avatar
Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

Massive overperformance in Rhode Island but this looks like an underperformance in Delaware?

Delaware HD-20 special election results
aug 6, 2025, 1:57 am • 73 13

Replies

avatar
Briscoe9 @briscoe9.bsky.social

I don't live there but recently visited. Long time residents told me that Sussex County had many new residents over the last few years that tended to be GOP. I wonder how the vote broke down.

aug 6, 2025, 2:06 am • 1 0 • view
avatar
🐱302czar🐱 @302czar.bsky.social

Lots of NJ, PA, and NY retirees moving here in a rapidly changing area of eastern Sussex County. Used to be almost entirely rural but now swarming with new developments since it's just a step from the beach. Few D reps in Sussex so this is good!

aug 6, 2025, 2:10 am • 3 0 • view
avatar
🐱302czar🐱 @302czar.bsky.social

aug 6, 2025, 2:15 am • 2 0 • view
avatar
Davis X. Machina @ogdavisxmachina.bsky.social

Turning into something like the Lakewood/Toms River/Brick area of New Jersey?

aug 6, 2025, 1:58 pm • 1 0 • view
avatar
🐱302czar🐱 @302czar.bsky.social

I think that's a fair comparison yeah. But an even older average age as the developments are mostly 55+ communities.

aug 6, 2025, 2:33 pm • 0 0 • view
avatar
Davis X. Machina @ogdavisxmachina.bsky.social

Parts of that corner of Jersey are fossil beds - think Leisure World and two Leisure Villages. I shudder to think what the demographics in Lakewood look like without the Orthodox.

aug 6, 2025, 2:50 pm • 1 0 • view
avatar
Laura 🫘 @judeobsc17.bsky.social

Just read this and it was a bit of a comfort re Delaware: bsky.app/profile/302c...

aug 6, 2025, 2:07 am • 8 0 • view
avatar
🐱302czar🐱 @302czar.bsky.social

Voter registration 8394 D; 7657 R; 7077 I, this was going to be tight all the way.

aug 6, 2025, 2:11 am • 5 1 • view
avatar
Laura 🫘 @judeobsc17.bsky.social

Thanks -- I find this comforting. So far Dems in special elections are doing well.

aug 6, 2025, 2:12 am • 5 0 • view
avatar
Drew Webb Free @Azbrittney and @Donkoclock @archeryfan93.bsky.social

AUDIT

aug 7, 2025, 12:30 am • 0 0 • view
avatar
Melissa... just me @melissanemeth29.bsky.social

Candidate decent? I'm completely uninformed on the east coast.

aug 6, 2025, 2:00 am • 2 0 • view
avatar
Kent right now @bookshrike.bsky.social

Not surprising, RI republicans see the writing on the wall and have given up. In MD the racists showed up because they hate Wes More.

aug 6, 2025, 2:18 am • 1 0 • view
avatar
Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

Ok maybe not…here’s the 2024 results. Looks like she performed exactly on par:

2024 Delaware HD20 results
aug 6, 2025, 2:02 am • 38 4 • view
avatar
Matt Szafranski @mszafranski.bsky.social

They love Joe, but hate all the other Democrats in that district.

aug 6, 2025, 2:05 am • 8 0 • view
avatar
Delawarestorm @dkstorm.bsky.social

Traditionally a gop district, and the GOP candidate is a teacher that campaigned on funding schools, infrastructure and smart growth vs sprawl.

aug 6, 2025, 2:12 am • 11 1 • view
avatar
HopefulEnigma90 @hopefulenigma90.bsky.social

A unicorn then.

aug 6, 2025, 8:39 pm • 0 0 • view
avatar
Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

Ok, I was right the first time. Still, +56 & -8 = +48 avg between the two which is still pretty damned good. bsky.app/profile/the-...

aug 6, 2025, 2:25 am • 31 5 • view
avatar
Michael Goodwin @economixcomix.bsky.social

+24 average (gotta divide by 2).

aug 6, 2025, 2:33 am • 1 0 • view
avatar
Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

D’oh!! Embarrassing. Thanks.

aug 6, 2025, 2:38 am • 0 0 • view
avatar
purpletonyc.bsky.social @purpletonyc.bsky.social

This seat’s naturally swing. AND had frequent phonebanking this time. (yes I got in on it)

aug 6, 2025, 3:15 am • 1 0 • view
avatar
NST 4 MSU @nates-t.bsky.social

It’s an underperformance from the top of the ticket in ‘24 but seems on par with the same office as in ‘24. Sort of hard to judge b/c of the local factor as mentioned above.

aug 6, 2025, 2:33 am • 4 0 • view
avatar
Michael Anderson @michaelander45.bsky.social

Apparently the gop candidate is a well known local who emphasized bipartisanship a lot

aug 6, 2025, 2:26 am • 13 1 • view
avatar
JL @jlwastooshort.bsky.social

Shame that fell-for-it-again awards are currently massively backordered, because it sounds like that district needs at least a moderate supply of them

aug 6, 2025, 1:52 pm • 4 0 • view
avatar
Graig Mellon @mellongraig.bsky.social

And this wasn't a safe blue seat... it was one that the GOP was eyeing on so we had to work hard to keep that seat blue. We did, but not by much.

aug 6, 2025, 2:48 am • 4 0 • view
avatar
Operator @operator1997.bsky.social

aug 6, 2025, 2:08 am • 0 0 • view
avatar
Breadthieves @breadthieves.bsky.social

Audit!

aug 6, 2025, 1:58 am • 1 0 • view
avatar
LeServ @leserv.bsky.social

Are we pretty pissed off in RI? Why yes, we are.

aug 6, 2025, 2:07 am • 0 0 • view
avatar
snarkyduck.bsky.social @snarkyduck.bsky.social

Weirdly it’s the exact same margin as the last general. Could it be a weakness in the state party operation?

aug 6, 2025, 2:32 am • 0 0 • view
avatar
Melody Schreiber @melodyschreiber.com

The district she will represent includes some MAGA territory, so I'm not at all surprised at how close it is

aug 6, 2025, 2:05 am • 6 0 • view
avatar
So that's who we are 😒🌻🌺 @wasserl.bsky.social

This district is in very rural Southern DE.

aug 6, 2025, 3:17 am • 1 0 • view
avatar
Petal Lu Ⓥ 🌱💙🌎 @petallu.bsky.social

Sick though. Voting Republican when the Republican Party is now the Nazi party.

aug 7, 2025, 12:28 am • 0 0 • view
avatar
regolith907.bsky.social @regolith907.bsky.social

I wonder if a check for statistical deviation from previous trends would turn anything up like it did in Rockland, New York. I'm waiting for the detailed information and analysis SMART Legislation is bringing to court.

aug 6, 2025, 2:10 am • 3 0 • view
avatar
Marlonius Monk @maestroramirez1010.bsky.social

Interesting behavior from DE voters, but maybe Biden has pull other Dems don't in the state

aug 6, 2025, 1:59 am • 3 0 • view
avatar
Terri @lovemypupper.bsky.social

Slower lower Delaware is more rural/red

aug 6, 2025, 2:49 am • 2 0 • view