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OsoPeligroso @oso-peligroso.bsky.social

I wish that were true, but it's not. In a total war gerrymandering situation, maga will win. The reactionary/fascist/maga legislatures will control more total House votes.

aug 20, 2025, 11:33 pm • 4 0

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Salty Snacker 🦋 @saltysnacker.bsky.social

correct

aug 21, 2025, 12:14 am • 1 0 • view
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God @thegodpodcast.com

Bullshit. The Dems have the numbers to create many more districts.

aug 20, 2025, 11:35 pm • 22 2 • view
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OsoPeligroso @oso-peligroso.bsky.social

They don't. I wish you were right, for what it's worth. :/ bsky.app/profile/oso-...

aug 20, 2025, 11:37 pm • 4 0 • view
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God @thegodpodcast.com

I said the Dems would need to create new districts, splitting up the cities. Did you miss that part?

aug 21, 2025, 12:05 am • 16 1 • view
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David R Matthew @silentsight.bsky.social

Correct Dems would need to go into an all out war, use the same dirty tactics MAGA is using… but a lot of establishment Dems are don’t want to follow Newsom because they don’t like him and because many want to be the Dem prez nominee, their infighting might loose against MAGA again

aug 21, 2025, 12:19 am • 6 0 • view
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Mike in Montana @mikeinmt.bsky.social

Just spend 10 minutes here on BlueSky and you'll see the infighting that is going to maybe screw us over- again.

aug 21, 2025, 5:52 am • 0 0 • view
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garbochris.bsky.social @garbochris.bsky.social

That’s your opinion. We’re 14 months away from the midterms. Are you in on the Dems insider game? Seems you are. Be careful assuming things that aren’t fact based.

aug 21, 2025, 12:55 am • 3 0 • view
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garbochris.bsky.social @garbochris.bsky.social

Definitely missed it!!!

aug 21, 2025, 12:50 am • 0 0 • view
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OsoPeligroso @oso-peligroso.bsky.social

I did not. But as I said in the thread I linked to, House seats are capped at 435. The raw numbers of voters on either side don't matter so much when it's a zero-sum game. There are only so many potential House seats and maga controls more of them. It's just the way it is.

aug 21, 2025, 12:12 am • 1 0 • view
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OsoPeligroso @oso-peligroso.bsky.social

The House math does not work. It *does not* work. You can't split up cities and just add districts, that's not how this works. States have # of reps determined by share of national pop every census. They can allot those any way they want, *but the total number of national seats remains the same*.

aug 21, 2025, 12:24 am • 0 0 • view
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Anna J @annaj.bsky.social

Seems like you're good at speaking truth to power. 😆 Please find a way to speak to tRump!

aug 20, 2025, 11:51 pm • 0 0 • view
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dancingcpa.bsky.social @dancingcpa.bsky.social

image
aug 21, 2025, 12:41 am • 0 0 • view
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OsoPeligroso @oso-peligroso.bsky.social

I don't agree with this. Source?

aug 21, 2025, 12:49 am • 0 0 • view
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dancingcpa.bsky.social @dancingcpa.bsky.social

Source? Math. Listed all the States and how they voted in 2024, then looked at Governors.

aug 21, 2025, 2:47 am • 0 0 • view
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OsoPeligroso @oso-peligroso.bsky.social

You are not a serious person. 🙄 When someone asks for a source in good faith, is this how you always respond? Or did you grab a screenshot from someone else's post and just slap it on this thread because you thought you were saying something real, and weren't expecting to have to follow up on it?

aug 21, 2025, 2:51 am • 0 0 • view
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dancingcpa.bsky.social @dancingcpa.bsky.social

I literally made a list of all 50 states, wrote down how many Representatives each had, looked at how they voted in 2024, and then added in Governors.

aug 21, 2025, 2:58 am • 0 0 • view
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OsoPeligroso @oso-peligroso.bsky.social

Lol man, the bots are getting harder and harder to clock. Where did you get the screenshot then?

aug 21, 2025, 3:01 am • 0 0 • view
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dancingcpa.bsky.social @dancingcpa.bsky.social

I wrote that and then made a screenshot. Here are my calcs.

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aug 21, 2025, 3:03 am • 0 0 • view
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OsoPeligroso @oso-peligroso.bsky.social

Look at you! My point stands. I'll just refer you back to the link I shared. Republican-controlled states outnumber the rest, and in an endgame situation, they win. They hold the most potential House seats, and we didn't even talk about structural advantages yet. Sorry.

aug 21, 2025, 3:12 am • 0 0 • view
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Penny Justice 💙 @penny4justice.bsky.social

Not all states can redistrict right now like Texas. Many states have constitutional & legal constraints that restrict or regulate mid-decade redistricting. Some states, like CA, utilize independent redistricting commissions. Very few states can do this & legal challenges can be expected.

aug 21, 2025, 12:45 am • 2 0 • view
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OsoPeligroso @oso-peligroso.bsky.social

Right. My hypothetical is all things being equal wrt redistricting logistics, which they are very much not. I don't have a solution really, I'm just saying the math doesn't work and it never will for Democrats.

aug 21, 2025, 12:48 am • 3 0 • view