And it doesn't look like his opponent sucked either. The previous Dem had no GOP opponent in 2024, but in 2022 they won by 20.1 points, so this is still a massive overperformance no matter how you slice it. bsky.app/profile/davi...
And it doesn't look like his opponent sucked either. The previous Dem had no GOP opponent in 2024, but in 2022 they won by 20.1 points, so this is still a massive overperformance no matter how you slice it. bsky.app/profile/davi...
He had the endorsements of many prominent Republicans in the state. I'd honestly never heard of him, but he seems like the ideal Republican candidate for this district. www.facebook.com/profile.php?...
Our likely voters are extremely motivated. What about turnout relative to past elections? Increased turnout is essential for Dems.
Using @the-downballot.com data it looks like this brings Dems 2025 avg. Special Election overperformance up to 16.5 points across 23 races, which is awesome (the last one in NY was a special case but still). docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
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I love you Charles!!!! for keeping us up to date