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David Hood @thoughtfulnz.bsky.social

I accept there are funding issues nationwide, but I have been keeping a pretty close eye on the sentinel hospital tests conducted because of it. Start of June 2024, SARI admissions 90 Flu/RSV/Covid panels 89 Start of June 2025, SARI admissions 86 Flu/RSV/Covid panels 82

jun 10, 2025, 10:26 pm • 0 0

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Ryan Radecki MD MS @www.evidencetriage.com

I do feel like the presentations are outpacing the testing results — the lab reports don’t have much of a bump yet.

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jun 16, 2025, 9:04 pm • 0 0 • view
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John Pickering @kiwiskinz.bsky.social

Now you’re talking my kind of data Ryan, literally. I can have a look next week if it helps

jun 16, 2025, 9:33 pm • 1 0 • view
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David Hood @thoughtfulnz.bsky.social

Here is both Christchurch covid wastewater levels (red line) [source:ESR] and Canterbury DHB in hospital at midnight with a covid diagnosis - mostly SARI cases (purple dots) [source, MoH covid GitHub repo], scaled to total ILI ED attendances for March & April 2023 (as community wastewater similar)

Added red line Christhchurch covid wastewater per person, purple dots overnight inpatients with covid in Canterbury
jun 16, 2025, 10:03 pm • 0 0 • view
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Ryan Radecki MD MS @www.evidencetriage.com

Well, then – perhaps not necessarily outpacing, but roughly matching! Feels like the tidal wave is just about to hit ...

jun 16, 2025, 10:06 pm • 0 0 • view
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David Hood @thoughtfulnz.bsky.social

This is what Christchurch covid wastewater levels look like, scaled to match March & April 2023 ILI presentation levels (which is around the same level current wastewater is at).

Added line for wastewater in red
jun 16, 2025, 9:36 pm • 0 0 • view
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Ryan Radecki MD MS @www.evidencetriage.com

Fair enough - surveillance must be separate from clinical operations.

jun 10, 2025, 11:01 pm • 0 0 • view
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David Hood @thoughtfulnz.bsky.social

But because the SHIVERS project (southern hemisphere influenza vaccine effectiveness, research & surveillance) is at least in part CDC funded, I do wonder if someday some of the monitoring will just stop (the sentinel hospital testing and the Wellkiwis community cohort study have been connected)

jun 10, 2025, 11:22 pm • 0 0 • view