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Jessica Kant @jessdkant.bsky.social

But when modeling the long term effect, it’s incomprehensible. www.ox.ac.uk/news/2025-04...

The authors conducted an original modelled analysis using existing data to predict the risks children in sub-Saharan Africa would face in the absence of PEPFAR programmes, including increased HIV infections, AIDS-related deaths, and orphanhood. The estimates suggest that by 2030, there could be 1 million new cases of paediatric HIV and 460,000 additional AIDS-related deaths in children. Furthermore, if there is a complete cessation of PEPFAR, it could substantially reduce adult life expectancies, potentially leaving 2.8 million additional children orphaned.
sep 1, 2025, 3:01 pm • 29 8

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