Never, ever trust a Chelsea fan. A tale as old as time.

Oh geez he supports Chelsea? Unless you are a posh West Londoner that just means you are an asshole.

He admitted as much in a big post election rant, said he hates the dems as a party for a bunch of reasons and that he doesn't vote republican because they're outright evil. Blocked him after that

What did he say his reasons for hating Dems were?

Definitely gets high on his own supply.

Lakshya isn’t a bad guy and he’s not a Republican. He’s just a Stanford engineer/AI dude who doesn’t really interact with many people outside that general demographic. Same can be said of many of the centrist Dems in that world.

Yet another poaster who were told they were wrong online and responded by getting a backhoe

okay yeah he's just a gutter racist huh

Jeffries is an easy target. His statement is milquetoast AF. Meanwhile he still hasn't given en his support for Mamdani because Jeffries is more interested in preserving the status quo. That entire statement screams poll tested status quo

He blocked me on here but I’m a lovable constructive rage filled fuzzy teddy bear

Pundit-rot is the worst thing that can happen to stats people. Just because you know "what" has absolutely nothing to do with you knowing "why" but that's how you keep the dopamine hits coming the other 22 months of a cycle.

Elliot Morris has done a deep dive on Lakshya Jain’s claim that centrism wins and that it isn’t backed up at all in the data

its a funny cycle to follow. they start by just cranking out data, they gain popularity among an online crowd, and then they realize the easiest way to get that dopamine hit is to become a pundit, because crunching huge data sets takes time, and the rewards arent instantaneous. its a disease

Yeah, the basic thing is these people are basically useful for a month every two years but have to do things the rest of the time.

Normalize doing georgiavotes.com for 45 days every couple years and then pissing back off to real jobs and stupid posting, imo.

He’s just a dope.

Really dumb post, man.

John 8:7 etc etc

You know he’s not a Republican so whatever disagreement you have you’ve decided to call out and bully rather than engage in good faith. And then you wonder why people are disengaging from this site.

As we have talked about at length in our group chat, you know I am not at all confused about why some people don’t engage on this site. So I consider this particular response pretty bad faith on your part.

hate when my two sunbelt dads are fighting 💔

He says it's because he's sick of having his motives questioned. I disagree with him a lot but he's reached villain status on this site like Stancil is to some and I think we overly dump on him for a lack of good targets. He deserves dunks. Just not from 1/10 or the Bsky userbase. Just my 2¢

The culture of this site is about shrinking the tent.

The culture is about processing this moment in time when historical gate keepers and structures are dying with a bias against giving in to mods. People are mad and lashing out. Jain is guilty of that too. No one knows what comes next or how to get there but agree that they don’t like the present.

Criticizing people is fine. However as as my mom used to tell me, "It's not what you say, it's how you say it."

On the other hand I'm not sure the post of Lakshya's being referenced here is an attempt to grow the tent

The culture of this site seems exactly the same as Twitter when I was on except the progressive concentration is higher here and Twitter is run by a Nazi who adjusts his algo to boost far right ideas. But it’s the same social media awfulness.

bsky.app/profile/muta... I mostly agreed with your side but this tweet made me think the opposite, people who shit on dems long enough turn into Rs

The year is 2037. The last two Democrats on Earth are arguing through their state-mandated Neuralink implants on why the other person is bad because of one unshared opinion left in their rotten brains.

It’s batshit crazy stuff.

Bouie’s staying blocked btw.

I’m not sure if this is supposed to be shot at me or what but who you block is your business!

this what happens when markets are slow huh 😟

Lmao

Just a small-time Nate Silver at this point. How are his poker skills?

🛎️🛎️🛎️

I blocked him awhile back

If the "change my mind" challenge was sincere, here's my attempt:

At this point it’s just funny that he keeps doubling down. Hope business is booming!

It’s like it doesn’t occur to him that 1) Indeed, many people know Lisa Cook is Black, 2) Black people know Lisa Cook is Black, 3) Her expertise includes African American economic policy, it’s part of what she brings to the table, 4) the targeting is part of a pattern of targeting Black women.

You’ve heard from David Shor, but what about David More

I've thought this from the beginning. seriously!

He’s trying to advertise his consulting company, and he thinks the best way to do that is to mindlessly critique every public statement the Dems make. …that this is indistinguishable from him being a Republican should reveal the flaws in the plan, lol.

He might not be a Republican but the effect is the same

I don't think he's a Republican, but I do think he's considerably more to the right of the median voter than he thinks he is

Right, like I said, a Republican.

It's just "bitch eating crackers" territory

I think he's a Carville-brained Democrat. He wants Dems to win and thinks "move to the right" is the magic bullet to make that happen. Now, why does he prefer Dems? At what point should they *stop* moving right? I'm sure he has thoughts - they may not be all that coherent.

It's really funny that he's said he prefers X to Bluesky because he gets called a Republican on here, which I guess to him is much worse than the racial slurs he gets over there

Shor too

Complaining about a statement that no one will see by claiming no one will see said statement because it's not for everyone to see is the goldilox zone of punditry. Something that doesn't matter should be critiqued because it's emblematic of things that matter, sometimes.

He’s just gunning for a job in the Ramaswamy administration at this point man.

Lakshya is many things and I don’t always agree with him but it’s clear he truly despises the modern Republican Party

I’ll take revealed preference from posts like this over what he “truly” despises tbh.

I mean he votes for democrats pretty consistently unless you think he’s lying about that

All I can see is what he is saying. I don’t claim to know what happens inside a voting booth.

My read is that he might be someone who’d prefer to vote for a center-right party if a center-right party wasn’t absolutely insane but that’s not the country we live in

But this isn’t the person we should be trusting with Democratic Party messaging though.

He’s in a similar boat to Nate Silver for me, like I’d trust his read of the polls, not necessarily his punditry

This. I think a lot of dudes like him are praying a Mitt Romney comes back after Trump

well, so does Bill Kristol

so useful idiot to there cause doesn't seem any better

I think the trouble is he hates the Democratic Party just as much

I don’t think he’s a Republican I think he spends too much time looking at polling data

It's a bit concerning that he's been going on a Nate Silver "Numbers guy to pundit" arc lately.

He sucks but not nearly as bad as that statement.

Walk me through what was wrong with the extremely reasonable statement Jared.

No acknowledgement of the fact that ending fed independence will have disastrous effects on the economy? Trump has been doing a racist purge of the government since getting elected, so alongside pointing this out as yet another example, it might be good to emphasize that the fed is loadbearing

a) it's weak and toothless, as per usual for Jeffries; b) it starts with "she's the first Black woman" but doesn't tie that to Trump's broader purge of Black officials; and c) it misses the actual point—he has no authority to fire her and is obvious pretext for seizing control of the Fed.

these complaints are weak

In this specific instance, I'm pretty sure it's more that he's in group chats with twitter leftists

He's definitely a kid who thinks his statistical prowess must mean his political takes are automatically very good I was a dumbass in my early 20s too, and I'm so glad I didn't have a national online platform with which to let everyone know

I wonder if being on such a big stage will speed up his learning process. Back in our day, we had to wait for our lumps.

Something shifted when he went from merely opining about elections to trying to do for-profit consulting on them.

This isn’t fair, there’s lots more ways to be a fucking idiot than just being a Republican.

two party system brother I don't know what to tell you

oh wowow are we recreating the bimodal vs binary debate only politics???!!!! lol

(I agree with you I just wanted to call him an idiot too)

But one option is an elephant-sized dunce cap you wear in public.

The Brain Worms will come for us all if we don’t log off.

Don't know her. But I think the proper criticism of Jeffries' statement is that it doesn't explain that Trump is trying to purge all Democratically-appointed Fed Board members. One has resigned. Another is going to likely challenge her removal. There are 2 other Biden appointees to go.

he left this place for the Nazi site and found it preferable, so, yeah

What did he say that prompted this?

Here is the Jefferies statement. bsky.app/profile/conv...

The Jainiters and the low-info lefty campists like Kevin Kruse are both engagement farming off a Democratic office holder's perfectly good statement

if you're still using twitter like nothing is different you are a republican voter, change my mind.

"nobody knows Lisa Cook is black" is genuinely an insane tack to take here

I didn’t know she was Black until Trump starting attacking her, but as soon as I learned it I was “Yep. Here he goes again.”

This is why I side heavily with Ganz, the overconfident spreadsheet guys with no political instincts themselves (otherwise they’d just do politics) should be ignored

Veep really cooked on this point.

Yeah but he is right. Black might obviously be the correct take away but explaining fed independence to morons that just elected Trump is more difficult

I’d say he’s a twitter poisoned democrat which isn’t far off from republican and still a blue voter. He’s the kind of democracy that makes people wonder what the actual difference long term is between democrats and republicans

he's not a republican at all, he's just cooked his brain off of backseat driving/monday morning qb-ing elections through a polling lens on X: The Everything App

I think a lot of the New Centrists have a pretty clear “talking about racism as it pertains to Black people even when the racism is clear and pernicious” is a political loser and more important annoying.

yes

Gee I wonder why a person might think that

i mean i think it's telling that he basically is like "yeah the racial implications of firing a Fed FOMC member don't matter at al"

"I don't see color, even though the man firing people is an open racist. take me seriously" -centrist commentariat

Granted Trump has been on a month's long spree of firing anyone who isn't a white dude so I'm not sure if this is the one that gets it to sink in that that he's a Bad Guy for it.

What actually has an impact here is if the markets spook, I just don't think the media actually gives enough of a care to really hammer "Trump, still Super Racist."

It matters if you are trying to win back minorities that left your coalition because they didn't think Trump/Republicans were going to pick racism as one of their primary motivations

Not all messaging and content has to be for the median voter sometimes you have to convince members of your coalition that you recognize their situation, sometimes you are trying to persuade a group.

But Black Americans do. They are the base of our party. Other people who aren’t racist do. People who are from other marginalized groups or any other group historically unprotected in the workplace are freaked. I don’t think just a few voters care about the totality of these firings.

I think Black Americans recognize that Jefferies is forefronting her identity in a way that the average BSky poster or voter will miss

To be clear I think the statement is fine, the people getting mad that he at all raised her race or that he pivoted to "Trump is a crook" are who I think are dumb

The point is calling out the racism is still important when it’s a clear and overt pattern. The market crashing won’t need much messaging.

Tying this action to the markets spooking is important, as the media sure as shit won't do it for him! I'm kind of pessimistic about the ability to tag anything else into it for the general consumption of the public given their reactions over the past 8 months.

Right, everyone historically unprotected in the workplace will continue to feel perfectly fine as the government keeps attacking historically unprotected people in the workplace and rolling back or outright attacking federal protections. As long as the markets are steady.

I think Lakshya is pointing out nothing about this will affect voters, It doesn’t directly change anything about their day-to-day.

no he isn’t he’s just from the Bay Area Bay Area moderate democrats sound like Republicans when they’re fighting with other democrats but are pretty progressive in other contexts

"Nobody will read this statement" Jain is Odysseus, you heard it here first