Midterms, not really, because you'll still have Trump in the White House with veto power. Next presidential, with unified Democratic control of Congress and the White House, yes. Things done by reconciliation can be undone by reconciliation.

They need beyond reconciliation…either reform the filibuster greatly or just completely abolish it.

A hypothetical future president will have to void everything this usurper regime purported to do. Note its illegitimacy under the 14th amendment; nullify every bill, every appointment (judicial or otherwise), every order, all at once. Most likely the next republics will have to clean up the mess.

Most of it takes effect now, upon Trump signing it into law. Nothing in the bill on SSDI. But the $6,000 "senior bonus" is going to have a huge hit on OASDI by lowering the threshold on the amount of FICA taxes collected. It puts OASDI in an even more fragile place budgetarily.

Thank you, the OASDI is what I had in mind.

What about mandatory sequestration from PAYGO rules? That will cut Medicare.

My political take from all this: We've seen the end of HFC as we know it. Joke on the Hill is that it's really the "Folding Caucus." It didn't really get win concessions. Those promises are hocus-pocus, wish-and-hope "promises." Trump & Johnson know HFC will ultimately cave on everything now.

If HFC was ever gonna draw a serious line in the sand on the national debt, this was the time to do it. Instead, they got some vague assurances about tariffs and potential executive orders and fake economic growth numbers. HFC got rolled. They know it. Trump knows it. Johnson knows it. We know it.

Here ya go. I read the bill so you don't have to:

did PBS/NPR funding survive?

Is this a gift link?

Hands down first noticeable effects will be the immigration money. This is **so much money.** It will make ICE the US's largest jailer. It will militarize the border and immigration operations even more. You thought mass deportations were intense now? Hoo boy. Buckle up.

And they are going to get very very sloppy about how they spend the money so they can please the Felon ASAP.

The end of the USA as we have known it. It’s already an unrecognizable country. It’s so cute how Dems keep trying to tell us “hey man just vote! in a year and a half!” The damage done in less than six months, does not bode well.

Wouldn't be surprised by this, especially in the Northeast or Pacific Northwest, but not something I follow super closely.

Right now.

How grim

Grotesque

Valadao has the largest Medicaid constituency in the country. Johnson and Emmer whipped this vote really hard so he wouldn't have to be a Yes and they could protect him politically. He voted Yes, anyway.

That is a different piece of legislation called a "rescissions package." That passed the House. The Senate is expected to take it up later in the month.