If I felt better, I would run the data to let you know, but I am not quite up to it now.
Retired Sociology/Demography professor. I know the United States has an awfully high middle aged death rate. My goal is to explain it well enough to get people to fix it.
2,861 followers 4,557 following 1,535 posts
view profile on Bluesky
If I felt better, I would run the data to let you know, but I am not quite up to it now.
The first graph shows the deaths per 100,000 for non-Hispanic Whites aged 28-32 in 2023, the latest year we have this data for. The second graph is presented so you can see that this age group has the most increases in death rates from 1999 through 2018. 🧪 #Sociology #Population #Think #News
The number for each state is the number of people in that state it takes to equal the United States Senate representation of one person living in Wyoming. It would be easy to equalize, simply count each Senator's vote as the number of people in their state. 🧪 #Sociology #Population #Demography
I think sciences's major problem is that it cannot refute falsehoods fast enough. For example Trump's claim that Hispanics are the most criminal six times in the debate with Biden was a lie that plaid a major role in electing him president and what he is doing. 🧪 #Sociology #Population
Thanks for the comment. I will try to keep at it.
Thanks for your comment.
If you read O. C. Cox's book Cast, Class, and Race you can get a good feel for how skin color became a tool to place an easily identifiable population into a legal category that made slavery workable in the southern United States.
Here I am trying out a new way to show how much state Republican politics increases death rates. The map displays the percent of the deaths that would not have happened if the state voted 100% for Kamala Harris. Click ALT to see more. 🧪☠️ #Sociology #Population #Demography
I'm home, just a note on why we own so many guns. After WWI ended the gun industry fought the loss of income by promoting gun ownership by lying. The ad theme has changed over time, from Roy Rogers western guns to today's self protection lie and super gun fake manhood.🧪 #Sociology #Population #Guns
Except Trump was. thrown out after his first term. We have some experience doing it and being first doing it.
Sounds like a standard economist protecting the wealthy stealing from the rest of us. The problem is that the Republican/Rich ass holes have moved more and more of the total cash flow to the fewer and fewer evil rich bastards.
Science is a tool to find out what works. It tells you what kills as well as what keeps you alive. The difference between good. and evil is what they use science for, not just using science.
Here I display the value of 516 correlations, r's, between year 1999-2019, pre COVID years, for non-Hispanic whites by single year age, 0-84, and 85+ by sex and three party groups. This is hard for many to understand but read text for more. 🧪☠️ #Sociology #Population #Demography
The summary including nature of the relationship makes reading it worth much more. Thanks.
Maximum imagination at work: If we could patch this ability into humans we could end racism.
I would have ended it with: "Guns bless America".
I am a retired Auburn University demographer and saw your posting on Blue Sky and thought I would send you a sample of the kind data graphs I can produce showing how death rates are different for different groups of people. If you are interested let me know. I will create for $0.00. Click ALT to see
Haven't seen any data to let me be able to answer your question.
Thanks, that says what I am trying to say much better than I do.
The problem with showing actual differences is that the size of differences is very different by age. In general death rates start high at age 0, decline until just before 10 and steady increase every year after that. If you want raw data email me at: pecanjim.bellsouth.net and I will send it.
Vaccines have to change because what they protect against evolve and the more people infected the greater the chance of evolution and the greater the need for new vaccines. Vaccines are based on available viruses, take time to develop and any effect against evolved viruses pure luck.
What's up? Southern Baptist caused death rates! This graph shows the correlations, r's, between state percent Southern Baptist for five age groups of state population from 1999 thru 2023. I find this a major cause of our high death rate. See text for more detail. 🧪☠️ #Sociology #Population
I'm home, just a note on why we own so many guns. After WWI ended the gun industry fought the loss of income by promoting gun ownership by lying. The ad theme has changed over time, from Roy Rogers western guns to today's self protection lie and super gun fake manhood.🧪 #Sociology #Population #Guns
I believe Russia is behind Trump’s destruction of the ability to immunize us. Why? My guess is they plan germ warfare. #Sociology #science
Doing better, the blood pressure and a few other things tester just said I get to go home today.
Hinge look good, doctor said I would PROBABLY be discharged tomorrow.
Nope, drugs for a while treatment is expected to fix me.
Oh it could have. Even with the tractor, it ran on and caught a strong trash tree with a strong axle that did not break or bend and sit there spinning it wheels until it ran out of gas. It dug about two 18 inch deep holes in the ground. Almost got stuck.
I was trying to prime the hydraulic lift on y 60 year old ford tractor. I set up to put compressed air in oil tank when I was sitting on the ground with legs in front of rear wheel and pressed the starter, It started immediately and ran over both upper legs. Only minor cracked bone.
I ran over both of my upper legs with my 3 ton tractor while tryin to fix it, went to emergency room and soon after being put in a predicted 4 hour waiting I collapsed and got taken in for care.Not sure what knocked me out but found a kidney infection. I am slow to go today. 🧪 #Sociology #Science
Up? Well I am down again a hospital. How did I get in? I was working on this 1960’s ford tractor, to work on I was sitting on the ground with legs in front of rear wheel, reached up and pressed starter, it took off running over both of my legs. Not as bad as it could be but less active a while
I said strongest sign, I know their leaders use it to control them.
You stimulated my last post.
Racism is the strongest sign of intellectual inferiority, aka low IQ, Think how complex humans are. Can people who have to judge them by skin color or ethnicity have anything but the weakest and least used brains?🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Demography #Think #News
I haven't been able to measure it but I think one driver is the high birth rate produces a large middle age out migration that takes a lot of middle age deaths out of the state and retirement brings the healthiest back to die old. A migration effect that makes life expectancy longer.
Based on a lie, Trump is putting Hispanics in jail, and the media pays attention to it, he is attacking cities that have majority black populations and government. The bad thing is the national guard he is using has a large black membership. Would it work without them?🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population
The leaving out the key information as a sales pitch tells me you are untrustworthy capitalist sales pitcher.
Especially since six months after retiring I suffered an encephalitis infection of my brain. When I came to, I could not think for words and after everyone left the hospital I went through the alphabet double letters and could only think of 196 words with those clues. Almost committed suicide.
As I remember it Canada's life expectancy is 3.2 years longer than the United States and they get it by spending very close to half as much on health care as the United States does. We agree but I have strange memories.
Here is another statistical map of the United States. In general Hawaii has consistently had the highest life expectancy of our states. Here the number on each state is the % of the age 20-64 Non-Hispanic Whites who would NOT have died at Hawaii rates. 🧪 💡 ☠️ #Sociology #Population #Politics #Other
Earlier I posted multiple regression results but I don't know how to scatter plot to make the point where the effect is strongest. Here are significant ones in multiple regression: Variable Beta p Pct Bapt 0.42 0.0001 Med Inc -0.28 0.0004 Pct smoke 0.34 0.0003
I am seeing how reposing my own post works. I am a slow learner.
What's up? One is Southern Baptist death rates. Under Obama Care the fundamentalist religions have been able to set up their own health care systems and generally they have low prices because they use prayer for an unmeasured part of it. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population #Demography
Nope, there is solid evidence that burning oil produces is the major cause. The problem is too many people are dumb enough to believe industry propaganda.
Blacks are more likely to be investigated but the problem is the poverty and discrimination push Blacks to more criminal behavior. It takes a long time to describe everything causing this and there is not. enough space to do it here. But thanks for the comments.
I am a good data hound but I can't come up with the slightest possible data sources to evaluate this hypotheses. But, I live in rural Alabama and I can think of a lot of people who fit the don't trust science/medical care and are Southern Baptist cell of thge two by two table.
What's up? One is Southern Baptist death rates. Under Obama Care the fundamentalist religions have been able to set up their own health care systems and generally they have low prices because they use prayer for an unmeasured part of it. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population #Demography
As a demographer who constantly looks at factors that have effects on death rates, let me assure you that 60% living in poverty in the United States is wrong. Go to: www.census.gov/library/publ... and get a good start. Under Trump this time the quality of data may decline but it is still good.
Here is the fixed post that I messed up yesterday. This graph displays the number of lung cancer deaths per 100,00 vertically and the percent who smoke cigarettes horizontally. The ALT text explains more. Also, sorry about the mess up yesterday. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Demography #Population
Just a note on the posting I removed. I got graphic names mixed up and had the wrong label of the column data, it should have been labeled lung cancer deaths per 100,000 instead of percent, I will get it posted correctly tomorrow morning. Sorry.
The vertical is the lung cancer deaths per 100,000.
I labeled it wrong. Let me take it down and fix it. Thanks
This is most likely an example of the dysfunction of near universal literacy. Dumb asses learn to write and do it.
Cook the Turkey breast side down and the natural rising of heat, don’t use a convection oven, will cook dark and white to done right at the same time.
Mine is that the United States younger middle age death rate has been going up since 1999. The cause is capitalist health insurance is denying more and more care.
The United States early
Does he have an hypothesis about something unique about the bitten ones?
I suspect that dean was not instrumental in getting rid of the social sciences. But one dean's views are not necessary consistent with university policies. The fascist right is primary behind getting rid of Anthropology for teaching cultural equality and sociology for showing inequality kills people
Here I first predict life expectancy from money spent of health care for countries that spend $1,000 or more in 2020. The second graph looks at the difference between years lived predicted from money paid and actual. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population #Demography
Fascist have lied their way into administrative position after administrative position after administrative position.
Send me your email to pecanjim@bellsouth.net and I will send it to you.
The problem with private health insurance is that the leaders have moved the profit motive over saving lives. For people private health insurance pays for care the death rate has gone up.
Back during my junior year in high school I left school at noon and went down town, in a town of 365 people, and opened our beer joint. I served beer and cleaned up the place until evening when my parents would come in and run the place. I often came back at closing to take drunk customers home.
When I was about twelve I asked my mother about the memory, describing the white hair and pattern on her dress. Mom stared saying it was my great grandmother. She stopped and said I could not remember her and started worrying about what else I might remember from when she thought I was too young.
Some background. As a 3-year old, I noticed my mother did not read some words in the comic. I started finding the words in a censured sentence in comics before my mother read them and taught myself to read this way. My first memory is from when I was. less than a year old, a great grandmaw pooping.
Also, the people who pay in capitalist make money, in socialist the only cost is the cost of paying for health care. In the United States we have mostly capitalist health care in Canada mostly socialist. Canadians pay about half as much for health care as we do and they live 3.2 years longer.
in socialist, health care is paid for out of taxes collected and government pays the bill. This is the way most industrialized countries do it. Capitalist is you pay for private health insurance for you pay cash for treatment. For example the way our middle age pay for health care.
Also, my daughter followed this with our grand daughter and even though she majored in music, she finished third in the state math competition for high school juniors.
My brain infection blocked access to this part of the memory but his conclusion was based in part his experimenting with his baby daughter. Ah yes, it was pouring water between equal in volume but different height and asking which holds more. When they say they are the same, they are ready for math
In the first book in demography, Bills on mortality by John Graunt in the mid 1600's indicated the age by which half the people died was 18. He calculated that women had to have a baby for each of their two years of living through reproductive years to keep the population alive. The can do more now.
If he was in charge of the highways he would probably get rid of stop lights.
Here is the theory I, as a retired professor who taught statistics to sociology majors, believe. Piaget argues that peoples brains develop the ability to use greater and less at different ages and this is not related to overall intelligence. The cause is late developers are hit with math too early.
South overall leads, in about every death cause I have looked at. That is one hell of a lot of them. I think it is both more blacks and Southern Baptist using prayer for health care. The total number of deaths in 2023 was 3,090,964 and of those 49,316 were suicides.
Here I will start with the conclusion: Here are the numbers: From 1999 through 2023 age 20-54 deaths = 8,330,842 deaths. If their deaths had changed like the age 65-84 it would have been 6,486,057. That is 1,844,785, or 22.1% fewer. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population
Trump always wants to say what he wants to say. In his debate with Biden, he repeated the lie that Hispanics are most criminal six times. He was using Hitler's repeated lies are believed propaganda technique. Science says Blacks are most criminal followed by whites then blacks and then Asians.
It is good that you added not edible.
I went back to look at that data, I remembered looking at it before but could not remember why I did not compare rates. For some reason the software producing the data only provides deaths without population or rates. Somehow I put some of it together in the past but I don't remember how.
I have ran this by age group for the country as a whole, some is age but not most. The problem I have is doing things short enough for Blue Sky. I find the problem is rooted in highly specialized health care. It takes a large population to supply enough work for the highly specialized doctors.
I don't know of any data that will let me do that. In the United States moving data is very limited compared to what you can do with the European countires.
I really appreciate that blsky makes it so possible. I just wish there was a way to post some reality based points on the religious right web sites. It is amazing how Russia like they are.
It only means that each of the six groups changed exactly the same rate. It is purely something very rare is data on the social world. For the rural people, it doesn't mean they get anything better or worse.
After more than half a century of working and playing with statistics, this is the first time I had actual data produce an r of 1.00. See the discussion under ALT to understand this rather complex map substitution for a graph. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population
That is how I saw it.
There are churches everywhere for the terminally ill to turn to. That would not cause a correlation in state level data.
Didn’t the article infants got the antibodies of their mother by nursing?
The right wingers just call their rare idiotic opinion public opinion without measuring public opinion. That should be an impeachable lie.
Could mixed maternal nursing produce a stronger set of infant's antibodies?
In the past I have used multiple regression to find variables significant predictors of state death rates. Percent Southern Baptist came in second to percent who smoke cigarettes. Click the ALT's to look at ages 20-64, 65-84 and 85+. The data are on bottom of pages 2-3.🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population
In reality, described in an earlier post, I started with 13 independent variables. Step by step I eliminated the weakest variable until I had the three strongest, Southern Baptist was one of the three.
I started attending the Southern Baptist church in Butler Oklahoma. But during the drought of the mid 50's we started making moonshine. Then one Sunday the owner of the beer joint place in town gave the church $100 to go tackle the moonshiners. I quit going to church for about 60 years.
I hope some Southern Baptist parents would start to worry about their children.
I will be posting this subject for three age groups with graphs and explanatory text later today.
And I thought I did well with the 300 word limit.
Science loses many by simply reporting direction of the relationship. Saying: "Southern Baptism increases age 20-64 death rates." Versus: "The predicted age 20-64 death rate for Southern Baptist is 204 versus 60 for others." Irritates and loses average and smart people.🧪 #Sociology #Population
Good work deserves words that mean more than a plus sign count.
As a demographer with a PhD since 1973 I habitually work to get numbers right.
Liberal media is fascist media's 643,942nd lie. I don't know how that line just appeared in my head when I woke up this morning but I thought I would share it. Could be dream based. The number is not based on data. 🧪💡☠️ #Demography #Science
The death rate is deaths per 100,000 people.
The big cause of change is the shift from capitalist health insurance for the middle aged to Medicare and the capitalist clone for the elderly. the 55-65 slope is due to the very ill retiring to be on Medicare. Thanks for your thoughts.
The most significant things is the difference. in height. Party should not be a factor in death rates. the ideal would that all three lines were in the same place. The difference by age lets you. know how the undesirable differences change over time as how health care is paid for changes.