Tbh for Hillary it’s quite obvious to me — sometime between 2012-2016 working class white people stopped answering polls and the campaign was inundated with bad data they couldn’t have possibly known was bad until Election Day. 2024 was about food prices, 2020 I think is the most difficult
The job market being dog shit also needs to be in that 2024 Econ story. Record low quits and record long “time to find a job” is not what full employment is supposed to look like
2020 had a lot going on but I think COVID & Trump fumbling it is the main thing
2020 things felt worse for people because there was a shiny Pokemon version of a recession and massive layoffs so it just translated to "aaaaa let's go back to normal" which meant Biden and not the current guy who is in charge while the world is weird