Surprise surprise
Finnish PhD candidate and geopolitical analyst. Trying to help Ukraine with the 69th Sniffing Brigade https://www.youtube.com/@askolageopolitics
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Surprise surprise
So apparently the specifications of the Palyanytsya missile have been published. The system has previously been described as a missile-drone hybrid, as also noted below. But looking at the specifications, it is essentially another mini-cruise missile. 1/2
Your take?
What is Trump going to announce today?
Europe is ashamed of Fico and Orban
The man behind JD Vance and many other dangerous projects
Not the land of the free anymore
russia is really good at lying
5/5 Peter Thiel isn’t just rich. He’s dangerous because he’s strategic. He’s building a future where democracy is optional, surveillance is constant, and dissent is punished. Ignore him at your peril — he’s already rewriting the rules
4/5 Thiel’s hypocrisy is staggering. He lives one way, funds politicians who preach the opposite. He backs anti-LGBTQ agendas while benefiting from LGBTQ rights as a gay man. He talks liberty, but bankrolls repression. It’s not just ideology. It’s also opportunism
3/5 He’s behind the scenes of plans to remake America — from mass surveillance to authoritarian policy blueprints. His companies profit from control. His vision? A future where data rules, privacy dies, and power is centralized in the hands of a few
2/5 Thiel doesn’t believe in democracy. He’s openly said freedom and democracy don’t mix. He funds candidates who want to dismantle government and replace it with corporate control. This isn’t eccentric. It’s extremist
1/5 Meet Peter Thiel — one of the most powerful and dangerous people in the world, yet too few people know about him. He’s not just a billionaire. He’s a political engineer, a surveillance capitalist, and a man quietly shaping America’s future — and not for the better
Donald Trump is good at sabotaging the West
Elon Musk is a textbook example of a “free speech absolutist” who only supports free speech when it serves his interests. He actually hates free speech
6/6 America can be free again — but not if we keep pretending it already is. Freedom isn’t a slogan. It’s a fight. And the first step is seeing through the myth. Trump didn’t make America great. He made it afraid — an insecure parody of russia
5/6 And society? It’s cracking. Rising inequality. Racial division. Militia movements. Book bans. Trump didn’t create these problems — but he made them worse and weaponized them. He thrives on chaos, not unity
4/6 Authoritarianism is no longer a warning. It’s a blueprint. Trump tried to launch a coup to overturn an election. He purged officials who didn’t obey him. He praises dictators and wants to rule like one. This isn’t conservatism. It’s creeping autocracy
3/6 The American Dream? Trump turned it into a gated fantasy. He slashed social safety nets, gave billionaires tax cuts, and demonized immigrants — the very people who built the US. Under Trump, the dream is reserved for the rich, white, and loyal
2/6 Free speech? Trump doesn’t believe in it. He’s called journalists “enemies of the people.” He’s threatened media outlets, encouraged violence against protesters, and tried to silence critics with lawsuits and visa cancellations. That’s not freedom. That’s fear
1/6 America is not the land of the free. It hasn’t been for a long time. But under Donald Trump, the illusion is collapsing faster than ever. Let’s talk about how Trump fights free speech, crushes the American dream, and fuels authoritarianism 👇
Fico is a massive idiot and traitor
Putin — whose country launched the invasion and has been bombing Ukraine non-stop for 3.5 years, including targeting its energy infrastructure, and has ramped up attacks this year after Trump returned to the White House — continues to lie without limits
9/9 russia’s excuses are collapsing. Its lies are exposed. The war is unjust, brutal, and failing. The only way forward is to keep supporting Ukraine until russia’s aggression is defeated—for good
8/9 “russia is achieving its goals.” If the goal was over a million casualties, isolation, Finland & Sweden joining NATO, and Ukraine becoming more sovereign and militarized—then maybe. But by any strategic measure, russia is failing
7/9 “Ukrainians need to be denazified and demilitarized.” A genocidal smear. Ukraine’s president is Jewish. Meanwhile, russia has actual neo-nazi units like Rusich and openly glorifies nazi symbols. Ukraine is more sovereign, united and militarized than ever in its history
6/9 “This is a war of attrition, not conquest.” False. russia invaded to conquer—attempting regime change, annexation, and occupation. Calling it “attrition” is just spin to excuse failure. Why celebrate every village taken if it’s not about conquest? Map: @thestudyofwar.bsky.social
5/9 “russia is fighting all of NATO in Ukraine.” No NATO troops are in Ukraine. Ukraine is defending itself with Western aid, yes—but russia is losing to Ukrainians, not NATO. And russia gets aid from its allies, and Ukraine has way less weapons and ammo than russia does
4/9 “russia doesn’t target civilians.” False. Thousands of documented strikes on homes, hospitals, schools, and evacuation routes prove otherwise. Civilian terror is central to russia’s war strategy. In Mariupol alone, 27k–88k people died in under 3 months—mostly civilians
3/9 “russia is not all in.” If true, it means russia’s leadership is intentionally losing—betraying its own military and people. But the truth is: russia is all in, and still failing
2/9 “russia didn’t try to take Kyiv.” False. russia launched a full-scale assault on Kyiv in Feb 2022, with a large portion of its troops advancing toward the capital. It failed. Saying it was never the goal—or that the withdrawal was a goodwill gesture—is pure revisionism
1/9 russia’s war on Ukraine is built on lies—genocidal lies to justify invasion, and strategic lies to excuse failure. This thread breaks down some of the most common excuses and why they collapse under scrutiny 👇
Some people just don’t feel any shame
Says the man who helped Trump into power while knowing he's listed in the Epstein files. How about you worry about your own country and stop interfering in European politics?
Elon Musk has shown us that it's possible to be a dumb, insecure serial liar — and still become extremely rich and powerful
How long will Europe allow this South African white supremacist oligarch and social media platform owner to meddle in our politics? It's time to tighten social media regulation
The South African technofascist oligarch is once again interfering in European politics
russia wants Kharkiv and a landbridge to Moldova. It won’t happen but it shows that russia isn’t ready for peace
A completely flawed strategy that could only fail
russia’s 2025 summer offensive failed
Numbers and maps don’t lie. russia is losing
A russian or chinese asset couldn’t do a better job than Trump in terms of sabotaging the US and its allies
Hey Donald Trump and JD Vance, Does this look like russia is ready for peace? Just asking for a friend
1/7 The Trump admin’s plan to lure russia away from china by gifting Ukraine to russia is not just failing—it’s backfiring spectacularly. Instead of isolating china, it’s fueling a deeper russia-china-india axis. This thread breaks down the strategic disaster 👇
1/11 russia’s 2025 summer offensive failed spectacularly. No major cities taken. Massive losses. Still stuck fighting for towns it promised to capture YEARS AGO. Another season, another disaster
russia won’t ever reach its strategic objectives in Ukraine
Numbers and maps don’t lie. russia has captured less than 1% of Ukraine’s territory over the last 1000 days—despite suffering over a million casualties. It now occupies less than it did in March 2022. What a pathetic strategic failure!
Hey Elbridge Colby, how’s your strategy of throwing Ukraine under the bus to isolate china going?
1/5 Trump is a russian asset—unless he proves otherwise with his actions. So far? He hasn’t. Pressuring India over its ties to russia is fine. But doing that without pressuring russia—or its main backer, china—makes it look like a useless political stunt
New video out! youtu.be/q_bLYDlx7_0?...
7/7 russia started this useless war. But how long it lasts is up to us in Europe. Long-term aid, deep-strike capabilities, and real sanctions can end it faster. Let’s stop waiting for morally compromised Americans to wake up
6/7 If the US won’t lead, Europe must. More weapons, more funding, tougher sanctions. Ukraine must win—and we must stop acting like a geopolitical midget. We have the power. Let’s use it
5/7 This isn’t just weak—it’s morally bankrupt. Abandoning Ukraine empowers dictators, betrays allies, and tells the world America no longer stands for freedom or sovereignty
4/7 china sees a US that’s corrupt, isolationist, and weak. If America won’t defend Europe—its oldest ally—why would it defend Taiwan? This strategy signals retreat and invites aggression
3/7 Trump, Colby, Hegseth & others think appeasing Putin will fracture the russia-china alliance. Instead, they’re handing Ukraine to russia and watching china, russia, and india grow closer. Strategic failure. Even traitorous
2/7 This is textbook Elbridge Colby: sacrifice Ukraine to lure russia away from china. But russia isn’t switching sides—and the cost is America’s global credibility, moral standing, and deterrence
1/7 The Trump admin’s plan to lure russia away from china by gifting Ukraine to russia is not just failing—it’s backfiring spectacularly. Instead of isolating china, it’s fueling a deeper russia-china-india axis. This thread breaks down the strategic disaster 👇
11/11 russia failed again this summer. It will lose the war strategically. But it’s up to us—especially in Europe—to decide how long this useless suffering continues. The war isn’t over. Let’s help end it
10/11 How long can russia last? That depends on how much help it gets from china, north korea, iran, india, hungary, slovakia—and how much pressure the West applies
9/11 russia is further from its goals now than in March 2022. The war is economically and demographically unsustainable. It can’t keep this pace forever
8/11 russia won’t stop until it’s stopped. It’s too far from its strategic goals. Peace now would lock in defeat—something Putin can’t afford, even if he spins it
7/11 This is the fourth summer of the war. And once again, those who predicted a russian breakthrough were wrong. They’ll be wrong next year too
6/11 russia is used to failure. Its population barely notices anymore. But the numbers don’t lie: Over 1 million casualties for ~1% of Ukrainian territory gained in 1000 days Map: @thestudyofwar.bsky.social
5/11 Ukraine also pushed forward with its corps reform—complex but promising. Despite internal crises and Trump’s pressure, Ukraine stayed united and kept the West behind it
4/11 Meanwhile, Ukraine escalated its strike campaign. New drones and missiles hit russian refineries and infrastructure—hurting russia’s economy and war machine
3/11 In Zaporizhzhia, russia planned a major push. It failed. In Sumy, it repeated its Kharkiv 2024 disaster. No breakthroughs. Just more dead soldiers and burned equipment
2/11 russia paid a massive price: Tens of thousands of casualties. All for almost no territorial gain. A brutal waste of lives and resources
1/11 russia’s 2025 summer offensive failed spectacularly. No major cities taken. Massive losses. Still stuck fighting for towns it promised to capture YEARS AGO. Another season, another disaster
russia won’t ever reach its strategic objectives in Ukraine
Numbers and maps don’t lie. russia has captured less than 1% of Ukraine’s territory over the last 1000 days—despite suffering over a million casualties. It now occupies less than it did in March 2022. What a pathetic strategic failure!
Hey Elbridge Colby, how’s your strategy of throwing Ukraine under the bus to isolate china going?
Trump is doing everything he can to turn BRICS into more than just an acronym
5/5 Trump is the best-case scenario for russia and china. No one has done more to fracture the West from within. Until he proves otherwise with real action, he’s not just soft on autocrats—he’s working for them
4/5 This isn’t foreign policy. It’s a performance. And unless Trump starts holding russia and china accountable, he’s doing exactly what they want: dividing the West and weakening US credibility
3/5 Trump’s pattern is clear: He talks tough on America’s allies, but never on Putin. He praises Xi, but punishes democracies. If he won’t confront russia and china directly, this is just theater
2/5 Let’s be clear: India deserves scrutiny for funding russia’s war. But if Trump ignores russia itself—and gives china a pass—then this isn’t about principle. It’s about picking a fight with India for show
1/5 Trump is a russian asset—unless he proves otherwise with his actions. So far? He hasn’t. Pressuring India over its ties to russia is fine. But doing that without pressuring russia—or its main backer, china—makes it look like a useless political stunt
No comment
New video out! youtu.be/q_bLYDlx7_0?...
4/4 Trump is the best asset russia and china could dream of. No one has ever weakened the West from within like he has. And they’re counting on him to keep doing it
3/4 Greenland will never be American. But Trump’s games divide and weaken the West—exactly what Putin and Xi want. He’s not defending democracy. He’s sabotaging it
2/4 There’s zero legitimate reason for the US to take Greenland. Trump’s obsession with it shows he’s not better than his idols—Putin and Xi. Just another wannabe imperialist with no respect for sovereignty
1/4 The US has as much claim over Greenland as russia has over Ukraine: none. Trump pushing to “buy” Greenland is pure imperial fantasy—no different from Putin’s land grabs or Xi’s territorial ambitions
New video out! Watch it!
5/5 Trump’s drift toward authoritarianism is accelerating. And those who accept it are complicit. It’s time to call this out for what it is: a threat to democracy, not a defense of it
4/5 This sets a dangerous precedent. Trump could use these tactics during elections—to intimidate, distract, or even cling to power. It’s authoritarianism dressed up as “law and order”
3/5 Trump isn’t sending the National Guard to high-crime zones—or red states. He’s using federal force to stage a show of strength in DC—conditioning the public to accept military presence in civilian life
2/5 Republicans talk tough on crime, but ignore the violence in their own backyard. States like Mississippi, Louisiana, and Missouri have some of the highest murder rates in the country. Trump’s deployments aren’t about safety—they’re about optics
1/5 Trump’s National Guard deployments in LA and DC aren’t about public safety—they’re about control. Crime in DC is down. Red states have higher homicide rates than blue ones. Yet Trump sends troops to clean trash in safe areas. This is political theater, not protection
This billionaire scammer said the exact same about Trump in the US
My new video, “Why Trumpism Is a Cheap Copy of Putinism—and Why It’s Dangerous,” is out on YouTube. Watch it! youtu.be/q_bLYDlx7_0?...
It should be obvious: Trump’s National Guard deployments aren’t about safety. He’s not sending them to high-crime areas, especially not in red states. The goal is to normalize using federal force for political optics and to condition the public to accept his control over DC
7/7 Watch my new video on this subject: youtu.be/q_bLYDlx7_0?...
6/7 Putinism is the blueprint. Trumpism is the knockoff. Surkov wrote the script. America just adapted it for Fox News. And unless we recognize the playbook, we’ll keep falling for the show
5/7 Both systems weaponize distrust. They flood the zone with noise, erode faith in institutions, and make truth feel irrelevant. The goal isn’t persuasion—it’s confusion, division, and control
4/7 Trumpism echoes this. From “crisis actors” to “deep state” conspiracies, it thrives on unreality. Even the deployment of the National Guard in Democrat-led cities was framed as theater—“law and order” optics for the base
3/7 In the Donbas region, russia didn’t just support separatists—it created them. Actors were hired to play locals demanding independence. russian media amplified the illusion. Surkov’s doctrine: “Nothing is true and everything is possible”
2/7 Vladislav Surkov, Putin’s “grey cardinal,” pioneered the fusion of propaganda, theater, and post-truth politics. He helped stage separatism in Ukraine—using paid actors, fake protests, and media manipulation to turn fiction into fact
1/7 Trumpism is a cheap American copy of Putinism. Both rely on spectacle, disinformation, and manufactured chaos—tools perfected by Vladislav Surkov, Putin’s shadowy strategist. But while Putinism serves imperial goals, Trumpism is a reality show with authoritarian ambitions
Yep!