I think that's the most reasonable explanation for the contradiction between the top and bottom results, assuming it's just not a misprint.
Replies
It's a weird way to report the results from their poll though. Why not just add the oversample in the general survey and weight it down?
apr 16, 2025, 2:06 am • 0 0 • view
I agree. The 2 data sets directly contradict each other. And they reported a sub sample of a sub sample.... that's dumb.
apr 16, 2025, 2:13 am • 0 0 • view
Especially weird because everywhere in the survey they only report the 18-29 numbers for the oversample.
apr 16, 2025, 2:25 am • 1 0 • view
Anyway, it's kinda funny that there are multiple people here and on Twitter conconcting elaborate social theories based on data that is plainly self-contradictory
apr 16, 2025, 2:26 am • 1 0 • view
Jake Paul, Andrew Tate, TikTok, COVID, tobacco companies (?), etc.
apr 16, 2025, 2:28 am • 0 0 • view
Everyone is on edge atm so anything that's looks bad will set them off. I only care about catalist exit surveys and polls with 3 months of an election. What they say will be my gospel.
apr 16, 2025, 2:29 am • 0 0 • view
It's just a really dumb way of showing the data. Why didn't they show the data splits by age in the bottom graph? They just want the publicity.... because only one of the two datasets can be true. Either the bottom is wrong or the top is. Given the extremely small data set for the top. It's...1/2
apr 16, 2025, 2:08 am • 0 0 • view
Much more likely that the second is closer for the whole 18-29 age group. That being said the <24 had been slightly more conservative for 2 years now... so it's somewhat real...north Carolina registrations by age confirm this as well... however this poll, is not being honest with it's narrative
apr 16, 2025, 2:11 am • 0 0 • view