The best case scenario is destroying all russian oil production forever, not renewing any relations with them after the war is over and waiting for them to decolonize all the countries they have conquered since 1283
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There's definitely no hope for them for at least 40 years, top indoctrinated. They will never go into the business they were due to crap Putin pulled like using energy as a weapon.
aug 28, 2025, 5:08 pm • 0 0 • view
No ceasefire or peacetalks. Total Russian collapse.
aug 28, 2025, 5:22 pm • 0 0 • view
It's not gonna happen. Putin will hold those territories as long as he lives. Ukraine will agree to a ceasefire on current lines but will never officially cede territory to Russia. If Europe keeps sanctions on until a full withdrawal occurs it can lead to an eventual withdrawal when Putin dies.
aug 29, 2025, 6:28 am • 0 0 • view
So according to this logic, the priority must be on his rapid demise
aug 29, 2025, 6:39 am • 0 0 • view
The best bargaining tool the West has is the 100s of billions in frozen assets. Something the next guy along will desperately need to fix their broken country along with sanctions relief and business deals with the West. Using that to get a full withdrawal from occupied territory is possible.
aug 29, 2025, 7:35 am • 1 0 • view
There's no scenario where Ukraine retakes occupied territory by force (too many mines/fortifications) nor is Putin ever going to leave occupied territory as long as he lives. Will their economy collapse forcing a withdrawal? Possible but unlikely even though their situation is dire.
aug 29, 2025, 7:32 am • 0 0 • view
There is such a scenario - several in fact. If western troops on the ground are ruled out, then the west just supplying Ukraine with all necessary weapons and intel would suffice. The scenario is real, even if difficult given russia’s hold over / kompromat on orange Sphincter Mouth
aug 29, 2025, 9:07 am • 0 0 • view