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George Pearkes @peark.es

Need moar cash *LAUNCH: XAI $3B 5Y SR SEC NOTES 12.5% AT PAR

jun 20, 2025, 11:28 am • 239 20

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Peter Thal Larsen @petertl.bsky.social

Secured against what?

jun 20, 2025, 12:28 pm • 8 0 • view
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TED @epicureandealmaker.bsky.social

Exploding rockets.

jun 20, 2025, 12:30 pm • 9 0 • view
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Flying Mezerkis @bananapantz.bsky.social

Oxygen futures

jun 20, 2025, 1:03 pm • 3 0 • view
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Ben Curry @benjamincurry.bsky.social

VERY BIG exploding rockets

jun 20, 2025, 12:35 pm • 2 0 • view
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George Pearkes @peark.es

I mean xAI has a bunch of fixed assets. That’s part of the problem!!!

jun 20, 2025, 12:58 pm • 7 0 • view
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Ham (Found on Net) @bikeguy.bsky.social

If they just turned twitter back into twitter and jettisoned everything else it’s worth $20B on a bad day. Not the worst bet if you’re actually first in line.

jun 20, 2025, 5:03 pm • 1 0 • view
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Hey, nobody *made* them vote for the host of Wrestlemania 4 @legalminimum.bsky.social

Our personal information from the government’s databases.

jun 20, 2025, 12:55 pm • 2 0 • view
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Napoleon @nw6penguin.bsky.social

Secured. On shares in subs?

jun 20, 2025, 12:41 pm • 3 0 • view
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George Pearkes @peark.es

I think it’s just seniority not specific assets but idk.

jun 20, 2025, 12:56 pm • 4 0 • view
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Napoleon @nw6penguin.bsky.social

Most likely. Security of these will be worth less than a bucket of his piss

jun 20, 2025, 1:03 pm • 2 0 • view
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Matthew Downhour @matthewdownhour.bsky.social

As long as it gets the same stellar results as SpaceX has this year i don't see why not

jun 20, 2025, 4:50 pm • 14 0 • view
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h0n0urable @h0n0urable.bsky.social

Couldn't get the $5B that Morgan Stanley was hawking the very afternoon THE FEUD broke out lmao

jun 20, 2025, 2:25 pm • 1 0 • view
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LAISSEZ LES BON QUESO ROULER @thequeso.bsky.social

I don’t pay attention to corporate junk debt rates but dear god. These ain’t utility bonds

jun 20, 2025, 12:15 pm • 24 0 • view
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LAISSEZ LES BON QUESO ROULER @thequeso.bsky.social

like the Single B high yield index is at 7.2% wtf

image
jun 20, 2025, 12:44 pm • 19 0 • view
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This Machine Kills Stormtroopers @boys-n-berry.bsky.social

Financially illiterate here, what does this mean

jun 20, 2025, 12:24 pm • 0 0 • view
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Matt @differentmatt.bsky.social

The world's richest man is asking to borrow money, and the kind of people who'd sell their own grandmothers for another 0.003% yield are saying they need the GDP of Australia in interest payments every six months to make it worth the risk.

jun 20, 2025, 5:42 pm • 9 1 • view
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Solidarity v Fascism and Climate Catastrophe @shorelined.bsky.social

Well explained sir. 🫡

jun 20, 2025, 8:25 pm • 1 0 • view
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jlillyreed.bsky.social @jlillyreed.bsky.social

Didn't it come out that xai was burning cash at a rate of 1b/mo?

jun 20, 2025, 11:33 am • 2 0 • view
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Tracey Ryniec @traceyryniec.bsky.social

Reuters reported a few days ago that several investors declined to participate in this round. He still got the funding but it's getting more difficult.

jun 20, 2025, 2:38 pm • 9 0 • view
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George Pearkes @peark.es

If I post in that format without a disclaimer it's a real headline from Bloomberg and not a joke.

jun 20, 2025, 11:59 am • 152 1 • view
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Hideinplainsight @profusional.bsky.social

Tried looking for this on web but info sparse. Any rating on this?

jun 20, 2025, 12:03 pm • 1 0 • view
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Voice of Reason @voceofreason.bsky.social

Is there a rating below junk? Turd, maybe.

jun 20, 2025, 12:11 pm • 5 0 • view
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Alan Grofield @alangrofield.bsky.social

I mean 12.5 is still a joke, just not a joke you’re telling

jun 20, 2025, 12:01 pm • 85 0 • view
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Josh Friedman (the unverified one) @yoshfriedman.bsky.social

That's 12.5% fixed rate? Or is it pricing there at like SOFR + 800?

jun 20, 2025, 12:06 pm • 6 0 • view
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George Pearkes @peark.es

Fixed bsky.app/profile/pear...

jun 20, 2025, 12:57 pm • 9 0 • view
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LAISSEZ LES BON QUESO ROULER @thequeso.bsky.social

Jesus Herbert Christ.

jun 20, 2025, 1:01 pm • 5 0 • view
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evan @verynormalguy.bsky.social

*squinting* ok, right, so this is as safe as cash like mr musk said

jun 20, 2025, 1:05 pm • 6 0 • view
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evan @verynormalguy.bsky.social

does robinhood let retail in on deals that raise for elons companies at credit card rates yet? they should

jun 20, 2025, 1:08 pm • 5 0 • view
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Josh Friedman (the unverified one) @yoshfriedman.bsky.social

I am howling at this, we're originating *floating* rate assets at barely 10% coupons these days. Rates have dropped and spreads compressed, calling this "junk" is insulting to the entire concept.

jun 20, 2025, 4:56 pm • 4 0 • view
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bob @huntthesnark.bsky.social

>850bp spread to swaps holy cow that's worse than median CCC by a fair margin.

jun 20, 2025, 3:09 pm • 2 0 • view
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eggnog slut (withdrawal) @deus01.bsky.social

It's expensive trying to get the AI to say the N word

jun 20, 2025, 11:40 am • 89 2 • view
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The Other Side of Life @theothersideoflife.bsky.social

ctrl-f "groimes subprime" joke not found

jun 20, 2025, 2:56 pm • 2 0 • view
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Keith (Dakota reunification advocate) @mosheroperandi.bsky.social

Who knew that making Twitter like 40 cents on every dollar of value would make it so hard to raise money??

jun 20, 2025, 12:07 pm • 25 1 • view
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Keith (Dakota reunification advocate) @mosheroperandi.bsky.social

I mean, probably also a sign that the AI bubble is starting to peak, but Elon's narcissistic stock scams are clouding that view.

jun 20, 2025, 12:20 pm • 23 0 • view
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Huh… @capitalistfool.bsky.social

Guy burns through cash like he burns through cars, and rockets, and more rockets

jun 20, 2025, 3:00 pm • 2 0 • view
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Musings, Sometimes @musings-sometimes.bsky.social

That's a mortgage from the Paul Volcker days.

jun 20, 2025, 12:01 pm • 7 0 • view
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Sam Morey @pensandlighters.bsky.social

He should try blowing up fewer rockets

jun 20, 2025, 11:30 am • 8 0 • view
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Brian Sapient @briansapient.bsky.social

Is 12.5% the actual rate or are you just making a joke?

jun 20, 2025, 11:55 am • 5 0 • view
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Helm Hammerhand Appreciator @helmhammer.bsky.social

Given CoreWeave is borrowing at 10 feels like a great deal for xAI

jun 20, 2025, 12:31 pm • 3 0 • view
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MarketScalpel @marketscalpel.bsky.social

Securred against what is the question!

jun 20, 2025, 11:38 am • 3 0 • view
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Keith (Dakota reunification advocate) @mosheroperandi.bsky.social

Bunch of H100s and the corpse of Twitter So, a bunch of H100s

jun 20, 2025, 12:05 pm • 17 0 • view
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Michael Love @elkmovie.bsky.social

The Chinese are going to figure out a way to train leading edge models without H100s faster than he’s going to make his money back on those H100s

jun 20, 2025, 12:50 pm • 2 0 • view
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analogline.bsky.social @analogline.bsky.social

Probably the building too.

jun 20, 2025, 12:28 pm • 0 0 • view
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post malone ergo propter malone @proptermalone.bsky.social

why does xAI need to pay 12.5%? I guess they’ve done an effective job of siloing exposure to Musk assets?

jun 20, 2025, 2:55 pm • 50 1 • view
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George Pearkes @peark.es

because they need cash, they're burning it at a spectacular pace.

Of course, physical capex on data centers is just one part of the massive costs associated with training models, developing a commercial use case for them, and then stimulating demand by pricing access under cost. It remains to be seen if any gen AI provider can establish network effects and gradually raise pricing to the point that all of that investment is worthwhile. We got some data on how daunting the task is today. Bloomberg reported partial financials for xAI, Elon Musk’s privately held AI company and Twitter (X) parent. We show some of that data below. xAI did $500mm in revenue last year and expects that number to rise by a factor of more than ten in two years. But even with $2bn in revenue this year, they expect to burn more than $8.4bn of cash this year after -$13.3bn of free cash flow last year. It’s no wonder they’re seeking to raise $4.3bn on top of the $4bn cash on hand; combined, that’s barely enough to get them through the year as they invest in chips, data centers to deploy them, and customer demand. xAI Is Expected to Burn Over $20bn By The End of 2026 0.5 2.0 5.4 -13.3 -8.4 2.0 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 2025 2026 2027 xAI Estimated Revenue xAI Estimated Lev. FCF
jun 20, 2025, 3:06 pm • 48 2 • view
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Jesse Lansner @jesse.lansner.com

Musk is burning cash almost as fast as he’s burning his rockets!

jun 20, 2025, 3:14 pm • 5 0 • view
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Dr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social

It’s amazing they’re able to raise debt at all

jun 20, 2025, 3:09 pm • 8 0 • view
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ushmel @ushmel.bsky.social

If we keep asking grok to think about stupid stuff, we can burn the cash quicker.

jun 20, 2025, 3:38 pm • 5 0 • view
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deniselouis.bsky.social @deniselouis.bsky.social

I can't believe they have $500M in revenue.

jun 20, 2025, 5:45 pm • 5 0 • view
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Ar-Fredazôn @thefred.bsky.social

wait, twitter has at most $500m in revenue?

jun 20, 2025, 3:08 pm • 28 0 • view
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post malone ergo propter malone @proptermalone.bsky.social

lol

jun 20, 2025, 3:11 pm • 10 0 • view
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Izzy Seabiscuit @ijspurcell.bsky.social

Twitter isn’t so much a tech company as it is an ideological project, it’s not supposed to earn money, just flip votes

jun 20, 2025, 3:13 pm • 13 0 • view
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Keith (Dakota reunification advocate) @mosheroperandi.bsky.social

just need a little more runway and then they'll start printing cash when they finally figure out how to get grok to say the n-word.

jun 20, 2025, 5:18 pm • 13 0 • view
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XaiaX ̆̈ @xaiax.net

Turning a big dial on the side of the LLM that says “racism” while staring at the output to see if anything happens.

jun 20, 2025, 5:21 pm • 9 1 • view
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crb1079 @crb1079.bsky.social

jun 20, 2025, 3:36 pm • 3 0 • view
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Isaiah Bishop @isaiahbishop.bsky.social

so theyll simply like 10x revenue in two years?

jun 20, 2025, 3:08 pm • 13 0 • view
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Dustin @dustinn.bsky.social

They just need to outpace OpenAI and it’s $30b in spending. What could it cost, Michael? $8b?

jun 20, 2025, 3:19 pm • 10 0 • view
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James Mackintosh @jmackin2.bsky.social

"Invest... in customer demand" Lose on every sale sure but don't worry, they'll make it up in volume

jun 20, 2025, 9:03 pm • 12 0 • view
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George Pearkes @peark.es

lol yeah but I don’t really know how else to describe it from an accounting perspective.

jun 20, 2025, 10:40 pm • 7 0 • view
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Brian @bwnash.bsky.social

I don't mean to be obtuse, but it almost doesn't matter if your $500m in revenue (*not profit*) comes from $13b in spending or $8.4b. It's fucking hopeless.

jun 21, 2025, 12:49 am • 3 0 • view
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Brian @bwnash.bsky.social

Was looking at Google, Jesus, $52.5b in expenditures for a total of $400m in revenue. How does this space end up in anything other than a price war? And how does it go to anyone but the deepest pockets?

jun 21, 2025, 1:03 am • 2 0 • view
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Dr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social

Isn’t it part of the X / Twitter group?

jun 20, 2025, 2:57 pm • 6 0 • view
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Isaiah Bishop @isaiahbishop.bsky.social

Do they have revenue right now?

jun 20, 2025, 2:57 pm • 2 0 • view
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post malone ergo propter malone @proptermalone.bsky.social

yes

jun 20, 2025, 2:57 pm • 6 0 • view
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Dr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social

I am going to be extremely unsurprised when I find out the Twitter debt refinancing was at around that sort of yield.

jun 20, 2025, 2:58 pm • 3 0 • view
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Keith (Dakota reunification advocate) @mosheroperandi.bsky.social

Managed to get away with a rosier-than-expected implied 11% when the banks finally managed to get that junk off their books recently.

jun 20, 2025, 5:31 pm • 5 0 • view
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Andrew Baynes @baynesa.bsky.social

Other way round. (Financial engineering ftw…) www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

jun 20, 2025, 2:59 pm • 3 0 • view
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wioozyi @swozey.bsky.social

He's doing his money/equity shuffling and trying to get xAi to buy X. Europe is on his ass about it, finally.

jun 20, 2025, 2:58 pm • 1 0 • view
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wioozyi @swozey.bsky.social

www.euractiv.com/section/tech...

jun 20, 2025, 2:59 pm • 2 0 • view
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Infrastructure is politics @rational.bsky.social

Should be much higher imo given (1) liability for unpermitted gas turbines and (2) very recent history of just blowing shit up, major body panels falling off cars, "self-driving" fraud, kill the boer etc

jun 20, 2025, 3:39 pm • 1 0 • view
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Ed @ed3d.net

don’t ask questions, just burn money in trash bins

jun 20, 2025, 2:57 pm • 30 0 • view
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Jason @jlopez10111.bsky.social

It’s wild that Musk’s plan to save Twitter was to tie it to a cash burning machine with no path to profitability, but what do I know.

jun 20, 2025, 2:51 pm • 4 0 • view
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POTUS Speedrun Record Holder @theradiostar.bsky.social

well, the long term goal is to have Tesla buy out xAI, on the dubious claim that xAI will power self-driving (the real goal being to bail out Musk’s debt with Tesla investor cash)

jun 20, 2025, 9:19 pm • 3 0 • view
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POTUS Speedrun Record Holder @theradiostar.bsky.social

it’s just a nesting doll of scams

jun 20, 2025, 9:20 pm • 1 0 • view
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Irrelevent History Memes also ETF Memes @seajay.bsky.social

12.5% jesus christ. that's worse than a small cap borrowing against hopes and dreams.

jun 20, 2025, 11:41 am • 41 0 • view
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Making Chips @enceladusty.bsky.social

lmao. My credit card (!!) is under 10%

jun 20, 2025, 11:49 am • 19 0 • view
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Mayor Gumdrop @mayorgumdrop.bsky.social

Bro which one that rocks

jun 20, 2025, 12:11 pm • 3 0 • view
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Making Chips @enceladusty.bsky.social

Just a dinky local credit union!

jun 20, 2025, 12:28 pm • 4 0 • view
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James Longhurst @jameslonghurst.bsky.social

that’s the way to go

jun 20, 2025, 12:36 pm • 3 0 • view
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Irrelevent History Memes also ETF Memes @seajay.bsky.social

It's you! You're the small cap!

jun 20, 2025, 12:03 pm • 22 0 • view
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Evan Deaubl @evan.codes

"Come on down to Crazy Elon's! His note rates are insane!"

jun 20, 2025, 12:38 pm • 10 1 • view
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PPP Grifter @pppgrifter.bsky.social

Seems expensive, but also doesn’t seem expensive enough. Curious who the largest buyers of this are

jun 20, 2025, 3:00 pm • 9 0 • view
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Allen3D @hex720.net

Did the government start the Sovereign Wealth Fund yet?

jun 20, 2025, 4:27 pm • 3 0 • view
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PPP Grifter @pppgrifter.bsky.social

Hard to start that when you’re increasing the deficit, but what do I know?

jun 20, 2025, 4:39 pm • 4 0 • view
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Matt vs. the relentlessness of entropy @mcs-phd.bsky.social

Why would anybody willingly give him money for anything 😭

jun 20, 2025, 11:30 am • 4 0 • view
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Brian @bwnash.bsky.social

He's spending a billion a month on it. That's one quarter of expenses. At a 12.5% coupon, my fucking god.

jun 21, 2025, 12:36 am • 6 0 • view
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El condor pasa @el-condor-pasa.bsky.social

He better hurry. We’re counting on Elon for this July 4th.

jun 20, 2025, 12:39 pm • 2 0 • view
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saltynostrils.bsky.social @saltynostrils.bsky.social

So this will get them a quarter of cash runway?

jun 20, 2025, 5:18 pm • 1 0 • view
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garyndunbar.bsky.social @garyndunbar.bsky.social

12%?? Good lord, Elon needs to sell some Tesla stock

jun 20, 2025, 12:30 pm • 0 0 • view
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Matt @differentmatt.bsky.social

Everyone's laughing at the world's most unnecessary billionaire paying Michael Milken rates to keep the lights on, but remember: Grok only needs to invent ONE new form of multiplication where that isn't so much, and BOOM, right back in business!

jun 20, 2025, 12:14 pm • 12 0 • view
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causerie @causerie.bsky.social

Like his self-driving car, it'll be any day now!

jun 20, 2025, 3:24 pm • 1 0 • view
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borkoborkoiandoggo.bsky.social @borkoborkoiandoggo.bsky.social

I initially read this as "Need moar crash", which I suspect will be equally accurate

jun 20, 2025, 11:36 am • 13 0 • view
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This Ain’t Michael @micheil.bsky.social

Same same.

jun 20, 2025, 2:56 pm • 0 0 • view