Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I've had the lowkey take that Trump might singlehandedly be the biggest mover to a more nuclear IndoPac - that said, I didn't think it might become the *favorite* outcome
If you knew me on Twitter you know me here too as the same.
35 followers 87 following 710 posts
view profile on Bluesky Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I've had the lowkey take that Trump might singlehandedly be the biggest mover to a more nuclear IndoPac - that said, I didn't think it might become the *favorite* outcome
the abbot of unreason (an archaeologist) (@merovingians.bsky.social) reposted
look that's not an adult woman
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
It really does show that standing up works and the fact that so many chose otherwise is INSANE
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I hope the Swiss tariff gets addressed somehow, because it BLOWS for us watch guys lmao.
post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) reposted
I see we’re talking about institutional collapse. it is true and correct that we’re screwed and the organs of the federal government will not regain the functionality they had a year ago. it is also true that it’s cheaper to rebuild than to renovate.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I mean it sure does fit both - something that appeals to BlueSky in particular especially.
Sky Marchini (@sky.skymarchini.net) reposted
This tweet was sandwiched between a bunch of other tweets about the bills comeback win and the giants losing and while I know it’s about government I think it also applies to sports
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Well, if enough people accept the potemkin pretense it might *just* work - basically the opposition just giving up. The only safety valve is that the *electorate* appears decidedly **not** quite set for this path.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Practically they'd never do it though, which is why Thune's looking to nuke the stall strats
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm surprised it's only "some" rather than "most."
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
It's bad enough to get deleted, so there's that I suppose
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Alternatively, I suppose have *something* on for when a new Admin enters in 2029, but that's over 3 years out still . . .
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Part of it appears to be operating on auto-denial on the basis of having no other option in their view than to quit given the current powers in charge.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm kind of fascinated to see how the D Party behaves after this November's elections - between then and the midterms
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
It's crazy that a different admin has a "help unfuck economy" button on the desk day 1 if the tariffs at these rates remain (emphasis on 'help' over 'directly do' at this rate, unfortunately).
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Oh this isn't the same Pred as was used under Obama? Because yeah this is a pretty critical capability, can see why it's being pitched lol
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah an unmanned A-10 sounds like something the Army would be all over and given the USAF has the PLAAF/PLARF as its pacing threat letting the Pred go that way seems an obvious choice while their newer drones go the other way
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Meanwhile America has a party that wants to follow Russia and a party that wants to follow China wrt science - this really isn't tenable.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
In this case, the CDC is based there so it's become a super local issue for Ossoff
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social)
Hmm, I don't like the lack of listings on whether something is tariff'd or not.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Dictators wanting to live forever in the face of reality?
Sky Marchini (@sky.skymarchini.net) reposted
look, i'm the last person that should be giving dating advice, BUT: do the things you like to do, for yourself. try to better yourself, for you. then see who's interested. the moment you start acting a particular way for someone, you're performing a character; you won't be able to do that forever.
Sky Marchini (@sky.skymarchini.net) reposted reply parent
the most powerful question i know, in so many domains, is: "that's interesting, can you tell me more about that?" - this works in journalism, in getting to know someone on a date, in business, etc etc
BeijingPalmer (@beijingpalmer.bsky.social) reposted
also just genuinely liking and being into things. people like that even if it's not the thing they're into.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Much like how Dred Scott didn't do it, I doubt Roberts will find the magic key either.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Right, but support probably scales if those same pillars *also* fear for themselves - something that goes up the more deadly a virus is. So maybe not increasing likelihood at a linear or better rate, but perhaps still increasing the chances overall
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Ironically, I wonder the counterfactual - if the virus were in fact substantially more deadly, the public probably would have been far more receptive to a real lockdown?
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Honestly, Zohran being such a teamplayer makes me sad he's not a US-born
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I don't trust the count of 3.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Well anything does given enough time. The gamble is whether they do it *in time.*
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Either they're too stupid to know or they aren't and instead skipped step 1 - be popular enough to not have to sell it to begin with. It's one of the two, but either way we should be glad for now that they believe they have this problem.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
It's pretty obvious they're confident that material politics are forever dead in America. Guess we'll see!
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
They were good on attacking her on inflation, but then everything that did the same thing was too.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Oh 100% it's not the only reason - fundamentally there are several far more important reasons to go after the tyrant problem - but it is such a handmade weapon to finally hit Trump on where it hurts, it would be beyond insane to not use it until it's completely spent.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social)
In fact, the POINT of attacking said authoritarianism should be that it's precisely because of that shit that his insane economic policies are going largely unchecked!
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Ironically, there's a little bit of a space battle between LARPers and re-enactors (incredibly, I didn't even know they didn't completely overlap)
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
. . . what do we mean by evil
Wade N. Ondiscourse (@convolutedname.bsky.social) reposted
Voters wanted 2019 back and what they are getting is endless relitigating of 2020
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Oh fuck sake.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
. . .
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Wait tf, someone really is going around hating on her to the point of outright slandering?
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah there's a reason Tillis chose to not run for re-election again rather than try to thread this needle somehow.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
It's not a nobody, but frankly I'd only put Alaska above Ohio right now if Peltola was the AKSEN D nominee given Brown's back in for OHSEN
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Yep, it was tied 3-3 before the bombs, it was STILL tied 3-3 after both the bombs *AND* the Soviet invasion of Manchuria! It took the Emperor to move off the sidelines and call it.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social)
No, not Jim Lovell :(
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
It's honestly impressive that such person can conjure such a psychotic following through posting.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
We have NFL in a month and then the first off-cycle Nov election in 2 months after that - if volume doesn't regen there then I think we've genuinely hit equilibrium here.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Hard to blame him, at the time of the latter the Lodge Bill had recently gotten junked and Plessy vs Ferguson is only a few years around the corner
Reconstructionist (@unavaleable.bsky.social) reposted
tankie who takes the side of Thomas Carlyle instead of Douglass
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I don't think *might* have - Wall Street is 1000% directly floating actual threats to them to get them to not yank that pillar out lol.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Eh, just for harm reduction you'd like to at least see if you can compel him to truly TACO out of it.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Well the obvious question is the trade war tariffs - taking that angle offers a very obvious "lower the prices" button that wasn't necessarily deemed as on the table beforehand.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Right as we prepare to kick off the Holiday spending season? *Chef's Kiss*
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm honestly fairly convinced CA's gonna do a redraw. NY modestly less odds, but the effort looks genuine now.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Agreeing that America is fundamentally evil really does do a lot, huh
Thomas Effing Paine (@tom-effing-paine.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
Far right and far left agree about America's history being nothing but white supremacist violence; they disagree in their moral assessment of that violence. Meanwhile, rational people out here are aware that we're not just an unbroken series of Klan rallies.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
There's a number who'd really like to follow in his footsteps in that regard that are likely to ingest the lessons learned from Biden's Presidency specifically now, I reckon
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Pam Bondi gave Jeffries one heck of a gift there.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Wait tf is the original image of this lmao
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah this is probably my first real break with Jeffries tbh - maybe some change of heart happens before 2026 but jfc no wonder Dems feel like an insane base being led by sheep-brained donkeys
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Well that's the big if which we can't really answer (to be clear, my main point of contention was wanting to split the likelihood of it between if Rs only lose the House vs Rs losing all of Congress).
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Tbh blowing the Senate next Nov with the environment and map as is would be a giant blow to the perception of Trump's power if he can cost the GOP such a favorable map, and would be a substantial difference in the debate vs if they only lose the House (as expected).
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
You couldn't write a worse phrased note in this situation, holy fuck That said, *of course* as Trump's admin slowly burns more of America's functions down, THIS is what appears to get Trump himself spooked - it's what we deserve, evidently.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social)
Inventing one's own Watergate out of nothing would honestly be the most deserved way to send off the Trump 2 Admin tbh.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
That said, "Trump wants to silence the WSJ on an article they're writing on his relationship with Epstein based on new info they got" isn't remotely a sentence I would've guessed to be his biggest trouble in year 1 of his admin, lmaooo
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah I'm not nearly insane enough to even begin comprehending the mindset that ends up at this stage.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Ironically one of the main people heading the "don't rock the boat" faction is Xi himself, who appears to be thoroughly convinced that he's solved the game and thus refuses to budge even an inch on this
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah why isn't he just going full bore into it, there's no reason that *he* of all people should be sweating it out unless a) he's in fact implicated in a way he can't deny to himself or b) someone he cares about or HAS to care about is implicated the same.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
China isn't admittedly doing a whole lot to actively move on its own behalf to kick off a cold war 2 *to a level that would compel the US to behave similarly to the start of cold war 1,* either. Whether this is intentional or not is a decent debate in of itself too.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
The beauty of this kind of site tbh.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social)
Wait a minute. Why is the *EU* also apparently cutting science/research funding too?
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Oh shit, I just watched it at that same theater too
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
The ending archad me go back to tears over and over again, good golly.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social)
God, Superman. 10/10, would cry through the ending again.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
In hindsight I'm kicking myself for never considering the blatant yet hilarious possibility that Epstein files would be one of the bigger risks to Trump 2's coalitional cohesion
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
So the Senate is calling for nearly 0 cuts to NSF . . . except the bill is stuck, because there’s a huge fight over the FBI HQ that’s for some reason attached to the NSF and NASA funding components of the bill???
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Was there anything specific about what said sacred cows were? Something on Israel wouldn't surprise me, something on Taiwan would, e.g.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Makes sense, America is BIG big on farming and it's gotta keep up on that shit
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Are they worried they might give away the senate on this bill, because why would NRSC be this concerned
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
“they can believe he failed nobly, but they cannot believe he didn't fail.“ We need elected Dems to see this message over and over again until it’s printed into their souls. There is a reason why “Biden blew it” and “Biden remains popular within Dems” are not mutually exclusive!
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I had no idea it got this bad on NJT, jfc
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah it’s nowhere close to this kind of content quality
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
This is what I'm confused on: does this mean after July 9 it's 10% or 20% globally?
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I’d really like to fast forward to Nov 26 at this point tbh.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
He’s the one guy I trust to invent a character that’s insanely designed and characterized and yet not be jarring to the story he’s telling
Zohran Kwame Mamdani (@zohrankmamdani.bsky.social) reposted
America is beautiful, contradictory, unfinished. I am proud of our country even as we constantly strive to make it better, to protect and deepen our democracy, to fulfill its promise for each and every person who calls it home. Happy Independence Day. No Kings in America.
post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) reposted
happy Fourth, everybody. this country is still worth fighting for.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Hey, if nothing else we get to confirm if third rails are in fact a thing anymore with this bill.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Well Trump's waffled on the tariffs, so the effects have been delayed because the tariffs have been delayed. As soon as he signs OBBB, there isn't much for hospital industries to wait to start making cost savings decisions.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
I stopped listening to WIP already, but even when I do I will still hear them now. God Damn It.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Interesting to see it have such varying views to its stopping power
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
At the very most, Indy should appear as like a “ghost” or on his deathbed at the end of the movie/series that only Short Round sees as a final reunion where he symbolically passes on an item of significance to indicate the torch has passed imo.
Leonid Baezhnev (@rev-avocado.bsky.social) reposted
The obvious thing to do is a successor series in the same universe but in the 1970s, starring Ke Huy Quan as a grown up Wan Li.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social)
Oh you slick motherfucker.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social)
. . . man, I'm genuinely unsure how to feel about this as a hard Lib and a Birds fan.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
The gaming side seems especially rough compared to the others apparently?
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
If OBBB turns out to be as bad as we predict, we *need* that '26 result.
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
Dem base isn't willing to accept a lie when the truth is enough, the self-policing on this front's a pretty important distinction (and helpful/wanted imo)
Jason (@jl7612.bsky.social) reply parent
It's a long road to Nov '26.