I guess it's possible. He's a coward who always wants to back whoever he thinks is winning.
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I guess it's possible. He's a coward who always wants to back whoever he thinks is winning.
Yes, something like that. The thing that makes it a bit difficult is of course the fact that many things regarding the US can't be said aloud by leaders and diplomats yet. But everyone knows the trust is gone and that's really all you need to know.
No, nobody in Europe counts on the US. We hope the US will sell us weapons when needed and provide some intelligence, that's about it.
Should probably pick a cheaper place than New York or Geneva too.
The war seems to be going better without them, to be honest.
I would like to add that, after the initial euphoria, there were repercussions in Turkey. Can't remember exactly what happened but I think a couple of officers were disciplined, most likely to placate Russia.
Haha, if only it would be true.
Excellent. Germany moves slowly at first, will be interesting to see what it looks like when they pick up a bit of speed.
Bribes on both ends is probably the real reason.
Having said that, his family members are most likely getting all the recommended shots and receiving the best medical care, just like he is.
That would only make him mad at the kid and its parents for making him look bad.
They came up with a better plan. The Taurus has some American components so they probably didn't want to restart production, they are instead helping Ukraine, transferring technology and giving cash so they can build long range weapons. And Russian oil refineries are feeling it. That's the "Taurus".
"My absolute priority will be to strengthen Europe as quickly as possible so that, step by step, we can really achieve independence from the USA,â Friedrich Merz
When you think they have reached peak stupidity, there's always something even more stupid.
So, does this mean that everyone will be mad at Disney?
So he's going for nobel prize for medicine instead of the peace prize it seems.
I still find it hard to believe the Chinese would give up control of the algorithm. But it's of course possible the new owners of the business get the right to tweak some parameters but not ownership of the code.
Farage most likely is, Putin might see a weaker UK as something positive. And I also think Farage wouldn't hesitate to give up Scotland if he gets to rule England.
Corruption might even seem like a good idea at first, nothing wrong with cutting some corners and 'getting things done'. But pretty soon it leads to bad investments and theft and loss of trust and son. And it probably does more harm the higher it goes.
It sort of makes sense even from Farage's point of view, if he was actually doing Moscow's bidding all the time. In that case breaking up the UK would most likely also be viewed as a success, comparable to Brexit.
Kaikkein suurin riski on joka tapauksessa USA. Trump on jo paketoinut tullit, Ukrainan avun ja asekaupat, sen takia EU:n oli pakko hyvÀksyÀ kehno kauppasopimus. Joka ei siis ollut pelkkÀ kauppasopimus. EletÀÀn ankeita aikoja.
Viittaat Daavidin linkoon? Asekaupoissa ei voi olla kauhean moralistinen, ja Israelilaiset firmat varmaan pysyy pystyssÀ vaikka lÀhtisi maa alta, toimintaa on myös Euroopassa ja Amerikassa. Mutta vastaisuudessa ostetaan toivottavasti vain eurooppalaisia aseita. Jopa Iso-Britannia saattaa olla riski.
Ongelma taitaa henkilöityÀ Riikka Purraan. Rahakirstun vartijan tÀytyy toki olla jÀmÀkkÀ, mutta Purran maneerit kuten syvÀt huokaukset lauseiden vÀlissÀ antavat kuvan syvÀstÀ toivottomuudesta.
While I do support even shooting down Russian planes that enter Nato airspace, this particular plane never did that. Not turning on your transponder might be bad form, but that's about it.
So, we have reached the point where North Korea can make demands on the US and sound somewhat credible while doing it.
Switzerland has parties, but also direct democracy. That is most important, and also less important, decisions are made through referendums.
Hi all, I just published my latest Missile Matters post on the precarious state of Europe's mini jet engine industry, a sector that is critical to Europe's missile rearmament but remains underappreciated. Access the post here: missilematters.substack.com/p/small-thru... Short summary below. 1/7
I mean the way the Finnish Defence Forces are organized it wouldn't be possible to send any kind of meaningful contingent of land forces without it including reservists. Also, the politicians always stressing we need our troops at home is making them look tiny.
We should also set realistic goals and remember that Europe will be fighting Russia, not the most technologically advanced country in the world. We don't need to replace all the American capabilities. Also, we need more nukes.
We should treat all this as an opportunity to build something shiny and new. But we might be in trouble if there's a major escalation in the near future.
China sees the TikTok algorithm as a strategic asset that must stay in Chinese hands. Will be interesting to learn the actual details of the deal.
Yes it's different now, Europe is preparing for what might come. The real problem is that it's not clear where the US stands. We know they're not firmly behind us, but we don't know if we can expect any help at all, and this makes planning on a political level difficult.
Ok
Aivan, minÀ mietin asiaa yleisesti ja miten voitaisiin toimia tulevaisuudessa. Toimintatavan muutos tÀytyisi tietenkin sopia liittolaisten kanssa poliittisella tasolla ja kommunikoida selkeÀsti VenÀjÀlle.
Progress!
Ei kovilla ampuminen ole viimeinen vaihtoehto, se on vaihtoehto muiden joukossa. Mutta venÀlÀisille tÀytyy tietenkin tehdÀ tÀmÀ asia selvÀksi, ja se ei taida onnistua millÀÀn muulla tavalla kuin ampumalla kovilla. Varoituslaukaus ensin olisi paikallaan, mutta en osaa arvioida kuinka sen voisi tehdÀ.
Indefinitely, or until we free ourselves from the mindset that we are doomed without the US. Let's work together and with Ukraine, and wish the Americans good luck on the path they have chosen.
The EU needs more nukes. We don't need huge amounts of them, but enough to level Moscow and St. Petersburg at least.
Yes, replacing humans with an algorithm makes sense in exactly these kind of situations. As in an algorithm deciding when to close the flood gates in a certain place, which can have serious consequences whatever the decision is.
Not really. Stopping Russian oil production will be a net positive most likely, and in Europe the green transition has been turbocharged.
Yes.
In the long run the Königsberg area needs to be liberated, or at the very least demilitarised. I am of course not advocating an attack in the near future, but when Russia collapses the issue must be on the table.
Yes, I think a majority of European leaders understand the transatlantic era is over. Will take some time still until they can say that aloud though.
Would at the very least work as a warning shot though.
Yes, this is the problem but also an opportunity for Europe.
Drones seem to give the attacker an advantage, because you can concentrate huge amounts on a specific area or spot, while the defender has to be prepared everywhere. But even then the front is still very static in Ukraine.
Yes, the best course of action now is to shoot one down the next time it happens. It's bad, but all alternatives are even worse in the long run.
I hope they'll suffer financially, they deserve it.
Yes, I think we are already there for all practical purposes.
Excellent news.
âUkraine is now using its own weapons to hit russia and no longer consult Washington regarding where it strikes.â - Zelensky
Königsberg-enklaven Àr det egentliga problemet. Ryssen mÄste ut dÀrifrÄn.
Maybe Orban will have to go into exile when the shit finally hits the fan. Question is, would he prefer to go to Russia or the US?
Yes, sometimes it's obvious there was a ransom paid or some sort of concessions. But it's extremely rare that governments admit that.
Yes, exactly this. Some people say Europe should treat Russian hybrid attacks as acts of war, but it wouldn't make any sense to actually go to war until we have to. We retaliate by supporting Ukraine even more, rinse and repeat. It's repetitive and that's why it looks like there's no response.
It's never mentioned, the policy is to say there was no ransom paid.
Never liked those guys.
When they talk about elites they often mean intellectuals, in a very broad sense.
Probably because the situation is fundamentally very static and European countries have problems communicating to people that it's better that it remains so. We obviously don't want to go to war against Russia until we have to. And we retaliate by helping Ukraine fight against Russia.
The US being out of the picture has also had positive effects, Ukraine can now freely target Russian refineries for instance. And that campaign is working.
The problem with the Brics currency is that nobody trusts the banks in any of the member countries. At least not enough to crush the dollar. I don't see it happening anytime soon.
I would expect some kind of strategy for reducing European dependency on the US. It's obvious that transatlanticism is dead.
Well he should be ashamed, he's the one who gave the invite to Trump.
Not that easy to keep it though. We shouldn't overemphasize the possibility of such operations, if Russia wants to test the waters it has many much less risky alternatives. They could for instance take a village along any of it's borders with a Nato country, then quickly retreat if needed.
Starmer is hoping that Trump and the Maga movement will disappear and trying to profit in the meantime. Unfortunately many EU leaders are trying to do the same thing, and in the end everyone is only making Ttrump stronger.
Yes, what I meant was that they both had navies mostly to project power against enemies close to home, in Russia's case first Sweden and later Germany for instance. When they ventured far from home it often ended badly, as when the Baltic Fleet was sent to fight against Japan in 1905.
Russia is and always was a continental empire, just as the Austro-Hungarian Empire, both felt most at home on dry land. Unfortunately the Russian Empire largely survived WW1 and disguised itself as the Soviet Union.
It's very typical that these lone wolf characters can't explain what made them do it, at least not in a way that others can understand or accept as a reasonable explanation for their behavior. Luigi Mangione's views are for instance probably not quite what his fans on the internet think they are.
So many wasted months when Ukraine abstained from hitting the Russian energy sector because of American demands.
Yes, you are probably correct on all points, unfortunately.
Pathocracy?
Not saying that Denmark shouldn't have more fighter jets, but what is Nato doing for the defence of Greenland? Ordering more F-35s in the present political situation would be madness, we need more European fighter jets. Preferably totally free of American tech.
Yes, there are different kinds of statistics you can parse together and although those can of course not be fully trusted, but from what I've read and can remember they have probably lost around 20% of their peak capacity so far.
Another large scale invasion is not imminent, and even a small incursion is not very likely. If it still happens it's going to be in a place we didn't expect it to happen. Putin is doing good politically at the moment, he'd be crazy to risk that momentum.
YmmÀrÀn kyllÀ ettÀ kaikkea ei voi sanoa ÀÀneen, mutta kun ei tehdÀ mitÀÀn edes kÀytÀnnön tasolla riippuvuuden vÀhentÀmiseksi.
Aika pelottava ajatus ettÀ valtiojohtomme nÀyttÀÀ vielÀ luottavan amerikkalaisiin. Stubb varmaan tietÀÀ missÀ mennÀÀn mutta uskoo parempaan huomiseen, muut on pihalla kun lumiukot.
Tavallinen pÀivÀ Amerikassa. Tulee seurattua jonkun verran mitÀ siellÀ tapahtuu, oikeastaan kaikki menee pÀin helvettiÀ kovaa vauhtia.
Trying to shame Trump into supporting Ukraine, well played Charles, well played.
Som patient tror jag att jag föredrar den bohemiska typen. Fast tandlÀkare och kirurger fÄr gÀrna vara lite prutthurtiga.
Tuo taitaa olla osatotuus. KÀsittÀÀkseni asetusta osittaisesta mobilisaatiosta ei ole kumottu, ja se pyörii tÀllÀ hetkellÀ n.s. jatkuvatoimisena. EhkÀ kuitenkin matalalla intensiteetillÀ, koska yleinen tilanne rintamalla ei kannusta hyökkÀÀmÀÀn. Edes venÀlÀisten perse ei kestÀ isompia tappioita.
I have supported Israel for as long as I can remember, but I've had enough of the stupidity of the far right in Israel and the US. Recognizing the Palestinian state is a fundamentally meaningless gesture but I'm all for it now.
I think Evans is not telling the whole truth, and nothing but the truth.
Well yeah, he could have created a constitutional crisis of course. Trump is not really worth that though.
Not a defence pact as such, but they are all in Nato and everyone would without a doubt help Norway in this situation. Regardless of what the US would do. I would also count on the UK and the Netherlands and a few other European countries.
Surullinen tarina kaikin puolin. TÀytyy toivoa ettÀ asia kÀsitellÀÀn julkisesti, ei meillÀ ole muuten mitÀÀn mahdollisuutta saada kunnon kÀsitystÀ osapuolten uskottavuudesta.
MinÀ luulen ettÀ tarkoitus oli lÀhinnÀ koota omat rivit, ja muiden reaktioita pidettiin toissijaisina. Luulen myös ettÀ perussuomalaiset ovat jo sopeutuneet ajatukseen ettÀ 10% kansasta on se kova ydin joka kannattaa heitÀ kaikissa olosuhteissa.
Not at all embarrassing for Charles, but very embarrassing for Starmer who thought this was a good idea.
Is he surprised that his special kind of cakeism eventually failed?
Some people might be tempted to say it always was. But on a more serious note it probably started with Sarah Palin and the Tea Party movement.
While I do support the 'drone wall' as a concept, we should not forget that the only way to actually stop the drones is to defeat Russia. We, and especially Ukraine, need better offensive capabilities too.
We will integrate Ukraine in the Western security architecture, with or without America.
Lavrov doesn't look too healthy nowadays. Another old man with blood on his hands.
I would be shocked if Denmark would buy American missiles in the present climate.
Mutta jos haluaa vÀlttyÀ kaikelta kritiikiltÀ niin kannattaa tietenkin olla tarkkana tosiasioiden suhteen.
Ilmeisesti Kirk ei puhunut mustista naisista yleisesti vaan neljÀstÀ tietystÀ naisesta joiden kanssa hÀn otti jostain syystÀ yhteen, eli voi sanoa ettÀ on tulkittu liian laveasti. Toisaalta Kirk sanoi niin paljon muuta aiheeseen liittyvÀÀ ettÀ kokonaiskuva siitÀ tuskin muuttuu suuntaan ta toiseen.
Kellogg is probably one of the better Americans, but I find it hard to forget him comparing the Ukraine intel sharing pause to hitting a mule with a two-by-four. That was not something a normal person would say.
The real issue is probably that Nato wouldn't approve unanimously, some countries might argue that those participating should lose their article 5 protection.
Well a no-fly zone means nobody can fly there, except those enforcing it, and the Russians don't fly manned aircraft in Western Ukraine anyway. You could call it extended air defence or something like that.
Congress could easily make him stop though. For now at least.