avatar
George Pearkes @peark.es

FFS no he hasn't even had a confirmation hearing yet.

aug 12, 2025, 12:39 pm • 56 1

Replies

avatar
oldblazer.bsky.social @oldblazer.bsky.social

Could he be on the job as “acting” head of bureau?

aug 12, 2025, 1:02 pm • 1 0 • view
avatar
George Pearkes @peark.es

no

aug 12, 2025, 1:04 pm • 2 0 • view
avatar
George Pearkes @peark.es

Core CPI ex rent rose 2.40% annualized in July, which was the second-fastest pace for that measure since September 2022. The fastest was January of this year.

aug 12, 2025, 12:43 pm • 38 3 • view
avatar
Jpanella @jpsoccoach.bsky.social

The market doesn’t care currently.. I agree the overall inflation numbers are not that soft.

aug 12, 2025, 12:47 pm • 0 0 • view
avatar
George Pearkes @peark.es

Market absolutely cared, 2y yields legged down 6 bps instantly.

aug 12, 2025, 12:50 pm • 1 0 • view
avatar
Jpanella @jpsoccoach.bsky.social

Yeah that didn’t make sense to me either.

aug 12, 2025, 12:52 pm • 0 0 • view
avatar
George Pearkes @peark.es

Here's the dovish spin. Excluding durables (tariffs) and rent (lagged/slow moving), core CPI rose 1.3% annualized in July.

Chart of MoM annualized Core CPI ex rent and durable goods since 1998
aug 12, 2025, 12:49 pm • 27 3 • view
avatar
Hoon @hoon.bsky.social

Doesn’t feel as dovish as market is initially pricing. Plenty here to keep Fed on pause, if not for political reasons

aug 12, 2025, 12:52 pm • 2 0 • view
avatar
kootafoot.bsky.social @kootafoot.bsky.social

Swamp Land For Sale Cheap... Inquire Inside... Please put on the Rosy Scenario Glasses before entering... No charge.

aug 12, 2025, 1:11 pm • 2 0 • view
avatar
Bucky Workclothes @buckybandido.bsky.social

pardon my lack of knowledge, but what was with the big drop on 1/20?

aug 12, 2025, 12:50 pm • 2 0 • view
avatar
George Pearkes @peark.es

It's not 1/20 it's 4/20. There was this thing called the COVID pandemic...

aug 12, 2025, 12:51 pm • 3 1 • view
avatar
Bucky Workclothes @buckybandido.bsky.social

oh, that makes more sense. Thanks

aug 12, 2025, 12:53 pm • 1 0 • view
avatar
tonigo @tonigo.bsky.social

image
aug 12, 2025, 12:50 pm • 11 0 • view
avatar
Tyler Britten @tyler.britten.us

The medical service jump is interesting. Preemptive repricing before the HR1 cuts hit?

aug 12, 2025, 12:44 pm • 2 0 • view
avatar
Jen @jenonymous.bsky.social

Going to delete to avoid confusion then, sorry! Returning from mostly offline vacation and I didn’t realize this wasn’t one of the (surprisingly large number of) roles where Trump could just stick some hack in the position without confirmation.

aug 12, 2025, 12:43 pm • 1 0 • view
avatar
Usili (Sage) 🏳️‍⚧️ @usili.bsky.social

I don't think the nomination has even been sent to the Senate yet.

aug 12, 2025, 12:42 pm • 4 0 • view
avatar
Lordkeynes touches the stove 👊🇺🇸 ♨️ @lordkeynes42.bsky.social

Also he is going to be the boss and I legit do not think he seems to have the technical competence to do this.

aug 12, 2025, 12:44 pm • 3 0 • view