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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

www.texastribune.org/2025/01/22/a...

sep 6, 2025, 1:48 pm • 7 0

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Jordan @slclunk.brighamyoungmoney.com

“You see, rent is still outrageous, causing people to go homeless, and has only had a moderate drop from historic highs, so obviously we didn’t do Abundance hard enough”

Austin rents sit about 17% above pre-pandemic levels, Zillow figures show. Nearly half of the Austin-Round Rock region's renters are Signs abound that residents are struggling with the region's high housing costs. Landlords are filing more evictions than they did before the COVID-19 pandemic, figures from Eviction Lab show. And the number of people experiencing homelessness grew in Austin last year, according to estimates released in December by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.
sep 6, 2025, 2:19 pm • 17 1 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

I’m not arguing that building more solves all problems, but rent did go down, which the first post said never happens (but actually happens regularly). This doesn’t have to turn into some thing where we all dig in and hate the other side. Building more housing is necessary but not sufficient.

sep 6, 2025, 2:26 pm • 1 0 • view
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Jordan @slclunk.brighamyoungmoney.com

Building more is necessary. However turning over the entire regulatory and administrative aspect of building to a cartel known for price fixing is a but shortsighted

sep 6, 2025, 2:31 pm • 10 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

Great, we agree! CA YIMBY isn’t doing that at all. Check out the recent agreements with unions that Sen Weiner made for his bill to build more housing near transit.

sep 6, 2025, 2:34 pm • 1 0 • view
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Dennis Chompers @dennischompers.bsky.social

Thank you for this response

sep 6, 2025, 2:28 pm • 0 0 • view
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Count Otter Poppula 🧛🏼 Sr., III @peezkyweezky.bsky.social

Yeah it sounds like those rents were coming down pretty naturally as the result of an artificial peak around 2021-2022

sep 6, 2025, 2:24 pm • 6 0 • view
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maple cocaine @maplecocaine.bsky.social

Wood prices at home depot around that time was double to triple the pre-covid cost

sep 6, 2025, 2:26 pm • 5 0 • view
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Count Otter Poppula 🧛🏼 Sr., III @peezkyweezky.bsky.social

Still is in the Bay, about double

sep 6, 2025, 2:26 pm • 4 0 • view
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Oh no oh wow @ohnowow.bsky.social

Yeah if only we just create another pandemic and then recall all of our remote workers every time we need rent to be cheaper this will work everywhere:

A Newsweek article snippet that reads:
sep 6, 2025, 2:43 pm • 3 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

Newsweek? Really?

sep 6, 2025, 2:44 pm • 0 0 • view
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Oh no oh wow @ohnowow.bsky.social

It’s a quote from real estate and housing economist Danielle Hale.

sep 6, 2025, 2:53 pm • 2 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

And it says that inventory rising helped reduce rents after a bunch of people moved to a new city.

sep 6, 2025, 2:54 pm • 0 0 • view
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Oh no oh wow @ohnowow.bsky.social

After people left the city* Housing is still unaffordable, homelessness is still rising, and as your article stated, the benefits are temporary because development stopped when rents lowered. So best case scenario this strategy hasn’t solved the actual problems and its benefits are temporary.

sep 6, 2025, 5:28 pm • 1 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

Right, that’s what necessary but not sufficient means.

sep 6, 2025, 5:29 pm • 0 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

Are you agreeing with the initial post that building more housing can never decrease rents? It’s not true, and that is the only argument I’m making.

sep 6, 2025, 2:55 pm • 0 0 • view
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Oh no oh wow @ohnowow.bsky.social

Building more housing could decrease rents but the system we have incentivizes development to maximize ROI, not to create affordable housing. Developers will not build to the point where it lowers their ROI.

sep 6, 2025, 5:33 pm • 0 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

This is not true. Developers build until it isn’t profitable for them, which is why there are many examples of building more housing lowering rent.

sep 6, 2025, 5:34 pm • 0 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

www.upjohn.org/research-hig...

sep 6, 2025, 5:35 pm • 0 0 • view
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Oh no oh wow @ohnowow.bsky.social

From this article:

Of course, the benefits of new housing units don't reach everyone equally. In particularly poor neighborhoods with high vacancy rates, adding vacant housing units might not affect prices much. It might even compound a neighborhood's deterioration. Vacancies also won't lower rents in areas currently charging the minimum cost of housing, that is, the lowest rent required to keep a habitable unit on the market. Housing people who can't afford this rate requires a different policy solution, such as rent vouchers, public housing, or incentives to landlords to lower prices.
sep 6, 2025, 5:38 pm • 0 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

And? Building more housing is necessary but not sufficient. That is the basic YIMBY liberal stance.

sep 6, 2025, 5:41 pm • 0 0 • view
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maple cocaine @maplecocaine.bsky.social

Yeah I should have mentioned that another thing which can cause rents to go down is normalization of building material costs after the huge covid increases, particularly in outliers like Austin that were seeing big population increases at the same time

sep 6, 2025, 2:24 pm • 17 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

www.berkeleyside.org/2025/05/01/b...

sep 6, 2025, 2:27 pm • 3 0 • view
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maple cocaine @maplecocaine.bsky.social

Was wondering why that articlr was focusing on rent controlled units bornstein.law/changes-for-...

sep 6, 2025, 2:42 pm • 6 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

www.sfchronicle.com/realestate/a...

sep 6, 2025, 2:43 pm • 1 0 • view
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🎃👻Oct[BOO]cryptid🎃👻 🜬 @octocryptid.bsky.social

You keep showing outliers as if that means something www.apartmentlist.com/research/ren...

Graph showing rents vs median household income since 1960. Rent has steadily increased to over 160% while income peaked in 2000 at 130% and then dipped back down to 120%
sep 6, 2025, 2:42 pm • 1 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

The post said rents never go down if you build more. That’s not correct. That’s literally the only point I’m making. Much, much more needs to be done to lower housing costs, and that includes building more multi family housing.

sep 6, 2025, 2:45 pm • 0 0 • view
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🎃👻Oct[BOO]cryptid🎃👻 🜬 @octocryptid.bsky.social

No, the original post said someone whining that "the left" made their rents go up over 20 years is a baby brain

sep 6, 2025, 2:57 pm • 2 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

Sorry, you’re right. I meant the post that I responded to. I agree that it’s stupid to blame the left for rents going up.

sep 6, 2025, 3:03 pm • 0 0 • view
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🎃👻Oct[BOO]cryptid🎃👻 🜬 @octocryptid.bsky.social

Ok good. Would you also agree that allowing developers and investors to do whatever they want by deregulation also does nothing to reduce rent costs?

sep 6, 2025, 3:08 pm • 0 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

Eh, I mean, I get what you’re going for with that framing, and having never argued for letting anyone do anything they want, it seems like just bait rather than discussion.

sep 6, 2025, 3:17 pm • 0 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

Building more housing lowers housing costs. There are lots of ways to get there, and I’m open to looking at what works. I think “regulations” like red lining and SFH zoning are bad. That doesn’t mean I’m against all regulations.

sep 6, 2025, 3:19 pm • 0 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

Look at the work that CA YIMBY is doing to get unions requirements for housing built near transit. That bill changes zoning near transit stations, but it’s not letting developers do whatever they want.

sep 6, 2025, 3:21 pm • 1 0 • view
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🎃👻Oct[BOO]cryptid🎃👻 🜬 @octocryptid.bsky.social

It's what they were saying

sep 6, 2025, 3:27 pm • 0 0 • view
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T. Otal Filthman @newcartographer.bsky.social

The implication in saying the only thing that makes rent go down is an area losing demand, is that building cannot reduce costs by increasing supply. This is not true. It has been demonstrated in numerous areas.

sep 6, 2025, 3:40 pm • 0 0 • view
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🎃👻Oct[BOO]cryptid🎃👻 🜬 @octocryptid.bsky.social

And more importantly, going back to my original posts, no simply building more does not meaningfully reduce costs, they have only ever increased. Hyperinflated markets like Austin are outliers

sep 6, 2025, 3:27 pm • 0 0 • view