Call me a pessimist but a 1.3per cent chance of being wiped out by the asteroid in 7 years time does not sound that small at all www.bbc.com/news/article...
Replies
Can it selectively hit mar-a-lago?
feb 4, 2025, 3:22 am • 11 0 • view
Why do you want it to take out First Lady Donald. Should hope it hits Fuhrer Musk.
feb 4, 2025, 4:37 am • 4 0 • view
I was hoping for both.
feb 4, 2025, 10:07 am • 2 0 • view
Did you see the doomsday clock? Zionists, (Jewish & Non-Jewish), will most likely end human existence before that astroid does.
feb 4, 2025, 7:16 pm • 0 0 • view
We wouldn’t even be wiped out. This thing is at most 100 meters across, it would only damage about 50km around itself if it even touched ground and not the massive amount of ocean. Unfortunately, we’re just gonna have to “fuck it, we ball” through this
feb 4, 2025, 3:40 am • 0 0 • view
😱
feb 4, 2025, 7:51 pm • 0 0 • view
1% chance of hitting earth, but it wouldn't wipe it out. It is not even certain that it would affect anybodybif it hit the ocean
feb 4, 2025, 8:11 am • 2 0 • view
Given how many times my video game run was broken by a 1% critical chance.... I'd agree. (thanks fire emblem)
feb 4, 2025, 7:51 am • 2 0 • view
1% is not astronomical odds; that’s a real possibility.
feb 4, 2025, 4:56 am • 0 0 • view
I think it sounds great. I’m an optimist. It would be like winning the lottery.
feb 4, 2025, 8:30 am • 0 0 • view
Last time I read about this, it was only 1%. It's growing!
feb 4, 2025, 4:15 am • 0 0 • view
You are a pessimist. There's a 98.7% chance it won't happen. Tell me those are the odds of my winning the lottery and my money is in the till.
feb 4, 2025, 5:40 pm • 0 0 • view
The money should make up what I lost during Tarrif Talk Weekend.
feb 4, 2025, 5:41 pm • 0 0 • view
Is there a way we can increase that chance? Asking for a friend.
feb 4, 2025, 9:46 pm • 0 0 • view
Only 40-90m across. Would be the equivalent of a nuclear bomb. It’s not the one you should be looking for. The one you should be looking for is the one that will cause a tsunami, shake the earth, destroy a third of the ships at sea, and cause debris to darken the sun for several days.
feb 4, 2025, 10:14 am • 1 0 • view
Exactly what i thought
feb 4, 2025, 6:00 am • 0 0 • view
Honestly, rooting for the asteroid this time
feb 4, 2025, 4:39 am • 1 0 • view
There’s a 90% chance we’re about to get wiped out by an assteroid from South Africa.
feb 4, 2025, 4:15 am • 11 0 • view
feb 4, 2025, 5:55 am • 1 0 • view
I’m team asteroid here.
feb 4, 2025, 3:37 am • 1 0 • view
What if it hits the White House?
feb 4, 2025, 7:21 am • 0 0 • view
...or that bad.
feb 4, 2025, 4:25 am • 0 0 • view
Don't worry, we will probably self destruct ourselves by then.
feb 4, 2025, 10:10 am • 1 0 • view
after looking at the article, the asteroid, if it hits, would likely hit the ocean, and apparently it would only have the effect of a nuclear bomb, so it wouldn’t destroy the whole world. worst case scenario it hits a population center, but still not world-ending
feb 5, 2025, 9:27 am • 0 0 • view
More nasa make believe
feb 4, 2025, 10:03 pm • 0 0 • view
It is not a planet killer. It is only a city killer. So if there is only a 1% chance of hitting the planet then what is the probability for Your city? They should have really good data in 5 years. Trump will start WWIII before then so there may not be any astronomers left. So Chill!
feb 4, 2025, 4:09 am • 1 0 • view
My passport expires in 2032. Maybe I won’t need to renew it.
feb 4, 2025, 3:08 am • 6 0 • view
Don’t look up
feb 4, 2025, 4:46 am • 0 0 • view
We can only hope, can we speed this up??
feb 4, 2025, 10:49 am • 2 0 • view
Is there anyway to get it to 100% before the end of the year ? I think earth is overdue for a hard reset.. 😕
feb 5, 2025, 12:17 am • 5 0 • view
One can only hope. Maybe it will speed up.
feb 4, 2025, 4:58 pm • 0 0 • view
IT WILL STILL BE BETTER THAN THE THE ASS-TEROID ATTACK AMERICA EXPERIENCED WHEN DONALD TRUMP WAS ELECTED !
feb 4, 2025, 9:32 am • 2 0 • view
IF IT DOES IMPACT THE EARTH IT WILL RESEMBLE A SMALL NUCLEAR EXPLOSION SIMILAR TO THE HIROSHIMA ATOMIC BOMB ATTACK DURING WORLD WAR II ON JAPAN !
feb 4, 2025, 9:30 am • 0 0 • view
It also doesn't sound all that bad :)
feb 4, 2025, 12:24 pm • 0 0 • view
With how rapidly the temp is rising globally, there will be billions displaced as a result of locations being too hot or cold to live in anymore. I think there will be so much else on our minds that we might even have a sigh of relief if we look up and see that 1% was plenty.
feb 4, 2025, 5:59 pm • 0 0 • view
40m - 90m is not a "wiped out" scenario for Earth But, it would efficiently wipe out a city.
feb 4, 2025, 2:59 am • 5 0 • view
And there’d be a good probability it would hit out in the ocean somewhere.
feb 4, 2025, 3:34 am • 0 0 • view
I have a list of candidates…do we get to choose?
feb 4, 2025, 3:00 am • 10 0 • view
😂
feb 4, 2025, 3:01 am • 2 0 • view
Doesn’t sound so bad either.
feb 4, 2025, 3:48 am • 0 0 • view
Rooting for a meteor is always on my bingo card these days.
feb 4, 2025, 4:14 am • 3 0 • view
99% chance trump does it in 6 months
feb 4, 2025, 4:27 am • 1 0 • view
Compared to a 40 per cent risk of Long COVID after your third SARS-CoV-2 infection, it is small. But it seems that humans are not geared to understand the first thing about risk. So, eyes down, nothing to see here 😞
feb 4, 2025, 11:49 pm • 0 0 • view
Read the article!! The asteroid in question is a city-killer, not a planet-killer.
feb 4, 2025, 2:49 am • 2 0 • view
We will be begging for it sooner the way things with Trump are going.
feb 4, 2025, 5:31 am • 0 0 • view
Apparently as data becomes more complete over time, likelihoods tend to reduce. But I'm with you.
feb 4, 2025, 3:12 pm • 0 0 • view
It's less than 100 meters in diameter, depending material it will either break up in the atmosphere like the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor, maybe it will cause a larger explosion like the Tunguska event of 1908, with bad luck it will be a city-killer, but that's it, no extinction event for sure!
feb 4, 2025, 7:28 am • 4 0 • view
Damn!
feb 4, 2025, 12:09 pm • 0 0 • view
We’ve had a lot of really unbelievably bad shit happen in the last decade so i wouldn’t count it out
feb 4, 2025, 6:00 am • 0 0 • view
Or all that bad….
feb 4, 2025, 12:21 pm • 0 0 • view
Creeshtins want the apocalypse ‘cuz then they can meet Jesus. 🙄
feb 4, 2025, 9:41 am • 1 0 • view
Meh. It’s time to wipe humans off the earth. We’ve fucked it over enough. Let the octopi take over from here.
feb 4, 2025, 4:55 am • 0 0 • view
I'm 100% rooting for the asteroid at this point.
feb 4, 2025, 2:59 am • 34 1 • view
it needs to land on Washington dc though to do any good
feb 4, 2025, 1:55 pm • 3 0 • view
The words ‘doing billions of dollars worth of improvements’ somehow have been running through my head
feb 4, 2025, 1:59 pm • 2 0 • view
1.3%? We need to get those numbers up.
feb 4, 2025, 9:09 pm • 0 0 • view
Call me an optimist, but it would at least take care of the fascism problem that is creeping all over the world right now
feb 4, 2025, 10:25 pm • 1 0 • view
At this stage, it doesn't sound so bad either.
feb 4, 2025, 4:38 am • 0 0 • view
As asteroids go, it’s a small one, just big enough to destroy a city.
feb 4, 2025, 10:51 am • 1 0 • view
It's too tiny for that. Would only do damage for a couple hundred mi. And after that 1.3% chance, there's only roughly a 3.1% chance to hit near a populated zone on earth.
feb 4, 2025, 6:04 am • 0 0 • view
It also doesn’t sound that bad right now. 🤷♀️
feb 4, 2025, 1:26 pm • 0 0 • view
I know, it sounds positively lovely.
feb 4, 2025, 3:19 pm • 0 0 • view
It's deffo not big enough to wipe us out, but it is big enough to cause damage similar to the Tunguska Event. We're talking about 31 square miles of damage. We're also monitoring it constantly and will be able to tell where it'll land closer to the time, so casualties should be minimal 👍
feb 4, 2025, 6:25 am • 0 0 • view
At this point, is that better or worse?
feb 4, 2025, 5:05 am • 0 0 • view
Chances are never zero...
feb 4, 2025, 3:39 am • 0 0 • view
To me all of this says based on our trajectory, that we are living in a simulation and the simulation has a logical conclusion.
feb 4, 2025, 10:21 am • 2 0 • view
Not to be rude, but all those wishing for it to hit: why wait? If you want to be gone that bad, then go. Some of us want to continue existing.
feb 4, 2025, 5:05 am • 0 0 • view
I'm just tired. One crisis at a time please. 🤣
feb 4, 2025, 5:21 am • 1 0 • view
Magnitude is a "potential city killer." So...which city?
feb 4, 2025, 2:48 am • 5 0 • view
I vote for Las Vegas.
feb 16, 2025, 9:15 pm • 0 0 • view
I refuse to calm down
feb 4, 2025, 2:52 am • 0 0 • view
NASA's rocket to divert them experiment worked. We can do it. What is Bruce Willis up to these days?
feb 4, 2025, 2:53 am • 3 0 • view
he can't say.
feb 4, 2025, 3:02 am • 2 0 • view
With potential asteroid impacts, you can calculate where on Earth they might impact if they do hit Earth - for this one it is somewhere on this line.
feb 4, 2025, 3:29 am • 3 0 • view
On the off chance we still have some tropical rain forest stubbornly hanging on in 2032, this might just finish the job.
feb 4, 2025, 4:47 am • 2 0 • view
Can we choose?
feb 4, 2025, 10:45 am • 1 0 • view
It will wipe out a city, not the whole planet
feb 4, 2025, 7:07 am • 0 0 • view
feb 4, 2025, 5:31 am • 0 0 • view
We've already proved we can alter their trajectory though, just go do it if we need to.
feb 4, 2025, 3:45 am • 0 0 • view
It's around the percentage of fentanyl that comes into the US from Canada. And we know that's a YUGE deal.
feb 4, 2025, 11:51 am • 3 0 • view
OMG, we’re all thinking the same thing…if only.🤣🤣🤣
feb 4, 2025, 8:26 am • 2 0 • view
It’s not actually an extinction level one. Phil Plait wrote about it this week in his news letter. Still big enough to do considerable damage though.
feb 4, 2025, 7:12 am • 1 0 • view
Meh, the way things are going, it’s better than nothing. 🤷♂️
feb 4, 2025, 10:21 am • 1 0 • view
“Don’t look up”
feb 4, 2025, 8:22 am • 2 0 • view
Excellent movie
feb 4, 2025, 9:47 am • 1 0 • view
I’m torn on this one. If we can’t get everyone on the same page regarding climate change, an instantaneous termination might just be preferable to the misery and suffering of a long, drawn out climate death. I’m not in touch with my optimistic side tonight. apologies.
feb 4, 2025, 5:16 am • 1 0 • view
Meh... it's < 100m in diameter. Just need it to hit Trump whilst on vacation in a remote location.
feb 4, 2025, 3:43 am • 5 0 • view
Yeah, but if it lands in Florida ... 😎
feb 4, 2025, 3:42 am • 0 0 • view
feb 4, 2025, 5:27 am • 1 0 • view
Agreed. How do we increase these odds?
feb 5, 2025, 12:42 am • 0 0 • view
Call me an optimist, but the universe is finally sending a reset after what it's seen of humans.
feb 4, 2025, 4:18 am • 0 0 • view
Maybe if we all crowd to one side we can swerve and avoid catastrophe .
feb 4, 2025, 1:24 pm • 0 0 • view
a failed attempt is just floating around. they thought it was a new asteroid, disc. no. pc of his shit. big one.
feb 4, 2025, 4:34 am • 0 0 • view
wait til musk' starship/gazer b/s falls outta the sky.
feb 4, 2025, 4:33 am • 0 0 • view
All it would take is that asteroid to be hit by a small asteroid at an extreme distance to make that 1.3 % chance turn into a 100% certainty !
feb 4, 2025, 10:03 am • 2 0 • view
If Felon47 is still in office with his little sidekick Musk, I'll be praying it hits us.
feb 4, 2025, 11:46 am • 0 0 • view
An asteroid the size of a football field hitting the Earth would be bad for wherever it hit, much like a nuclear bomb would be bad for wherever it hit. Bad, but not even close to an extinction-level event. And certainly not as bad as what humans are already doing to the planet. I'm not worried.
feb 4, 2025, 9:04 am • 8 0 • view
I'm at the stage of this madness that things are hysterically funny. Thanks for this one.
feb 4, 2025, 5:26 am • 0 0 • view
It's not big enough to wipe much out, a city maybe. Half of that ~1.5% chance are also ocean impacts. It's by far most likely to miss us.
feb 4, 2025, 7:54 am • 5 0 • view
How can we make sure this asteroid does not miss us
feb 4, 2025, 2:09 pm • 0 0 • view
Nor does it sound particularly bad...
feb 4, 2025, 9:13 am • 0 0 • view
I know, I'm hopeful too
feb 4, 2025, 4:44 am • 0 0 • view
I was thinking the exact same thing!
feb 4, 2025, 6:19 pm • 0 0 • view
on the plus side, it would solve all our problems
feb 4, 2025, 5:29 am • 0 0 • view
STOP. RESEARCH.
feb 4, 2025, 3:40 am • 0 0 • view
Did you read the article?
feb 4, 2025, 11:54 am • 0 0 • view
feb 4, 2025, 3:20 pm • 2 0 • view
Can you put a guidance system on it and aim it at Elon Musk's house?
feb 4, 2025, 3:06 am • 40 0 • view
Does he even own a house? He seems like he spawns from place to place. I’m not convinced he’s a human. More like a boiled bag of backwater feces.
feb 4, 2025, 6:42 am • 21 0 • view
Put Elon in charge of definitely not letting it hit mara-lago while orange hitler is in residence with his gang of crooks and incompetents, psychos and pervs.
feb 4, 2025, 5:50 am • 0 0 • view
If it does crash, I hope it's right on top of Musk.
feb 4, 2025, 3:39 am • 8 1 • view
That’s not night enough for my liking. What does need to bump that number up to 98%
feb 4, 2025, 4:34 am • 0 0 • view
I’m rooting for the asteroid at this point
feb 4, 2025, 5:25 am • 0 0 • view
I love the optimism that we'll still be around in 7 years for it to matter.
feb 4, 2025, 12:09 pm • 0 0 • view
If it hits Kremlin or Mar-a-Lago it is a big chance for mankind!
feb 4, 2025, 6:20 am • 4 0 • view
Please hurry.
feb 4, 2025, 4:46 pm • 5 0 • view
The dolphins have promised me a ride.
feb 4, 2025, 4:06 am • 0 0 • view
I'd like to speed it up. Let's do some For All Mankind shit and alter its trajectory so it gets here in a week and impacts Washington DC directly. #TeamAsteroid
feb 4, 2025, 3:30 am • 0 0 • view
bsky.app/profile/gnoc...
feb 4, 2025, 4:34 am • 1 0 • view
So Musk has seven years to get his ass to Mars. Please make a Maga ark and get going…
feb 4, 2025, 4:17 am • 0 0 • view
i’ve hit gacha pulls more unlikely than this
feb 5, 2025, 5:10 am • 0 0 • view
Like the climate crisis they’ll wait till the day before impact, and say hey this could be a problem, maybe we should do something about it? Maybe next week…
feb 4, 2025, 7:03 am • 0 0 • view
Cheering for the asteroid
feb 4, 2025, 12:01 pm • 3 0 • view
Nor to me BUT with a little luck it would fall on a MAGA convention.
feb 4, 2025, 1:07 pm • 0 0 • view
We’ll be gone by then! I never get to do anything fun!
feb 4, 2025, 3:35 am • 0 0 • view
Unfortunately it’s not large enough to wipe us all out. We can dream though.
feb 4, 2025, 3:41 am • 0 0 • view
Oh, so this is "Don't look up." I guess the people who voted for the asteroid 2024 are the real winners here.
feb 4, 2025, 6:38 am • 0 0 • view
That’s a really long time. We’re only 14 days into this hellscape and it’s already been 7 years long.
feb 4, 2025, 11:17 am • 22 0 • view
Yeah, somebody probably needs to get on this, stat.
feb 4, 2025, 5:14 am • 0 0 • view
Astronomically, it's a pretty damn good chance. And I'm hoping for it.
feb 4, 2025, 3:05 am • 54 0 • view
At this point it is the only logical position to adopt
feb 4, 2025, 3:39 am • 31 0 • view
It's at most 100 meters in diameter. Not a planet killer or civilization-ending. More like Meteor Crater in Arizona if this one is iron-nickle, but it may be a stony asteroid, so were talking about a Tunguska type of event. It would need to hit an active volcano complex to make a real catastrophe.
feb 4, 2025, 4:30 am • 32 0 • view
I mean, those two events you describe would be a pretty bad day for a city, remember when that one fireball came down in Russia, popped mid-air and shattered windows across a whole area?
feb 4, 2025, 5:21 am • 1 0 • view
It would be bad and damaging, but wouldn't be any worse than a mega-thrust quake which would destroy whole cities. In fact, such a quake is probably more likely in the Pacific Northwest or south America than such an asteroid strike.
feb 4, 2025, 5:25 am • 3 0 • view
Indeed, still real real crappy tho
feb 4, 2025, 6:04 am • 1 0 • view
depends on speed too
feb 4, 2025, 9:15 am • 0 0 • view
What if it hits a city or causes a tsunami?
feb 4, 2025, 10:57 am • 0 0 • view
If it really is an impactor, we would be able to predict the impact site and evacuate people accordingly
feb 4, 2025, 2:09 pm • 0 0 • view
So you're saying we need to pray it hits Felon47's golf cart?
feb 4, 2025, 11:48 am • 10 0 • view
So you're saying that I need to pray for it to hit Yellowstone
feb 4, 2025, 5:52 am • 17 0 • view
I thought that show ended.
feb 4, 2025, 5:56 am • 0 0 • view
I can absolutely get behind this stance lol.
feb 4, 2025, 7:13 am • 7 0 • view
That was also someone else's sentiment. I think a lot of us are on the same page.
feb 4, 2025, 5:56 am • 1 0 • view
Thoughts and prayers to the asteroid. Can it move its schedule up a bit? Given it now turns out that Musk and Trump are literally building Skynet, I’m 10 toes in.
feb 4, 2025, 5:28 am • 0 0 • view
feb 4, 2025, 5:29 am • 0 0 • view
HAL ? Silly idea
feb 4, 2025, 5:31 am • 1 0 • view
I don’t think you want to do that Safexxi…daisy daisy….
feb 4, 2025, 5:50 am • 1 0 • view
Don’t worry. Trump will use the nuclear codes well before that happens.
feb 4, 2025, 3:08 am • 14 0 • view
From the same guy who told people injecting disinfectants would kill covid? That’s not very encouraging.
feb 4, 2025, 4:51 am • 3 0 • view
Us or the asteroid?
feb 4, 2025, 5:31 am • 0 0 • view
He will blame DEI or Obama.
feb 4, 2025, 10:48 am • 3 0 • view
What if I could raise that percentage a bit? At this point, we as a species deserve it. Happy to help.
feb 4, 2025, 4:13 am • 3 0 • view
It sounds great. I await the great asteroid strike.
feb 4, 2025, 3:22 am • 8 0 • view
That would be bad if that is what the article said.
feb 4, 2025, 6:36 am • 1 0 • view
Come on asteroid!
feb 4, 2025, 5:50 am • 0 0 • view
oh so timely Fall of democracy End of Earth cool cool
feb 4, 2025, 6:11 am • 0 0 • view
It is small, but not "tiny" (as some media call it)
feb 4, 2025, 10:56 am • 1 0 • view
Trump: I can do better than that!!
feb 4, 2025, 7:06 am • 0 0 • view
Agreed. Let's all start making a ton of conflicting plans for NYE that year...the universe wouldn't pass up an opportunity to make us all look like total dicks on 1/1/2033.
feb 4, 2025, 2:54 am • 2 0 • view
feb 4, 2025, 3:30 am • 108 1 • view
Please
feb 4, 2025, 3:54 pm • 0 0 • view
feb 4, 2025, 5:57 am • 0 0 • view
I agree. It’s way too much for comfort. But also kind of fitting.
feb 4, 2025, 6:48 am • 0 0 • view
SPACE FORCE!!!!!! Get on the task of knocking that Asshole-teroid off course. FYI, I'm talking about the roid Trump not that rock in outer space.
feb 4, 2025, 4:02 am • 0 0 • view
At this point i wish it was going faster
feb 4, 2025, 2:06 pm • 0 0 • view
Those of us in America were hoping for 13 percent.
feb 4, 2025, 5:44 am • 0 0 • view
If Trump is still in charge at that time, I’m rooting for the asteroid. ☄️
feb 4, 2025, 3:25 am • 0 0 • view
LFG!!!!
feb 4, 2025, 4:35 am • 0 0 • view
That's the possibility it impacting earth, multiply that by your chances of being anywhere near impact and product is really small. You have a larger chance of being a victim of a piano falling on you. Does that make you feel better?
feb 4, 2025, 4:49 am • 0 0 • view
If you had a 98.7% chance of winning the lottery, you'd certainly buy a ticket.
feb 4, 2025, 12:35 pm • 4 0 • view
It is relatively small, and will likely burn up in the atmosphere to a reasonable size and land in the ocean.
feb 4, 2025, 6:41 am • 0 0 • view
Can it come sooner?
feb 4, 2025, 5:14 am • 0 0 • view
'We're glad to welcome you to your Spirit Airlines flight and we want you to know there's a solid 98.7% chance you will arrive at your destination alive.'
feb 4, 2025, 11:04 am • 9 0 • view
I kind of feel like I’m ready for it.
feb 4, 2025, 6:33 am • 1 0 • view
Dang. This decade is not shaping up to be one of the best!
feb 4, 2025, 5:49 am • 0 0 • view
I know where it needs to hit🤣 or should I say who?💜💜💜💜
feb 4, 2025, 6:08 am • 1 0 • view
I hope it hits my house 😭
feb 4, 2025, 4:16 am • 1 0 • view
Netflix made a very believable movie about this… and it didn’t end well because of oligarchs.
feb 4, 2025, 3:04 am • 17 1 • view
We have a 90% chance of civilisational collapse by 2100.
feb 4, 2025, 7:57 am • 2 0 • view
Not wiped out the size of the asteroid is too small, we may get a Tunguska sized event if it hits. youtu.be/QmYT1DDtoJo
feb 4, 2025, 9:35 am • 1 0 • view
Even if it does hit, it's not going to be a world ending catastrophe like the K-Pg boundary that ended the dinosaurs. It will be like a 5 to 50 megaton nuclear warhead, pretty damn bad if it hits a population centre, but this is not likely. The Tsar Bomba was about as big.
feb 4, 2025, 6:29 am • 0 0 • view
It won't happen, Ronnie Radkey made a song about 2034, we good. #noworries
feb 5, 2025, 2:07 am • 0 0 • view
I'm hearing I only have to handle this horseshizz for another 7 years. Feels more doable than 50 years.
feb 4, 2025, 3:27 am • 0 0 • view
In 2016 Trump had a 1.3% chance of winning the election.
feb 4, 2025, 3:24 am • 2 0 • view
Right now, it's 1.5%. cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/detai... The asteroid energy is 7.861 Megatons of TNT. That's like a fairly large hydrogen bomb. It's sufficient to wipe out one big city, not more than that. But it will probably fall in an ocean, causing a tsunami.
feb 4, 2025, 5:26 am • 2 0 • view
How to make you an optimist: This result is caused by the parameters of this asteroid of “now” and every parameter gets an error bar. Error propagation leads to 1.3%. Because we do not know all the interactions, a future measurement and calculation will often lead to an even smaller chance than now.
feb 4, 2025, 12:41 pm • 2 0 • view
You’re wright. After error correction I could be worst 😬
feb 4, 2025, 1:13 pm • 0 0 • view
You can think of a window (representing the error) that is a bit bigger then the diameter of earth and just a corner of it intersects with earth (1.3% chance). With newer data this window gets even smaller and maybe it will shift a bit but then earth might be out of that window and the chance is 0%.
feb 4, 2025, 1:45 pm • 0 0 • view
Cheer up. Chances are you will be dead by then due to preventable illness and lack of healthcare options.
feb 4, 2025, 8:34 pm • 8 0 • view
It could be a longer game. Dismantle the Dept of Ed. leads to literacy issues, causing a downturn in intelligent recruits in the military, that are overrun by enemy elementary students playing keep away.
feb 5, 2025, 2:17 am • 0 0 • view
Since about two weeks ago the prospect of having the planet destroyed by an asteroid has become somewhat of an intriguing prospect as opposed to a horrifying one.
feb 4, 2025, 5:02 am • 0 0 • view
Anything non-zero is too large.
feb 4, 2025, 1:17 pm • 0 0 • view
It won’t wipe out the earth if it hits. 1.3 chance it hits earth, much smaller chance it hits you.
feb 4, 2025, 2:49 am • 2 0 • view
Yeah but if it hits hard enough to make a few years of winter that won’t matter
feb 4, 2025, 2:51 am • 3 0 • view
Fair. Now I am waiting for N0stradamus nutters claiming credit…
feb 4, 2025, 2:57 am • 3 0 • view
Sorry being the reply guy
feb 4, 2025, 2:50 am • 2 0 • view
No ! You are right…. I just saw the % and panicked
feb 4, 2025, 2:53 am • 0 0 • view
Still not small enough! …. but point taken - I always thought the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs was supposedly *not that big*
feb 4, 2025, 2:51 am • 0 0 • view
Dinosaur killer was 10km wide. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicxul... This is 40-90 metres across.
feb 4, 2025, 2:55 am • 0 0 • view
We get one small ray of hope and you just dash it on the rocks.
feb 4, 2025, 3:00 am • 1 0 • view
🥃🧊
feb 4, 2025, 3:01 am • 1 0 • view
Damn that 1%. They're at it again.
feb 4, 2025, 7:30 am • 0 0 • view
I mean, would it really be so terrible at this point?
feb 4, 2025, 4:46 am • 1 0 • view
thoughts and asteroids 🙏
feb 4, 2025, 4:54 am • 0 0 • view
There are better odds to be found closer on the timeline. AI in its primitive iteration monitoring and controlling a nuclear arsenal for instance... futurism.com/openai-signs...
feb 4, 2025, 11:35 am • 1 0 • view
Possible impact areas are supposed to run roughly along the equator across S. America, the Atlantic, Africa and then across the Indian Ocean to India. It’s big enough to destroy a city and certainly nothing to dismiss, but it’s not an extinction event.
feb 4, 2025, 3:57 am • 1 0 • view
Damn the path isn't across DC.
feb 4, 2025, 4:41 am • 0 0 • view
...Call me an optimist because it doesn't sound that bad either.
feb 4, 2025, 12:05 pm • 6 0 • view
Right?
feb 4, 2025, 12:48 pm • 1 0 • view
No worries, dear leader will fix it.
feb 4, 2025, 3:20 am • 0 0 • view
I pray it wipes us the fuck out
feb 4, 2025, 3:27 am • 0 0 • view
I’m on the avian influenza team, but game for either.
feb 4, 2025, 3:37 am • 1 0 • view
Or thermonuclear war!
feb 4, 2025, 3:39 am • 1 0 • view
feb 4, 2025, 5:56 am • 1 0 • view
This isn't a dinosaur extinction sized asteroid. Even if it did hit Earth in a populated area (highly unlikely, Earth is huge) it would cause only local damage. In other words, we have bigger fish to fry.
feb 4, 2025, 4:38 am • 0 0 • view
It's got only a 1.3% chance of hitting the earth at all. Of that 1.3% chance, there's a 71% chance it will hit an ocean, and harm no one, and if it does hit land, only 3% of the land is urban areas and 40% is agriculture. That makes a 0.215% chance of a significant impact.
feb 4, 2025, 2:12 pm • 2 0 • view
Can we figure out a way to aim it at Mar-a-Lago?
feb 4, 2025, 4:44 am • 1 0 • view
The way things have been going for us, 1+% chance of being hit by an asteroid means we are def gonna get hit…
feb 4, 2025, 5:26 am • 2 0 • view
Call me nihilistic, but it sounds like hope to me.
feb 4, 2025, 12:07 pm • 0 0 • view