thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social
@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social
I'm not a data scientist and don't have the credentials to be. However, I'm an intellectually curious football guy who prefers empirical data to vibes.
created November 10, 2024
31 followers 121 following 43 posts
view profile on Bluesky Posts
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
Max Brosner sounds like a fictional QB in an unrealistic football movie about a former star high school QB overcomes alcoholism to take a team that started 0-8 to the Superbowl where his ex-wife is a sideline reporter and they get back together in the end.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
Nerds! We won! Playing Madden against the CPU, I was up 14 in the 4th QTR, and they scored a TD, and they went for 2. #Madden #Analytics #NFL
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
No doubt there are schematic similarities, but the QB position is objectively better. Diva WRs, like fans, judge good play calling on whether the play works or not, lol.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
Maybe my Google-fu is off, or Google is just garbage now, but what did Herbert say? I'm genuinely just curious.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
Why are the racist so obsessed with genitals? If it ain't trans people (or people the THINK are trans), it's Black men's.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
What is with you clowns and being infatuated with triggering people.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
Glad baseball is moving past the unwritten rule BS. Love that celebration. I'm an Orioles fan.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
My expectations for these people are so low that simply having a different opinion than Trump on anything earns them a victory lap.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm a Black man. I self-censor at work because there are things you shouldn't say in a work environment. I thought this was normal behavior. Apparently, it's oppression?
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
I use AI all the time. Google AI (any LLM for that matter) is not a reputable source of information.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
Dan is one of the few internet personalities that if he's on something, I'm watching it no matter the subject matter. He's a national treasure and should be protected at all costs.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
It isn't distinguishable from parody. This can't be real.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
This game is drunk.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
In fairness, he was also playing against one of the greatest defenses of all time. By traditional stats, at least.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
My guy saw the Herbert hot takes and was like, "Hold my beer."
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
Darnold looks like he reverted to 2019 Darnold vs the Patriots.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
Feel bad for Sam Darnold. His last game and a half has been rough, and now his great season might just be remembered for these two bad games instead of 17 weeks of solid QB play.
Jacson A. Bevens (@jacsonbevens.bsky.social) reposted
the Justin Herbert* discourse is in danger of getting VERY loud *who I think is awesome
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
People are going to overreact about a 2 game sample size with Justin Herbert if the chargers don't come back.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
Have no idea who Tim Boyle knows. Like you can't even go back to college to see that he was ever good. He was bad against bad competition.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
I have no idea what Tim Boyle has done at any level to be on an NFL roster. He needs to be studied.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
I think guys in the booth get way too much hate. But when I listen to Romo he seems to completely lack situational awareness. It's honestly shocking how bad he is.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
That was such a Raiders way to lose a game.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
Malik Nabers is right. Drops are overblown. They suck because they're visible. The WR got open, and the QB delivered the pass, but it was dropped. The thing is, I want WRs that can get open. A WR that can't consistently get open won't drop many passes because they won't be targeted.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
Looks like Ben Johnson did not come up with this. x.com/FB_FilmAnaly...
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
I don't think the Bears have either, and that's not a shot at the Bears. That's just some Ben Johnson stuff right there.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
I think the two clear best offenses in the NFL are the Ravens and the Lions. However, the Lions offense seems to be a lot more consistent. Where the Ravens have stretches where they're either unstoppable or they're just meandering.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
Punting there was horrible
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
"And we probably won't hear about it again." We never do. It was the right decision whether they got it or not.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
#Analytics
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
Analytics won't get credit for that...and that's the problem with people who have a problem with it.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
What's frustrating is that they keep doing this to themselves. It's been a huge problem since the Bengal's game.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
What is happening today? What a way to lose a game!?!??
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
OMG, what just happened on Washington???
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
I think you're purposely missing the point I was trying to convey. You have a good Sunday.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
A safety was the most appropriate way to close out that Texans/Titans game.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
Let's take data out of this for a second. Why would it be a better decision as an inferior team to expect to drive the field, score twice, and hope you win a coin toss or get a stop then score again? Most of the arguments against "analytics" support it.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
So, the problem is this if you are a "mid" to bad team, your chances of winning in overtime would be less too. You're best served trying to maximize win probability if you're the inferior team.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
Kliff Kingsbury isn't escaping the allegations.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
Bears passed the going for 2 once your score down 14 challenge. Just didn't convert.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
Prophetic
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social) reply parent
So far, he's been sacked on 23% of his dropbacks today.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
I totally understand why the Giants moved on from Daniel Jones. I'm not quite sure why Tommy Davito is getting a chance to start unless they are just trying to get the best possible draft pick. He is clearly not an NFL caliber QB. Before today, he has been sacked on 17.6% of his dropbacks.
Aaron Schatz (@aaronschatz.com) reposted
Articles ignore the fact that a lot of us just want to mostly talk about sports without dealing with bots and trolls.
thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social (@thetolkienblackguy.bsky.social)
1 of the most frustrating things about football people that are anti-analytics is the belief that for data to provide value, it must lead to a good result 100% of the time. Data science is a science it's not perfect and will continue to evolve. It's about improving the probability of good results.