
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
This is the dumbest kind of pedantry
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
You have to remember that he knows essentially nothing about software development. The idea of simulating Microsoft with AI is just pure vibes with zero real content.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Plenty of science showing that whey protein is great and organ meats are clearly nutritious. The rest of it though...
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Something like that except mine is sending 24 million emails a day...
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
If we're using greatest in the literal magnitude sense, having Steve Bannon on his podcast to this may in fact be the greatest pivot ever.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Well, yes, except I'd argue there it's the company choosing to use AI to achieve its goals (reduced support costs; possibly time to resolution but idk). I'm also a twilio user so I'd share your concern there but haven't had to use support recently 🙂
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
THIS IS WHAT I'VE BEEN SAYING
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
If AI does nothing but save me from having to do real work in go repos it will be worth it.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Well it didn't show anything because if it doesn't work in that way it ain't get adopted for much of anything. Yes, there are lots and lots of cases where people will try to adopt them and it will go poorly and so they won't actually get adopted.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
If you pay attention there are lots of people writing and skeeting about practical efforts to adopt AI and it doesn't happen how you claim it does. CEOs I guess can decide layoffs but there have always been excuses for those. No one needs AI to justify a layoff.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
You're just making vague assertions. Your example was replacing something that can do math with something that can't. The decision makers in these cases are engineers and product managers. In only very rare cases is it CEOs and companies like that are probably doomed regardless.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Where did they come from thousands of years ago?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm guessing whatever platform/product you use is probably busy trying to solve that problem 😂
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Ah. What would you be looking to get from that? A Miro board or similar?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
And? You can just look at them and know what sounds they represent? In which language, region, dialect?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
It seems like a large assumption that countless companies will just plow ahead breaking their own products and companies due to ideology(?) rather than try to make AI work, decide that it doesn't in some cases, and move ahead having wasted some time.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
There are open models and companies like Google/Microsoft that are way bigger than their AI divisions. The bubble bursting won't mean one big collapse and AI/LLMs will still be around at the end of it.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Always the funniest type of Ed rant. "This change shows this specific company is fucked!" Okay? If Cursor folds you can use Claude Code. If Anthropic folds you can use Jetbrains or VSCode with whatever the fuck model you want. "Some companies during a hype cycle have shaky prospects" isn't insight.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I understand what you're getting at but language between human brains is very much not complete and error free to begin with.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
How do you know what sounds a letter symbol represents? 🤔
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Are you sure it's not?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
For example, I can get vector embeddings for words or ideas and then do something like cluster analysis on the vectors.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
With LLMs though the text completion isn't the only output and it's not a black box. There's a fascinating amount of information embedded in the model structure, it's possible to work with models mathematically, and there's a lot of interesting research happening in that space.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Maybe so. All I know is it's not mandatory in my software engineering department but we make sure people have access to the tools they want to try and many are getting a lot of value from them, including me, and using them voluntarily.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
The hands talking point is wayyyyy out of date. Google Gemini/Veo will give you a photorealistic video with correct hands for free.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
They being the industry, sure. I don't know anyone who considered buying a 3D tv though, whereas I know a lot of people using LLMs in various ways day to day.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah you can def upload stuff like whiteboards. I wrote down all the events I was interested in for a neighborhood porch festival, uploaded a pic to Claude, had it check my chicken scratch against the online schedule, and generate a mobile web view with times and checkboxes to use during the event.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Nathan J Robinson v Yglesias is a real let them fight dot jpg situation and anyone who thinks otherwise or that Nate J represents the progressive left can be confidently ignored slash launched into the sun.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
(and I'm sort of guessing that if they did train their own model they expect to use it for more than just the healing brush)
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Sure, but I'm specifically confused "it kicks ass that I have a healing brush that works" is followed by "the problem is they probably spent too much on it". I don't think there's any concern about Adobe going out of business. What's your concern with how much they spend a specific feature?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I feel like there's been a lot more second-guessing of internal corporate business decisions and concern for their financial health the past year or so than in the past. In fact people were more than happy for VCs to burn money on Uber, DoorDash, etc. and even complained when the burn stopped.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I believe you mean sweatshirt and shorts season, the true 🐐
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I did see some stuff on derivatives once I looked through it (I haven't gotten there yet)
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
This was incredibly prescient www.vox.com/2015/3/2/812...
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Are you running into calculus specifically in those papers? I picked up this book as the first step in learning the underpinnings of LLMs but it starts with linear algebra and I'm not sure how much calculus is in it. www.goodreads.com/book/show/50...
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Have you considered that if it seems complex or controversial you just don't hate the right people enough?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Was gonna reply but this is basically it exactly. It's a shitty response that gets rolled out a thousand times in an attempt to sound savvy and cynical in place of real thought or just saying nothing.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I mean daily.jstor.org/when-photogr...
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah realized I was skimming a bit and mentally replying more to the "sure we can't tell which one is real art because it sucks" discourse.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Turns out there are surprisingly few true Scotsmen
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I didn't know a bunch of them but I'm kind of a Mike Konczal stan. Hope it turns out to be a good platform for him.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Konczal is, at least
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
You've never had a worthwhile or original thought in your life
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Your timeline is like an alternate universe. Do you have anything to say about the occupation of the US capital?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Wait... Savage Steve Holland?? I have literally never heard of this person in my life.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Sure but you're incredibly unlikely to get that without blue state gerrymandering first.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
jfc
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
... what
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I guess as an atheist "miraculous" doesn't at all imply supernatural to me but that could be a very individualized thing.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I absolutely *heard* that line. Vibe 🎯
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
You can still delete this ya know
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
It's counterproductive to raising the salience of that worry if they spend most of their time arguing that it's a parlor trick and does nothing useful. How can it then also be societally disruptive? Also personally I'm not going to pay much attention to someone who can't grasp or admit basic facts.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Basically; I think the patent situation might be slightly more complicated but the tech is essentially open. Anyone can train a model and there are a number of open source ones, including Meta's.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
That just feels like a semantic quibble though? Like, it's not a big stretch to say "this shouldn't even work but somehow turns language into math and basically solved NLP" is miraculous. And the tech isn't proprietary. ChatGPT was only possible bc Google hasn't enforced its transformers patent.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
To be fair they need something to make themselves feel better about the lack of living space and decent produce
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
He has literally just been saying it's impressive advancement in computing and people are projecting all kinds of other stuff onto it.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm pretty sure they are but working in the physical world is way way harder than pure software like generating words. Like e.g. Tesla struggling with self driving. That said there are lots of fancy farm machines for automating all kinds of things, they're just not humanoid.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Does this realistically do anything to the market for poetry? No one is paying money (I hope) for poetry like what Will generated.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I was a straight-A, advanced-classes English student at a very good public HS and I recall my sophomore English teacher gushing over a poem that was less sophisticated than this. I think you're absolutely deluding yourself to try to score points. What're your poetry bona fides anyway, anime avatar?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
In this case it made a very competent poem on a pretty minimal prompt from Will. I imagine you could get "better" results by prompting it to be more personal in some specific way.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I guess I'm not sure why we'd expect them to have that? They've been trained to be a utility product for an incredibly broad set of users. I'd they had a particular personality or perspective they'd be worse at their main goal.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
www.bbc.com/future/artic...
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I mean... what's the largest ever Canadian protest? I think it's easy to imagine it's "only 4%" but that's actually a fuck ton of people across cities and towns of every size in the country dropping whatever else they could be doing on the same day to go hold signs and yell.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
They've been some of the largest protests in US history and Trump's approval ratings are already in the dumpster. It's also unclear how much protest can accomplish at this moment. That doesn't mean we'll be successful in stopping them but "Americans accepting fascism" isn't really what's happening.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Trump is wildly unpopular for this early in his term and he's driving us into a recession. If that's all you see I'm not real sure what you're looking at.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Well I love your dog 😍
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
Spotify lets you do this for individual playlists at least, which is essential for my white noise sleep list. I just kind of accept that some flavor of Cat TV is always one of my top youtube recs though.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I think the research supports very modest calorie restriction, no? Starving all the time seems unsupported but it's been quite awhile since I read up on all that.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm pretty sure I skimmed the 'paper' when it first came out but I was still gobsmacked when I got to this pull quote. You've just created AGI and most notable effects are more B2B SaaS products and better video games. How could you not be embarrassed to write this?
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
This may be way down the list of effects but hopefully in some cases you'd get *better* software. My team is small for our industry and the complexity of our app and we've got a backlog miles long. If we could boost productivity *while maintaining code quality* we could make a better product.
Morgan (@brawnvivant.bsky.social) reply parent
🌶️🌶️🌶️