Hey Matt How you feeling about this level of certainty, Sat 8:00 am E.S.T.? How is Erin different from Isabel (2003) ? Why are the models SO off? Why did the Storm hug the Southernmost forecasted track? How reliable is NHC/NOAA in a post-truth Era? Thanks - Have a good

Thanks, Matt. My biggest concern was the high pressure in D.C. pushing for more favorable than likely forecasts. Didn't the last one to cross Mar-A-Stalin endure a Sharpie lashing? Might that, I hesiate to use "chilling" in a conversation with a meteorologist, potentially break existing models?