Obviously getting kids into schools is important early on, but does anyone know if the bit that's being quoted everywhere about being more likely to miss school later if miss a day next week is causation and not just logical correlation? As in kids with bad attendance just more likely to be off?
Oliver Johnson has done some good quick and dirty analysis on this here: bristoliver.substack.com/p/bad-bbc-st...
Ah thank you. So yes they're basically reporting correlation.
Exactly - surely it’s just obvious that if you’re going to allow your child to stay off lots during the school year, you’re also more likely to keep them off during the first week. It’s a v bizarre story!
I get it might be a good time to sort of push generally though. But yeah it feels a bit flaky.
Yes - it’s a basic ‘start as you mean to go on’ approach, but trying to sell it as some kind of causation is deeply flakey
That was my thought when I saw it.
BBC dropped this, but no indication of causation: www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
That's what I thought when I heard the comment on the radio this morning. It sounded like they're just searching for an easy solution so they can avoid having to address the underlying societal issues.