30% of democratic party and ppl to left of democratic party is a population of probably 50m ppl. Easy to fill an arena, arguably impossible to win a national election
Replies
Yeah, if we nominate someone on the left, we might win the popular vote but we’re not getting PA, WI, MI, GA, or NC.
sep 2, 2025, 5:32 am • 1 0 • view
.....yeah but Harris did neither.
sep 2, 2025, 11:40 am • 2 0 • view
But Biden did. Anyway, the point is to do better than Harris, not lose leftistly
sep 2, 2025, 3:33 pm • 0 0 • view
Biden honestly did more to court the left than Harris. e.g., student loans. I knew it was a long shot, but he at minimum followed through with attempting..at least once. He did it wrong, IMO, and failed, but he did try. Harris tacking to the center when the base was begging for rage lost it for her
sep 2, 2025, 3:37 pm • 1 0 • view
This is a common sentiment but it’s not supported by the data. All other things being equal, moderate candidates slightly outperform farther left/right candidates in the US. Unfortunately, what really held back Harris (and also Hillary) was the unwillingness of men to vote for them:
sep 2, 2025, 3:43 pm • 0 0 • view
For sure; whites didn't wanna vote for a black woman. I try not to default to that explanation, but instead measure candidates based on conscious choices. Not having a primary was a bad call, too.
sep 2, 2025, 4:07 pm • 1 0 • view
Agreed, but swing voters are generally pretty ignorant of policy positions of candidates. You might get 1-2 ideas to break thru (which is why you hear so much screaming on Fox calling progressive Dems “communists”)
sep 2, 2025, 4:16 pm • 0 0 • view
Its not 'whites' - Its everyone, women presidential candidates do worse (including amongst women)and the primary explanation is that they are women. Also Harris did a lot to court leftist, in 2020 and therefore was stuck tacking back to have any shot in 2024.
sep 2, 2025, 4:28 pm • 0 0 • view
It is an unfortunate fact. Generally that's why we have a primary to design who the candidate should be and not throwing them in with 100 days to go.
sep 2, 2025, 4:41 pm • 1 0 • view
No question Biden should have dropped earlier.
sep 2, 2025, 4:44 pm • 1 0 • view