I’m guessing he’s banking on higher Dem turnout depressing Murkowski’s crossover? Plus the BBB vote, think that sunk her approvals harder than ever.

well Murk's problem is that indies and Dems put her over the line in 2022, and now both of those groups hate her. She can't do that again, ergo he wins.

I wonder if she still runs in 28, I'd have thought the GOP would try to stick with her as hard as they could.

I could see Thune/the NRSC dumping her for Dunleavy, she's not a super reliable vote

eh the NRSC backed her over another candidate that Trump backed in '22, I'm not sure if it's different enough by now for them to be willing to back a primary

Dunleavy is very different as he's the incumbent two-term Governor of Alaska

like Dunleavy =/= Tshibaka, not even a little bit. He's a serious candidate, she was not

fair. If he actually jumps in I don't see any path for Murk but retiring.

her path is a desperate hail mary at reclaiming support with independents and Dems by throwing her past self under the bus and becoming Joe Manchin 2 whether or not she is smart enough/has big enough balls to do that are separate questions

presumably, they think she's insufficiently MATA for their suicidal agenda, no?