Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
Did not even last 6 Scaramucci's.
Retired actuary/data scientist. Grew up in Texas, happily living in Massachusetts. Board games, Ulysses, Bayern Munich, Commanders, GY!BE. If you voted for that guy, just shove off.
284 followers 478 following 1,327 posts
view profile on Bluesky Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
Did not even last 6 Scaramucci's.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
The fact that the guy committing stochastic mass murder has an opinion on empathy feels very 2025.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I suspect those are Purple Air sensors, testing air quality from single point locations. How they set the size of the circle is a question for them.. Hyper-local, real-time air quality map | PurpleAir share.google/6dV3kDMbXK73...
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
100%.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Nice to hear him pop up on the new Lemonheads song.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Their KEXP appearance is terrific.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Came to post this, kudos for getting here four minutes faster!
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
Visiting the oldest timber frame house in North America, circa 1637, as one does on a Sunday. Beware the low ceilings. #FairbanksHouse #DedhamMA
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
The first time we played, my wife did a 180 at the finish line, one space short, but then the next player flew off a ramp and knocked her over for the win. Such a fun game.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
It's funny to see people resist praising Gnabry, or make it more lukewarm. He's having a very good start to the campaign in his different role.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Bayern board: "What's so difficult to understand about get us the best possible players, but don't spend any money doing it"?
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Seoane under the microscope no doubt.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Definite gladiator arena feel.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Waiting for the day they switch outfits.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Talking Heads' Remain in Light tour, 1980, and then Ramones in 1981 at the same club (The Agora, Dallas).
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
"Clotted Cream and Blood".
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
That was painful.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I was just saying, imagine being a BL3 player and having to be on him all match
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
1974, a banner year for Billboard Top 100 songs with 'Baby' in the title: Rock Your Baby, (You're) Having My Baby, Angie Baby.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I had a William Gass-level love for the creamy blue cover of a Blue Book.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
They always blame the students, and yet: “One misconception about ‘Storrowing’ is that many folks blame college students, but from what I’ve seen it’s overwhelmingly professional drivers who aren’t based in Boston." www.boston.com/news/local-n...
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Stuttgart on Saturday....
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
If you're watching in the US, Phil Bonney is having a great time announcing this.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Oh this is something!
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
The sweat is back on!
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I know this narrative arc, I suspect one of the judges is going to go down as well.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I have worked with 4 of the big 5 and agree on the "not even a little surprising".
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
go on
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Now is that lace tatting competition part of a big county fair, or just a few tents on a village green?
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Same. In fact, happened to be in a CVS for something else, asked for it, and they were frankly excited.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Jesus what a ball in.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Darmstadt not hanging back.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
A final, definitive list of why Democrats lost, according to pundits and social media:
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
lol Gnabry 6. Even when he has a great game he gets dumped on.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Altman
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
The fine tradition of Ed Rollins continued, it's just walking-around money, not a bribe.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
"You're right, Sean, there was no 140-yard touchdown pass in the previous quarter. Here are the updated stats!"
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Target really got a boost from Covid, and then they went and set all that goodwill on fire. I'm sure hiring some new guy will fix everything.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I spent a lot of time looking at film MC scores and noticed that for low review counts their normalization pushed scores to multiples of 5, but I'm guessing that most of your games have plenty of reviews.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
the heel takes all the negative attention
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
We keep getting this out to learn and then being interrupted. Godspeed!
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
THE VANISHING is *the* case study for wtf is the reason for that remake and how did you f it up so badly?
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
It's been an exhausting Saturday. Exactly as the Pokal should be.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
It's like magic now 😅
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
He's not dead yet!
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Although all six statements were false, both researchers and students endorsed, on average, more than three statements, indicating a gross misunderstanding of CIs."
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
The discussion of CI's reminded me of this: "In this study, 120 researchers and 442 students—all in the field of psychology—were asked to assess the truth value of six particular statements involving different interpretations of a CI. (continued below) link.springer.com/article/10.3...
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
This ended up being a great recommendation, and I wish it had been around thirty years ago, but I'm glad to read it now. It definitely does a good job of balancing anecdotes with clear explanations + a narrative path on how we think about, well, "proof".
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
takemymoney.gif
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
One great thing about watching old BBC shows is seeing actors much earlier in their careers. Pictured: Tom Wilkinson shouting "I am Shiva, the God of Death!" at Chief Inspector Wexford (offscreen)
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
As a Washington NFL fan of more than 50 years, I welcome all the bandwagon Cowboys haters.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I feel like her future could become even more complicated.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I have to first imagine the timeline where you spent $44 billion to buy a platform thinking people would respect/like me as a result, and I'm already struggling with that.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
"He said TransRe plans to use generative AI to strengthen risk selection." Yeah, that'll end well, there's no hidden risk or variability in fac.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
Hahaha one of the world's most rich, corrupt organizations asking for volunteers, in return for a t shirt and some snacks. Welcome to your 2026 World Cup!
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
< Max Weber
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
See, no candles or avocado toast and it's all easy living.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
RHB LHP!
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
My favorite doctor and companion.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I thought the guy on the right might be Lindsey Buckingham, but who knows.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Paul McCartney, man, there is no love like being willing to play right-handed guitar for a mate.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Jumping Jesus on a pogo stick. I was just telling a friend that Wurster has to be cloned, because besides all those bands he's screening Exorcist 3 down the highway from us on Halloween. His ubiquity is wonderful.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
WHAT
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
It's an easy mistake, they made it themselves! 🙂
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I mean, I feel like it's obligatory: * Odessey
Lana Sinapayen (@sinalana.bsky.social) reposted
Every "journalist" needs to read these gpt apologies www.aiweirdness.com/chatgpt-will...
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
This guy is basically just a Season 7 character from Veep.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Totally agree.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
It's certainly faster, but man, how the fuck they landed on that particular art - and it just went right through whatever review they have? - is mind-boggling.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
This completely explains Agincourt, all those French showing up with Gantt charts & and wanting to talk about process reviews.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I genuinely wonder if they just liked the look of the slanted pickup, or if someone convinced someone else that doing that does something.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
The notion that reinsurers are going to be able to continue diversifying much of this away globally is out the window.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
I once took on a department that produced a ton of monthly reports, and had them (over time) stop producing them to see who complained. The answer was "almost nobody ", which in a way was good, because we got to go work on a lot of other interesting stuff. But it was dispiriting for a while.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
Hahaha now that's a memory of my kids showing me videos.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Frank and Mary Beard
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
There still really isn't a 33-1/3 about the making of one of her albums, though they have a kind of fanfic on Rid of Me. But, Dry is there for the taking! Just sayin'.
Jake (@gloriousnoise.bsky.social) reposted
Wrote about Lollapalooza. Warning: Lots of sad sack dad nostalgia content. And brunch details.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Thank you, Jake, I always appreciate being along for the ride on these, even when it gets really uncomfortable.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Tyler's endorsement of €oàuj guitars finally paying off.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
James Burke delightfully being James Burke!
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I think for the better part of a year, some years ago, I queued up "There She Goes, My Beautiful Work" each day as I exited the train for the walk to work, just for the lift...such a great album end to end.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I can't tell you how many times I've opened an interesting-sounding study, seen a ridiculously small N (like 55), and just closed it again. There seems to be a feeling among some researchers that saying "...while it's a small sample,..." is some kind of magical spell that allows them to go on.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
"You'd really have to give me a ridiculously low rate to get me to travel."
Sen. Danica Roem (@pwcdanica.bsky.social) reposted
If you want to know 8 years later how an out trans woman could unseat her state’s self-described “chief homophobe,” serve 3 terms in the state House and then earn election to the state Senate: listen to 26 uninterrupted minutes about fixing roads in greater Manassas. www.youtube.com/watch?v=DT_9...
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
Speaking as someone who spent quite a bit of time looking at these: it's all business as usual until discovery on that first bad faith lawsuit, and then you can't explain what you did or why you did it.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
folks who are more vulnerable to this kind of terrible event. Here's an ABC article on the map zones (I should add, even when these maps are "accurate", they're just an estimate and a big event can still be larger than was normally expected). abcnews.go.com/US/fema-maps...
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
You're right that any fed-backed lender will require that coverage in high-hazard areas, but this flood blew past those FEMA map areas (which are likely lagging this climate change era). Also, in my experience, people drop that coverage the millisecond they pay off their mortgage, so now it's older
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
Played our first game of Uwe Rosenberg's Bohnanza with our sons in more than a decade. Just as fun as we remembered, but now with more trash talk and cursing. #boardgames
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
Man, people will biche about anything!
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
I was reading about the great classic Rififi (1955) on a random noir website, & came across this perfectly normal commentary. I wish you people would just stop and think about what you're doing to everything.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
Economist suddenly wakes up to discover unsurprising fact, issues comment. News at 10.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
The story ended well.....
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
Genuinely amazing.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
At this point just post who's healthy, it'll be quicker. Jeez.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social)
Whenever I see something like this I wonder if whoever made it understands that DEFCON 1 is the most severe instance, but it's often difficult to tell.
Paul I (@paul314.bsky.social) reply parent
I always type in LAPPLY, totally reflexive at this point.