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Joel Budd @joelbudd.bsky.social

Economists: is this true of inflation? At moments of high food-price inflation but falling petrol prices, do people’s inflation perceptions anchor to food, and vice versa? Or do inflation perceptions reflect general inflation quite well?

aug 23, 2025, 7:09 am • 5 0

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Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social

I think there is reasonable evidence that the public (much to the annoyance of central bankers) is very sensitive to ‘anti-core’ inflation - food and energy.

aug 23, 2025, 7:34 am • 7 0 • view
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Alan Pennie @telston.bsky.social

It's what's most immediately noticeable, so it makes intuitive sense.

aug 23, 2025, 11:55 am • 0 0 • view
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Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social

Useful paper www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/...

aug 23, 2025, 7:38 am • 0 0 • view
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Joel Budd @joelbudd.bsky.social

Interesting, thanks. The answer seems to be: no, inflation perceptions are consistently linked to food prices and alcohol prices.

aug 23, 2025, 8:08 am • 1 0 • view
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Declan Gaffney @greyskiesthinking.bsky.social

It is certainly true of social security benefits/welfare. There are people who absolutely lose it if you refer to state pensions as a benefit.

aug 23, 2025, 9:43 am • 1 0 • view