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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

Arkansas is one of the few states which briefly HAD work reporting requirements for Medicaid during the *first* Trump Administration until it was shot down by a federal judge at the time. This presumably means that they still have their prior approved waiver ready to be dusted off at any time.

aug 18, 2025, 12:38 am • 38 15

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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

But more to the point, one of the biggest, most damaging & most obvious examples is the one-two punch of 1) the improved #ACA subsidies expiring & 2) the Trump CMS's so-called ACA "integrity rule" being implemented, both of which happen on JANUARY 1, 2026...just 4 1/2 months from today.

aug 18, 2025, 12:41 am • 36 18 • view
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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

Anyone who's been following me recently knows that I've been up to my ears in analyzing the 2026 #ACA rate filings for GROSS premium hikes *and* what the impact is gonna be on NET premiums for ~24 MILLION ACA individual market enrollees... and it's disastrous: acasignups.net/rate_changes...

aug 18, 2025, 12:43 am • 43 18 • view
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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

Here's a small sampling: Michigan: +17% Nebraska: +20% Missouri: +23% Florida: +24% Kansas: +30% Tennessee: +35% Mississippi: +37% ...and that's just the GROSS increases for the small percentage who're paying full price today.

aug 18, 2025, 12:47 am • 46 24 • view
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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

If you're among the ~22 MILLION #ACA enrollees who are receiving premium tax credits this year, you're probably about to be hit with some truly jaw-dropping NET rate hikes: For instance, in Little Rock, AR, a single 50-yr old earning $40,000/yr could see his premiums DOUBLE from $154/mo to $298/mo.

aug 18, 2025, 12:51 am • 60 36 • view
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Jay Robertson @ijeftomi.bsky.social

Not all inflation is eggs and gas 😗

aug 18, 2025, 3:56 am • 3 0 • view
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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

In Phoenix, AZ, a 30-yr old single parent w/one child earning $30K/yr could go from paying $0 in premiums to $99/month...technically an infinite increase. In Boise, ID, a family of four earning $60K/yr could go from paying $85/mo to $311...a whopping 3.7x as much as they pay today.

aug 18, 2025, 12:54 am • 46 25 • view
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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

And in Montgomery, AL, a 64-yr old couple earning $90K/yr, just one year out from being eligible for Medicare, could see their net premiums skyrocket from $637/mo to a jaw-dropping $3,186/mo...for the SAME POLICY. That'd be 43% of their gross income. 👀 acasignups.net/ira-subsidy-...

Alabama: Impact on net ACA benchmark Silver plan premiums for various households at various income levels if IRA subsidies expire & CMS
aug 18, 2025, 12:58 am • 66 41 • view
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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

(And yes, my own family is among those who’re about to be royally screwed by this here in Michigan.) FWIW, if you find my healthcare wonkery useful & would like to support it, you can do so here, thanks! secure.actblue.com/donate/acasi...

aug 18, 2025, 1:12 am • 45 12 • view
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washakie08.bsky.social @washakie08.bsky.social

Wouldn’t higher income make premiums more difficult to pay?

aug 18, 2025, 1:41 am • 0 0 • view
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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

The subsidies drop off less than your income goes up...at least this year. I'll have to check on the impact next year, but it's not a strict $1 to $1 ratio.

aug 18, 2025, 2:25 am • 1 0 • view
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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

Here's Kentucky as an example; look at the "Nuclear Family." At $70K/yr they're paying $173/mo this year & would pay $436/mo next year. At $80K/yr it would jump to $575/mo for the same plan...which is $4,824/yr more than they're paying this year. So they'd earn $10K more & pay $4,800 more.

Kentucky: Impact on net ACA benchmark plan premiums with & without IRA subsidies & CMS
aug 18, 2025, 2:36 am • 17 3 • view
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Maximus @maximustm.bsky.social

Happy to support you, Charles.

aug 18, 2025, 1:37 am • 1 0 • view
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Glenn Fleishman @glennf.com

We are in terror as a two-earner one kid household where we almost hit the ACA cliff once before it was shaved. Concerned next year’s will be entirely unaffordable unless we intentionally earn below a target range.

aug 18, 2025, 2:56 am • 7 0 • view
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Charles Gaba @charlesgaba.com

Yep. Which state?

aug 18, 2025, 3:11 am • 3 0 • view
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Glenn Fleishman @glennf.com

WA.

aug 18, 2025, 3:17 am • 5 0 • view
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Annaporia @annaporia.bsky.social

📌

aug 18, 2025, 1:23 am • 1 0 • view
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Lee @oliveade.bsky.social

Whoa Charles Gaba! That was a lot of work to enlighten Dems on this site. Many many thanks!

aug 18, 2025, 1:11 am • 2 0 • view
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Ever Rouge @everrouge.bsky.social

No one can afford this!

aug 18, 2025, 12:30 pm • 2 0 • view
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someone @sagaciousai.bsky.social

One way to kill the ACA Aka Affordable Care Act is to make it UNAFFORDABLE!!!

aug 19, 2025, 1:21 am • 0 0 • view
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skyla50.bsky.social @skyla50.bsky.social

Question? Are the rate increases being requested in states just for ACA enrollees or will they also apply to others who are not on ACA??

aug 18, 2025, 12:28 pm • 0 0 • view
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DrGeophysics @drgeophysics.bsky.social

Red state stampede.

aug 18, 2025, 12:39 am • 1 0 • view