testotestotesto.bsky.social
@testotestotesto.bsky.social
created August 7, 2025
5 followers 1 following 30 posts
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testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Also labor mobility in general is terrible. Most cops that move to a different city have to start as a new recruit, which is why only disgraced cops do it. The US also has an insane number of police departments in general (~18k vs 160 for Canada)
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
So you don't think the Jordanian model is a best practice from peers that gets better value for money?
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Seems like an American quirk to describe cutting essential public services as "better value for money". The European inquisitorial system combined w/ consolidated PDs, automation (CCTV, red light cameras), & slightly fewer defendant rights (weaker exclusionary rule) probably has the highest ROI tbh
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
US police departments suffer from similar problems as other public agencies. Huge class of burnt out lifers, ever expanding paperwork burden, seniority-based promotion, little standardization, cities/states banning the few avenues for automation (speed cameras) b/c they're unpopular.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
IMO the police are all chuds who hate their prog mayor problem is somewhat overstated vs law enforcement suffering from declining state capacity like every other public service. Policing has ~zero labor mobility, is high fractured (CA has over 3x # of PDs than all of Canada) & is hard to automate
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Policing is an essential service that requires an effective public sector to work properly & is more humane than the pre-modern alternative (irregular sweeps, high severity punishments, weak rule of law) so you'd think that it would be right up the left's alley
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Before professional policing law enforcement was "we can only catch <5% of offenders so we'll use severe, horrific punishments as a deterrent". Society learned that the average offender is an impulsive young man who responds better to swift and certain punishments rather than severe ones.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Another issue is that the paperwork burden on police has grown enormously & there's little standardization. IMO these cost disease factors explain declining police productivity better than culture war/resentment at prog city leadership.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
One of the biggest issues with policing is there's basically zero labor mobility. Moving to a new city means forfeiting rank, seniority, pension, etc. You usually have to start as a new recruit. Staying at the same firm for an entire career usually results in burn-out and crashing productivity.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
The bitter pill for all factions of the Dems is that voters largely don't care about rule of law or higher-minded ideals and are far more open to authoritarianism than UMC voters. Whether left or mod the messaging needs to be 100% focused on the price of borger
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
See: the pro-business faction of Texas Republicans being in a quasi-confidence and supply arrangement with Dems this last session as they increasingly get primaried by chuds. Whoever succeeds Abbott will zero out property taxes and pass a bunch of insane MAHA bills.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Also the GOP becoming corporatist is going to negatively polarize more Dems towards neoliberalism. Center right guys somehow think that Trump's style of economic management will somehow be quarantined from state-level GOP governance but that's only true if Trump's approval from Rs drops
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Also given looming fiscal dominance and the median voter's tax preferences, in the medium term the only way to meaningfully increase living standards at the bottom is through neoliberal pro-growth policy lol.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Could be cope but it's hard for me to imagine Americans accepting the substantial QOL downgrade that Trump's economic mismanagement is driving us towards. Like his numbers on the economy have plummeted and that's with firms shielding consumers from the worst of it.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
We need the polisci equivalent to the Fed where social choice theorists can tweak voting systems and electoral institutions in a nonpartisan fashion to maximize voter satisfaction efficiency
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
One of the main villains of aviation policy is general aviation. Free-riding off ATC and gatekeeping pilot training for the vast majority of prospective pilots. As with many policy areas you can never hate local gentry boomer parasites enough
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
The FAA could introduce a multi-crew pilot's license to lower the barrier to entry but yeah Baumol go brrr
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Cons are at like at ~2016-17 in their own version of the Great Awokening. General public still views the groyper types as a peanut gallery & not occupying key staffer roles like they do progs for the Dems post-2020. That'll start to change when Vance does debasing media hits with like Candace Owens
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Network effects are real hard to break even with dysfunctional governance. It's like the Bay Area in that way. The problem is people taking it as representative of popular sentiment and not the pathological beliefs of conservative & liberal elites.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
A lot of this shit is downstream of Musk Twitter. Liberal journalists spend all their time on the Fox News of social media sites and assume the public agrees with every wacky Trump decision even though his popularity is in the dirt!
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Also while it's true in general that the correct response to losing a presidential election is moderating, you don't need to move towards the other side on every issue. Whatever covid/lockdown backlash existed among normies has long dissipated; there's no cost to holding the line on public health.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
A lot of the "Nature/SA shouldn't have endorsed Biden" discourse ignores that the GOP has been making rejecting scientific consensus (evolution, climate change, now germ theory) a litmus test since Reagan. Wouldn't be surprised if we get an honest-to-god flat earther at the next RNC.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
I'd like to see a few US cities experiment with auctioning curb ROW for private jitney/shuttle/bus service so the private sector has a more of a reason to invest in AV bus tech. You'd probably want some mandated payment integration so it isn't a headache for riders.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
In the long run we'll need AV tech to expand/maintain bus service, which is a necessary step for bootstrapping cities to higher transit mode share and eventually rail. Ludditism against AVs is consigning North America to SOV sprawl forever.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
What's strange is that Biden genuinely succeeded in turning the temperature down but only for the Dems lol. Peak Woke was like 2021, the cancel culture mob stuff was clearly a product of Trump 1/Covid. Most of Biden's overreach was on policy, not culture war vs Trump 2's assault on civil society
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Conservatives think that Trump 2 is a proportional response to the Great Awokening/2020, which they see as a disproportional response to Trump 1. They're wrong but that's their stance Iterated prisoner's dilemmas are hard to resolve IRL since defection is rarely binary
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
And Rawlsian egalitarianism isn't exactly a hard target either. Tons of problems under the hood that guys like Breunig are evasive about. A rare example where the wonkish preference for narrow empirical questions & avoiding broad philosophical debate is a discursive disadvantage.
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
An affirmative defense of the sort of liberalism that most of the authors share would involve being honest that reducing inequality (and really intranational inequality in the case of Rawls) is not always the paramount moral concern. Not every MVPF<1 intervention passes a CBA in the developed world!
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
That article was frustrating because there is clearly a normative debate to be had within liberalism between Rawlsian egalitarianism (reducing inequality is intrinsically good) and utilitarian/prioritarianism (reducing inequality has spillover benefits) but it devolved to muddle & invective
testotestotesto.bsky.social (@testotestotesto.bsky.social) reply parent
Food NIMBYism is an underrated problem. Ag TFP growth has slowed considerably since 2000 so meeting midcentury global food needs requires either foodtech innovation or clearcutting rainforests. But the OECD is collectively choosing food woo over safe, healthy, high yield industrial agriculture