avatar
Peter Ellis @freerangestats.info

Of course, to do c) well in terms of generating profit etc you want good understanding of the actual economy, and good official stats. But if you are just in the financial market for the casino / beauty contest and betting which way everyone else goes, they could just as well be random numbers.

aug 4, 2025, 9:42 pm • 3 0

Replies

avatar
econmaett @econmaett.github.io

@freerangestats.info sorry I misunderstood your post. You're exactly right. For a man like Dalio, it's no problem if the BLS numbers are unreliable. In fact, it's even beneficial for him. The more difficult it is for investors to assess the economy, the more likely they'll seek his advice.

aug 4, 2025, 10:18 pm • 2 0 • view
avatar
Claudia Sahm @claudia-sahm.bsky.social

it’s real money too. TIPS will be a mess if the WH starts manipulating the CPI. BLS does the employment and inflation data.

aug 4, 2025, 9:47 pm • 4 1 • view
avatar
Peter Ellis @freerangestats.info

yes, I agree - but I see this as part of a) (technocratic decision-making with eg index-adjusted benefits) and then presumably b) (if things get too bad, people will start changing votes).

aug 4, 2025, 10:05 pm • 2 0 • view