🧵1/7 👉 The biggest threat to humanity might not be only climate, war, or AI. It could be something quieter, on top of all that: we’re running out of babies. 👶 A study warns the impact could rival climate change.
🧵1/7 👉 The biggest threat to humanity might not be only climate, war, or AI. It could be something quieter, on top of all that: we’re running out of babies. 👶 A study warns the impact could rival climate change.
I don't know who would want to bring a baby into the world w/ nasty autocrats taking advantage of people & trying to push their minority opinions & religion on people. The intolerance of anyone difference now means attacks or questions by masked thugs, costs are up, the environment is changing.
🧵2/7 By 2100, most nations will have fertility far below replacement. Entire populations could shrink by half. Governments worry: 📉 Smaller workforce 💰 Collapsing pensions 🪖 Weaker militaries A society getting older, slower, weaker.
🧵3/7 But not everyone sees doom. Some argue fewer children could mean: 🎓 More education per child 🌱 Less strain on the planet 🌇 Better quality of life So… should we really fear smaller societies?
🧵4/7 Here’s the catch: fewer people doesn’t just mean fewer workers. It means fewer inventors. Fewer breakthroughs. Slower progress. ⚙️ Economists Spears & Geruso call it “the long fade.”
🧵5/7 History gives us clues. 🇫🇷 France adapted to fertility decline with policy + migration—and thrived. 🇯🇵 Japan struggles with aging and stagnation. Same problem, different outcomes. Why?
🧵6/7 Because the danger isn’t falling birthrates. It’s inaction. We can respond with: 🤖 Automation & AI 🌍 Smart immigration 📊 Rethinking growth Or we can deny, delay, and decline.
🧵7/7 So— 🌍 Is demographic change really a threat? —or— 🚀 Is it a chance to reinvent society? The future isn’t written in birthrates. It’s written in choices. What do you think: fear it, or embrace it?
Demographic change is not the threat! It is only a threat to those who wish for their idea of a “pure” society. Those “pure” societies stagnate and die. As they should. If that sounds harsh, I don’t know a better way to put it.
Does it really matter though if they're not incentivizing people to continue R&D in science and experimental theory? Get rid of the intelligentsia, no one think for themselves, just fall in line
Climate change is a certainty, it's already happening. All the others are possibilities. Therefore, none of them rival climate change.
We're NOT short of humans. We dont want anybody who isnt white and/or young and/or male. Plenty of people in every country, all quite capable of creativity! Is there 0 unemployment? Are there older experienced people made to work at cash registers? Are there masses of young people incarcerated? Pfft
And this is a bad thing?
There are 8.2 billion people on a planet that can only sustain about 2.3 billion at a U.S. standard of living. Which is what people want. So the market is correcting itself. Thais is how the free market wotks.
I'm interested in this topic & somewhat surprised all the doom & gloom that goes with it. It seems the 'can-do' enthusiasm dries up in the face of the idea of fewer humans. It's just another change that humans will adapt to & will bring its own opportunities & benefits.
The world will go on without us. Hopefully, whatever intelligence evolves to replace us will be more empathetic and less destructive.
Nobody wants to have babies when they have no faith in being able to support them throughout their infancy and childhood.
The biggest threat is us.
You might be right. No humans : No problem 🤓
Perhaps if there was universal healthcare so having a baby didn’t bankrupt you, having affordable daycare so you could work to pay bills, being able to feed the children, having free school & college, and knowing student loans were not a thing -people may decide to have more children!!
"Rethinking growth" This. Though we tend to think otherwise, our economic system is artificial. Because it was "designed" over a couple of millennia, we tend to believe otherwise. But that ad hoc design is part of the problem. Redesign for sustainability. There are so many wins here.
Exactly 👍