i think it's highly contextual and depends on the candidates. Generic Funded Incumbent D is not losing to Random Generic No Money Challenger D, like, 9 times out of 10 we don't even have that many challengers right now in total
Replies
apparently candidate filing hasn't even officially opened in Oregon right now?
sep 2, 2025, 12:06 am • 5 0 • view
i'm looking through the list (nationally) and it's more than I thought but fewer than you'd want, and a lot of them are totally unserious randos
sep 2, 2025, 12:07 am • 1 0 • view
something's happening in Massachusetts, though - Neal, Moulton, and Lynch are probably all on the chopping block
sep 2, 2025, 12:08 am • 1 0 • view