Meduza and Mediazona’s latest estimate — based on inheritance case data — puts Russia’s total combat losses in Ukraine at more than 200,000. At some points in 2024, Russia’s losses likely exceeded 2,000 per week. meduza.io/en/feature/2...
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1/ In my opinion, the worst military blunder in world history was Adolf Hitler breaking the non-aggression pact with Josef Stalin and invading the Soviet Union in 1941. Putin's decision to illegally invade and make war against Ukraine is definitely in the Bottom Five of bad military decisions.
aug 29, 2025, 3:23 pm • 0 0 • view
Putin, in my opinion is a terrible strategist and more of a tactician as per his kgb training. The war in Ukraine was lost in the first few weeks when they failed to take the airport outside Kiev. I think the regime may collapse in the next 3-4 months. It would be a geopolitical earthquake.
aug 29, 2025, 3:43 pm • 3 0 • view
Authoritarians tend to be terrible war managers, as Hitler and Putin prove. I dunno about the Russian Federation collapsing during the winter. It would have to happen before November or after February, in my opinion. And, yes, it would be a geopolitical earthquake.
aug 29, 2025, 3:46 pm • 0 0 • view
I would give it. 80-20 percentage probability rate. 80% that they do try to take the Suwalki Gap and engage militarily with Poland and NATO and 20% they wait another 12-16 months. Let’s hope it does not happen because that would escalate into something we would not like.
aug 29, 2025, 3:56 pm • 1 0 • view
The other thing that we have to consider is another front opening in this war near the Suwalki Gap or near Georgia. Putin may decide to try to take those for strategic reasons. That would be a disaster as nato, more specifically Finland and Poland would get involved.
aug 29, 2025, 3:52 pm • 0 0 • view
1/ The problem with that, though, is that Ukraine was illegally invaded for one reason: they aren't a NATO country. Of the 14 breakaway republics created by the dissolution of the Soviet Union, only two, Ukraine and Belarus, aren't members of NATO. Belarus lost its associate membership when they
aug 29, 2025, 3:56 pm • 0 0 • view
Putin is testing the resolve of NATO and if he wanted to drag Belarus into his war that could raise the stakes quite a bit. Putin knows he can’t deliver if he goes back home empty handed to his people. He is cornered in this respect. I also think he truly believes Europe has no resolve.
aug 29, 2025, 4:04 pm • 1 0 • view
2/ sided with Russia in the Ukraine invasion. Putin doesn't dare invade a NATO nation; he knows that would be a death wish. One of the two reasons Putin helped DJTS illegally win twice and other GOP politicians to win illegitimately was that he wanted the US out of NATO. The other reason was to get
aug 29, 2025, 4:00 pm • 0 0 • view
3/ the sanctions lifted. The GOP failed with both. That's why Putin withdrew the hackers' help in 2018. He might do it again next year.
aug 29, 2025, 4:02 pm • 0 0 • view
That’s sound assessment that I’m in agreement with. But is there a scenario where Trump is forced to leave office before the midterms. Is Vance compromised to this degree. Who in the GOP is Putin working with?
aug 29, 2025, 4:07 pm • 0 0 • view
1/ The true answer to that question is just about everybody. But, once DJTS passes away or has to step aside due to dementia/incapacity, Putin would have to appoint a malleable puppet and I don't believe Vance is that man. Last week, someone on here suggested Tucker Carlson, but I dunno about that.
aug 29, 2025, 4:14 pm • 0 0 • view
2/ The problem with having an Authoritarian charismatic leader is that, once that leader dies or steps aside, there usually isn't a ready-made replacement. Putin should be hoping that DJTS lives through 2028; if not, the Fascist GOP is in big trouble.
aug 29, 2025, 4:16 pm • 0 0 • view
2/ That decision has definitely knocked down the worst military decision the old Communist Soviet Union (The Russian Federation was founded on Fascism in 1995) made was the invasion and occupation of Afghanistan in 1979. In the dozen years they were there, they lost 50,000 soldiers, indirectly
aug 29, 2025, 3:26 pm • 0 0 • view
3/ created some powerful enemies (including Osama bin Laden), and had political historians and scientists shaking their heads. The decision was/still is unnecessary and a waste of human and military resources.
aug 29, 2025, 3:29 pm • 0 0 • view