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Dan Grey @dangrey.bsky.social

Yeah I mistyped slightly – yes I don't think there's much value in an update against the 1.5° budget. An update against the 2° budget would be valuable I think. I wanted to add one of your charts to this post the other day 👇 but couldn't find one I felt was right for it

sep 2, 2025, 10:38 am • 0 0

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Robbie Andrew @robbieandrew.bsky.social

The extra parameter is which likelihood: 50% or 67%? We often used the 50% likelihood budget for 1.5° (a 50/50 chance of achieving it) because anything higher just looked ridiculous. I can do both. But I'll have to squeeze it into my to-do list...

sep 2, 2025, 11:06 am • 0 0 • view
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Dan Grey @dangrey.bsky.social

67% – I forget that IPCC wording but I think that's "more likely than not"

sep 2, 2025, 11:16 am • 1 0 • view