Thoreau Away
@thoreauaway.bsky.social
Christian, American, liberal, geoist. Big fan of compassion and taxing rents. Not a fan of oathbreakers or NIMBYs. Everything in politics is now secondary to preserving our Constitution.
created December 9, 2024
346 followers 80 following 3,708 posts
view profile on Bluesky Posts
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
The evidence, for starters, is that there’s been massive public feuding on a scale that could not possibly have happened had this been the caucus consensus. They also chose their fall guys very poorly if the goal was to minimize overall primary vulnerability.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
I didn’t say that we could do it all in 2026. They can each be reckoned with as they come up for reelection.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
…the voters next year could possibly be stupid enough to think caving was a good idea.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social)
That none of the Senators who caved are up next year doesn’t prove that the whole caucus secretly conspired to get this outcome and foist it on those who could not be held accountable. (Democrats are not known for their secret conspiracy abilities.) It proves that no one disciplined by facing…
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
As for the idea that not being up next year would protect them - try telling that to the Senators who voted for Obamacare in 2010 and got wiped out in 2014.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Already addressed this. This is a conspiracy theory entirely at odds with the evidence. bsky.app/profile/thor...
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Elissa Slotkin cannot be primaried. Brian Schatz can. This theory does not predict their behavior.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
There’s conspiracy theory floating around that his position is actually the caucus consensus, and they had leadership and retiring Senators take the fall so others wouldn’t be primaried. But then why were the vast majority of swing state senators - practically immune to primaries - against this?
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
Reminder: the vast majority of elected Dems held strong. We can throw the bums who didn’t out.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Reminder: the vast majority of elected Dems held strong. We can throw the bums who didn’t out.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Wait how lol
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Lol good luck getting through MA Also there’s not much of worth north of NH
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
The good news is, a lot of those people don’t vote in primaries.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social)
I mean Dems have the luxury of their votes not mattering there, right? Republicans can jam through a party line vote with no filibuster.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
And probably what cost Harris the election was what cost literally every incumbent party in the world
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
They didn’t though He kept saying it, the media ignored it once it wasn’t news
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
She’ll have literally just fought (and hopefully won) a mayoral campaign. She can’t run next year.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Well that’s hardly a good use of resources. It’s not like half the caucus is going to be turned over in primaries. (And any plausible primary opponent for Markey will be from his right.)
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
And worse, the retirees voting for this. Shaheen and Peters should be spat upon.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
Most of the party did their job! It’s one guy in the House and nine in the senate who need a booting hard enough to turn their behind into a crater.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Most of the party did their job! It’s one guy in the House and nine in the senate who need a booting hard enough to turn their behind into a crater.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Like that suggests a broad caucus consensus that the bill needed to pass, so leadership got the people who couldn’t be punished to take the fall But then why are the others from safe states instead of effectively unprimary-able swing state senators
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Why are the retirees the ones pushing this catastrophe through is the question They should be the strongest noes
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Peters is retiring, as is Shaheen Absolute failures
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
This has to be fake right? Vance has tried to act like he thinks they’re funny
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Is he a no because the budget isn’t crazy enough or because he remembered the text of the Constitution long enough to remember that Congress needs to cut the budget instead of the President
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Wow, Foreman *did* try the stupid drug
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social)
Probably saved four Senate seats and a dozen or more House seats, while avoiding the embarrassment of a 55-41 blowout where Trump flips New Jersey
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Two things: -The 2026 environment will give Ossoff better odds than currently understood of surviving a Kemp candidacy -Good luck to Kemp getting through a primary lol
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Nobody has been yes on cloture and no on passage yet. That game died a while ago.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Or that whatever uncomfortable position you’re sitting in when your team makes a huge play in the playoffs is where you’re stuck until they screw something big up.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
*are noes
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
And in Virginia, a much less blue state, but Kaine and Warner and noes
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
I get that a shutdown is painful. But: -I don’t buy that Republicans want it - otherwise why did they whip so hard for this CR? -If a bill which abdicates Congressional authority and guts the DC budget is better than a shutdown, what bill is worse? And if no bill is worse, we have already lost.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
That’s not why the Democratic Party changed. The Democratic Party changed because northern liberals became dependent on black voters and their white allies to win elections, and their demands drove the segregationists from the party.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
I think he wished on a monkey’s paw to have the power to unite his caucus
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
My impression is that the “shutdown gives Musk the power to fire more federal workers” thing is a severe misreading of the law at hand
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Huh? Is this the cloture vote? I could have sworn he did. I’ll take down if I was wrong about cloture.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
I called Markey and Warren to thank them for being no and to demand that they remove Schumer if he doesn’t walk this back. I then called Schumer to inform him that I had done this.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
They’re both on the left wing of the caucus tbh Don’t really know where this idea of Pelosi as a moderate came from - *Moulton* with the knife out for Schumer is the remarkable thing (although Moulton always has his knives ready tbh)
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
I called Markey and Warren to thank them for being no and to demand that they remove Schumer if he doesn’t walk this back. I then called Schumer to inform him that I had done this.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
The courts stayed open during the 2019 shutdown which lasted for over a month.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
It would have been better to argue that the Republican CR was a lesser evil than a shutdown from the beginning. Instead he hung vulnerable Representatives and Senators out to dry, blindsiding even House leadership. He has failed catastrophically.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
The heck he “made the right call”. He stabbed his caucus in the back after they stuck their necks out for him. He’s signing off on a literal fake budget - one that only passed the House because of promises to wingnuts that it wouldn’t actually be obeyed. He needs to resign.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
He’s no more in command of a following than Schumer is at this point, even if he’s more ambitious
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Every country in the world has a history soaked in blood. We’re “exceptionally bad” only in the means that were available to the previous generations in this country.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Newsom just fired himself tbh
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Embrace Starlord Thought
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
The goal is to get a big case to SCOTUS to force Trump to either back down or break the Andrew Jackson threshold, at which point the politics change considerably.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Stasis allows the impoundment to continue to be challenged in court without any of those cuts being formally implemented, while avoiding the abdications of Congressional authority found in the amendments Also we’re getting a shutdown if the GOP CR fails because the House is adjourned lol
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
The House generally backs its own. Most House Democrats supported Joe Kennedy’s primary of Ed Markey, which would have been unthinkable for a Senate Democrat. Of course, AOC’s ideology adds a twist, and the anger is remarkable regardless
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Wasn’t there an anti terror bill that Obama vetoed because it violated some treaty, but the veto override got the vote of literally every Senator other than Harry Reid? Feel like Schumer might have miscalculated just as badly on a much more salient issue.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Is Hawaii particularly screwed by a shutdown? People feared Virginia and Maryland might cave but they held strong.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
What’s worse, since I live in MA, my nana and my MIL-to-be could be victimized anyways: the “cuts” may very well be en masse refusals of payments to blue states and districts. I don’t think Richard Neal or Katherine Clark care to beg for mercy from Elon.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
…of people are in the streets trying to keep elections from being stolen in 2026 or 2028, I very much doubt there’s a pain free path out (other than perhaps Trump eating one cheeseburger too many and Vance failing so catastrophically that the cult fails to hold).
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social)
My nana is on Medicare, my mother-in-law-to-be is on Medicaid. I know we’re headed for some major pain if there’s a shutdown. But I think we’re headed for a crisis regardless. Whether it’s a shutdown in 2027 when Dems control the House, or the government screeching to a halt because millions…
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Eh, let them blow it up. The biggest threats to democracy are from Trump unilateral actions anyways. And if we survive, that leaves the path clear in 2029.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
A number of the suggested yeas are either confirmed retirees or old enough that they could easily end up retiring.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
No, that was Gillibrand. Schumer was 2022.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
The Democratic Party never changes. That’s why they support the abolition of national infrastructure programs and the Federal Reserve, a minimum of taxation, strict protection of states’ rights, and rigid enforcement of the fugitive slave act, right?
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
If they wanted a shutdown, they wouldn’t have rammed a CR through the House. Resign, old man.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
There’s conspiracy theories floating about that Jeffries planned this, wanting to make House Dems look good without risking a shutdown. But if that were the case, he’d have come up with some mumbo jumbo about the good of the party and country instead of knifing Schumer.
Ar-Fredazôn (@thefred.bsky.social) reposted
I support blocking the CR. I think it's the better move. I am not at all confident of that. Reasonable people can disagree. I am confident that a leader shouldn't come out supporting it *after* a majority of his caucus declared against it.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Which means they’re basically nonexistent among electeds
Starfish Who Can’t Think Something Witty (@irhottakes.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
left/accommodate in the broader political sphere are leftists who said voting didn’t matter in 2024, there won’t be elections in the future anyway, etc. and more or less define themselves in opposition to the party.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
My main disagreements with AOC are on *cough* foreign policy But let’s fix our own country before we argue about a long running war between *cough* two other countries
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Or seven but Rand Paul still doesn’t flip
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Huh?! Bro I was saying you were right I was asking you to give me crow so I could eat crow
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Are you in the business of preparing crow, so that I may eat one?
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Menendez was a progressive renowned for his denunciation of immoral immigration laws! Of course, he also took bribe money from a foreign tyrant, in the form of literal gold bars like it was the Gilded Age.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Why did that not happen in 1967? Was revisionist Zionism not yet commonly accepted?
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
But so would a dirty CR! This was the whole point of the clean CR - to let the court cases play out.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m deeply disappointed in Schumer. But I think he’s catastrophically misread not only his party, but his caucus. I don’t know if he survives as leader through the rest of his term.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
At least this one’s in a state with a D governor so she can call a quick special election instead of putting it off like DeSantis
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
That’s a strong assertion with no proof. Things could easily go the other way, getting even worse for Republicans - like literally every shutdown in history prior to this point, including the one when Trump was President.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
That’s a strong assertion with no proof. Things could easily go the other way, getting even worse for Republicans - like literally every shutdown in history prior to this point, including the one when Trump was President.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
If you like! But the Democratic Party has (justly) repudiated nearly everything Andrew Jackson stood for except his suspicion of banks, and yet we can’t shake the donkey
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
It is impossible to build a new major political party with our election laws. The minor parties are all grifts or cults. The road to power runs through taking control of one of the existing parties, and the success of this methodology has been demonstrated repeatedly.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
This seems alarmist. Offices don’t take clear positions without approval.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Not that you were wrong about hate speech, but note that no hate speech laws were necessary to effect this.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
There’s utility to a short term clean CR even if Trump continues illegal impoundment - the court cases against those actions can continue, rather than being dismissed as moot because the funding is no longer provided for. These won’t take four years to move through the legal system.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
…its split rate because assessment updates were infrequent enough that years of appreciation showed up in the bill all at once and gave speculators a chance to falsely blame the split rate, and Allentown repealed its pure LVT because the other taxing entities didn’t have it so it caused confusion.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Poorly argued. Britain might not, but in the US we already tax land value. We just need to abolish the tax on building value and raise the land value tax to recoup the lost revenue. The failures of the split rate in PA have been, not administrative, but political - Pittsburgh repealed…
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
The only good argument for a clean CR in my opinion is that it extends funding long enough for the courts to move against impoundment rather than getting the cases dismissed as moot.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
The trouble is, what language can control Musk? Trump won over House holdouts by promising not to obey the language of the bill they passed!
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Sheesh, when will the delta and Appalachia be done emptying out?
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
I’m not convinced the “Dems are secretly caving” thing was ever true. Dems pretty much never lose budget battles.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m not convinced the “Dems are secretly caving” thing was ever true. Dems pretty much never lose budget battles.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Not sure what it says about Churchill that he liked Stalin *better* than socialism, and got along with Stalin best when he thought of him as a typical Czar with strange domestic policies
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Funny to think that, thirty years prior when they were in their primes, Roosevelt and Churchill were in charge of their navies, while Stalin was a bank robber
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
I tried the stupid trade! You are a globalist man. This vexes me.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m not sure he was ever taught the notion that 100% is typically a limit to begin with
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
I’ve gotten haircuts at the same place since I was three. The barbers still make fun of the fits I would pitch as a little kid sometimes. My college was close enough that I never had to find a barber there. I went to Supercuts once recently and they botched it. No idea what I’ll do when I move.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
Can’t. Samus is a girl, and that’s DEI.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Can’t. Samus is a girl, and that’s DEI.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
We are majorly a net debtor nation, though, right?
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Paul will most likely be a no for both bills. He and Massie want an end to all deficit spending.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Maybe it’s a foreign exchange problem. Tatooine isn’t in the Republic - giving Watto credits is like giving a random African tribesman a note from the first Bank of the United States.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Doesn’t this not apply with faster-than-light travel in an apparently Newtonian (or even Aristotelian) universe? There’s no hint of time dilation in Star Wars.
Thoreau Away (@thoreauaway.bsky.social) reply parent
Broke: deep system analysis Woke: a wicked and adulterous generation