I can't square dem partisans telling me the senate is out of reach with all the Republicans electeds acting like 2006 is coming
Replies
They cant gerrymander the senate seats.
aug 30, 2025, 4:48 pm • 1 0 • view
Yeah, but state lines aren't friendly to us when we're opposing the whites only party
aug 30, 2025, 4:48 pm • 0 0 • view
If Iowa is in play, we have reached the Rubicon. North Carolina is in play. Ohio is now in play.
aug 30, 2025, 5:44 pm • 0 0 • view
I am out on Ohio as flippable but Iowa seems to be falling apart under conservative dominance
aug 30, 2025, 5:59 pm • 0 0 • view
Yes, in reach. Nobody wanted Proj2025. Author now OMB dir Proj2025 => DOGE, Tariffs, BBB DOGE is despised, tariffs could sink us, and BBB is the worst ever BBB target = rural USA = GOP constituency GOP loves BBB. Can't run from it. DEMs save rural => in power for 50 yrs youtu.be/LnaCe1ZMODA
aug 30, 2025, 4:56 pm • 0 0 • view
I mean, all you have to do is talk to any Democrat who is alive in 2008 about what making long-term predictions about the outcome of American elections is like. Particle basically decided it was demographically unbeatable and stop trying.
aug 30, 2025, 4:58 pm • 0 0 • view
Not a dem. Was in gov during Reagan admin. GOP left me. Was retained to analyze BBB. It's not "ordinary partisan bad." It's "end of America" bad. Hoping for repeal/replace the BBB. If Dems use it, could end GOP Not what I want, but orders of magnitude better than what BBB will do to us
aug 30, 2025, 5:12 pm • 0 0 • view
“Repeal/replace” ain’t it that just warming over republican arguments. We need different arguments
aug 30, 2025, 5:57 pm • 1 0 • view
Settle for repeal. Everyone who's done the analysis we did agrees it won't last 10 years. Got to go back to Cromwell and the English Civil War to find a legislative act this bad. I'll worry about republicans vs democrats once it's gone. Happy to cheer on dems until then.
aug 30, 2025, 6:07 pm • 0 0 • view
I am interested why you think this tax law won’t last a decade? (Personally, I am more worried about the ‘current policy baseline’ BS they GOP pulled to extend the trump 1 cuts too)
aug 30, 2025, 6:09 pm • 0 0 • view
BBB: Deficits front-loaded, cuts backloaded => huge surge in unsecured debt = Gross Fiscal Irresponsibility (GFI). Gross like in GDP Think "Latin America" (Arg 2020-2023) GFI is like buying a mansion with a credit card and then giving it away Rural USA's credit card Result is econ crisis
aug 30, 2025, 6:22 pm • 0 0 • view
Cuts backloaded => next year worse every year Economic suicide Add in tariffs, gov no ability to borrow to get us out, ... We won't commit suicide. BBB repealed first
aug 30, 2025, 6:22 pm • 0 0 • view
Interesting. Persuasive My personal opinion is the bottom has already fallen out and we don't know it yet. But I find it hard to believe that capital is going to let Congress eat into their goodies that they just got.
aug 30, 2025, 7:21 pm • 1 0 • view
There are many elections every Tuesday in this great, big, beautiful, sliding cleats first into authoritarianism country. Let’s see how we do this Tuesday. bsky.app/profile/take...
aug 30, 2025, 4:47 pm • 0 0 • view