Or (1B) intrinsic change in severity (no particular evidence for this). Or (2) a change in testing, or coding of deaths (no particular evidence for this either. After the wave we'll have a better picture, and can break out by age, geography, etc.
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It's already evident that this wave is very focused in children
sep 3, 2025, 6:51 am • 1 0 • view
The burst of infections in school-aged kids is a feature every end-of summer (and to a smaller extent in January) in the US. This separation of proportionality of ED/hospitalization/deaths seems to be in addition to that effect, and it started much earlier.
sep 3, 2025, 7:42 am • 1 0 • view
This wave is very modest in 75+ age, but yes the deaths are lower than expected even after accounting for it. It is visible in covid net, how after years during which elderly dominated the hospitalizations by growing margins, this wave turned it around
sep 3, 2025, 9:33 am • 1 0 • view