avatar
Courtney Lovecraft @courtneylovecraft.bsky.social

This is always true, but particularly important to remember when one candidate's strongest supporters are historically the most likely to stay home on election day. It's easy to imagine a modest decline in enthusiasm translating to a collapse of Trump's electoral support.

oct 18, 2024, 10:06 pm • 5 1

Replies

avatar
Testudo Aubrei @ritterteufeltod.bsky.social

Yeah building your election hopes on white men under 35 without college degrees…not the base I would choose.

oct 19, 2024, 1:05 am • 2 0 • view
avatar
CW Arizona 🏜️🌵👵🏼⛈️📷🚴‍♀️ @cwarizona.bsky.social

I think about this every day. I see how Walz and Harris relate to the American people then I see Trump’s lies and tired old riffs. I could see Trump supporters staying home for a number of reasons

oct 18, 2024, 10:38 pm • 9 1 • view
avatar
Dave's not here, man! @davewithturbos.bsky.social

This. Also me praying "let Harris take Texas let Harris take Texas let Harris take Texas let Harris take Texas"

oct 18, 2024, 10:57 pm • 17 1 • view
avatar
CW Arizona 🏜️🌵👵🏼⛈️📷🚴‍♀️ @cwarizona.bsky.social

Allred too 🤞

oct 18, 2024, 11:43 pm • 4 0 • view
avatar
Courtney Lovecraft @courtneylovecraft.bsky.social

Feels like a wild fantasy. But Cruz is the most dislikeable pol in national politics, and Trump just isn't exciting anymore. So, you've got to think there's a window. I think TX GOP's voter suppression machine wins out. But hey, who knows?

oct 19, 2024, 9:53 am • 2 0 • view
avatar
Dave's not here, man! @davewithturbos.bsky.social

Valid points but yeah,I feel it is a wild fantasy. They're trending blue but aren't quite there IMO.

oct 19, 2024, 2:29 pm • 0 0 • view
avatar
Erik of Portland, Legal Calvinball Disliker @erikgunderson.bsky.social

So Texas isn't even purple yet, it's kind of... mauve. Mauve Texas.

oct 19, 2024, 2:54 pm • 2 0 • view
avatar
Dave's not here, man! @davewithturbos.bsky.social

Fair. Mainly I was going off of this: www.270towin.com/states/Texas

oct 19, 2024, 3:18 pm • 0 0 • view
avatar
scoaliera.bsky.social @scoaliera.bsky.social

I'm almost afraid to say it out loud, but it reminds me of two anecdotes from reporters' books post-2016: Tur, with Trump saying 2 weeks out, "This doesn't feel like losing," & Chozick, with HRC's traveling press saying, "This doesn't feel like winning." The vibes had it right, not the polls.

oct 18, 2024, 11:05 pm • 2 0 • view
avatar
CW Arizona 🏜️🌵👵🏼⛈️📷🚴‍♀️ @cwarizona.bsky.social

I remember the sense of dread even though she was “winning”. This totally tracks. This one feels different but I have PTSD lol

oct 18, 2024, 11:44 pm • 3 0 • view
avatar
scoaliera.bsky.social @scoaliera.bsky.social

You and me both. That's why I'm almost afraid to say it.

oct 18, 2024, 11:46 pm • 1 0 • view
avatar
Courtney Lovecraft @courtneylovecraft.bsky.social

I was pretty sure she was going to win. I thought it was a catastrophe that Trump could make it close, and we'd have to deal with this cancer for years to come. Man, that was a shitty night!

oct 19, 2024, 9:57 am • 1 0 • view
avatar
Courtney Lovecraft @courtneylovecraft.bsky.social

It's a carnival in its 10th year of touring, and they haven't done anything to meaningfully update the show Some people will keep coming back forever as a source of nostalgia. But you'd expect the more casual fans to move on to something new Then again, I thought most would get bored by 2018

oct 19, 2024, 9:49 am • 1 0 • view
avatar
JonS253 @jons253.bsky.social

I just want Trump's supporters to follow his instructions, and show up to vote on January 5th.

oct 19, 2024, 1:28 am • 3 0 • view
avatar
Michael Yarbrough (he/him) @mwyarbrough.bsky.social

Exactly this. His biggest electoral strength is also a very vulnerable Achilles heel.

oct 19, 2024, 3:46 pm • 1 0 • view