Sure starting to look like a plateauing.
Engineer working on long duration energy storage and author of “Fixing America - An engineer’s solution to our social, cultural, and political problems“. Texas Forward Party www.williamtaggart.org
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The "why it matters" may seem rhetorical to people familiar with the issue. But, I'm dealing with a lot of people in Houston who are in denial and seem to have forgotten the 1970 peak.
@hcrichardson.bsky.social - Could you take a look at this and also can you recommend anything on history of 1970s. I'm looking for the links between the 1970s energy crisis and the social and political turmoil of the times.
The Energy Information Agency of the Department of Energy is now showing that US Domestic Oil production will peak next year. Curious as to why and why it matters? #PeakOil open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
The Rhode Island wind project would like a word. Also all the Small Business grants that have been placed on hold. And the Federal employees laid off. Lot of economic indicators now in 1929 range, so buckle up.
Man. You can’t catch a break from these people.
Trump is a symptom of deeper problems. Income inequality, national debt, poverty, and a host of other issues, that both parties do not discuss, but rather get us wound up is culture war issues.
The burden of having principles is there are things you won't do.
It also hinges on cheap electricity and that isn’t going to happen.
For a different perspective, how about listening to an engineer that studied the problems. Fixingamericathebook.com
No, we need to save us. We need to elect moderates to Congress. Not progressives to continue the fight, but moderates to get back to the middle.
We’re going to need seasonal storage and iron-air could be that solution. Waiting to see actual data from Form Energy. Seasonal storage can tolerate lower round trip efficiency so iron-air should work. Sodium ion is a potential solution, again, actual operating data is needed to show results.
It’s actually a little more complicated than that. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
Damn you guys are getting sensitive. @atticus59914029.bsky.social is blacking out Georgia and you won’t add Texas. And here I thought going to college was about getting an education.
Didn’t Texas and Oklahoma join?
While you’re watching and encouraging the brawl, what about the deeper issues, the real problems that neither party seems to address. Fixingamericathebook.com Can we think about that for a minute?
Happy Birthday. Can I send you a gift? Fixingamericathebook.com
That’s the present map. The new proposed map is even worse. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
Almost 40 years as an engineer, mostly in control systems and also having been called on to do root cause analysis. I understand statistical modeling and get suspicious when people claim to use it but won’t show the calculations.
Skewing the data is always wrong, no matter which side does it.
The Independent Voter Project numbers don’t make sense. The data I’ve seen shows a lot more independents and these are local Texas polls by UT and other colleges. IVP says “This information is supplemented through the use of modeling analytics.” Which makes me suspicious.
Agree. The numbers they are showing doesn’t correlate with any Texas election results.
open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
No that was the first Bush that raised taxes after Reagan had cut us down to two tax brackets. I wrote a book “Fixing America” and did all the tax analysis. But yes, Reagan did do an undocumented amnesty.
Some people sent me the link to the Independent Voter Project and I’m trying to figure out how they got their numbers. But yes, we think that the system in our state is the same for everyone. Taxes, minimum wage, politics differ so much from state to state.
It’s amazing how the over simplification of history occurs. The nuance is lost. I do think that Reagan’s tax policy has set the stage for the national debt and the income inequality. Writing my book “Fixing America” forced me as a Ex-Republican to come to grips with that.
I’ve been working with @texasforwardparty.bsky.social for the last three years, those numbers are completely fabricated.
But that isn’t how it works. No Democratic statewide candidate has ever gotten those numbers. Yes, it’s a nice website, but it’s a lie.
But that isn’t how it works. No Democratic statewide candidate has ever gotten those numbers. Yes, it’s a nice website, but it’s a lie.
As an engineer for almost 40 years, I can see you clearly don’t understand inertia. It’s not that simple Paul.
This is a lie. Because that isn’t how parties work in Texas. If you vote in the Democratic Primary then you are a Democrat. If you vote in a Republican primary you’re a Republican. There is no such thing as registered Democrats. Democratic Primary was 982,069. Republican primary was 2,323,019.
Where are you getting this from? Cause that isn’t how parties work in Texas. If you vote in the Democratic Primary then you are a democrat. If you vote in a R primary you’re a Republican. Democratic Primary was 982,069. Republican primary was 2,323,019.
@hcrichardson.bsky.social and with this repost you lose. You lose the middle of America and cannot hope to win an election. How many overly progressive Democrats have to keep losing to Republicans before you get that America needs small change. Fixingamericathebook.com
Well done.
No. Texas is purple, but that means you can’t run a blue progressive and hope to win. Allred and Beto have proven that. Texas needs a moderate Democrat to run. And we need moderate independents to run in the Red legislative districts.
If you would like- here is my analysis on why the Democrats lost. Also read the analysis In Gerrymandering that kicked off this tangent. You’re over simplifying the reasons and if you don’t stop and really look you won’t win in the future. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
I actually wrote about this and I think you are missing a point. If you make a majority-minority district, it lets you make the surrounding districts redder. If you try and get rid of all the minority districts you make it harder. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
Not on Bluesky, but I did find one on the internet. Charity donations are getting reduced by the new floors.
Then amplify solutions. Fixingamericathebook.com
Here is the second part of what’s in the One Big Beautiful Bill? Please read my substack where I break down what is inside. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
@mikenellis.bsky.social - go back and watch the Cruz-Allred debates from last year - did we get a nuanced debate of energy policy? We have been getting debates on the core issues, we get culture war issues. Because that is safe ground for them. Fixingamericathebook.com
I spoke at the Public Utility Commission of Texas open meeting on July 31st, 2025 about the need for energy storage. Click on the link to see what I said and why the ERCOT market needs to change. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
If I am reading this right, it means if your contribution base (adjusted gross income) is $100,000, then the 0.5% floor is $500, so the charitable deduction is what ever you donated, based on other limits, minus $500. Is that right? 🧵3/end
‘(I) 0.5-PERCENT FLOOR.—Any charitable contribution otherwise allowable (without regard to this subparagraph) as a deduction under this section shall be allowed only to the extent that the aggregate of such contributions exceeds 0.5 percent of the taxpayer’s contribution base for the taxable year.🧵2
Working through the One Big Beautiful Bill and need some tax pros to help me make sense of this passage. Page 424, Section 70425 - "Paragraph (1) of section 170(b) is amended by adding at the end the following new subparagraph: 🧵1 #taxpros
Want a neutral opinion of what’s in the One Big Beautiful Bill? Please read my substack where in this first post on the OBBB I break down what is inside. #OBBB open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
My analysis is based on an ERCOT model where I took out natural gas and coal and added solar, nuclear and storage until I could get a functioning grid. In that model wind and solar need to pay for storage. This isn’t about punishing or helping it’s about a working economic model.
4- If you want storage, there has to be a market mechanism that pays for it. Everyone treats storage like a power plant when it is more like transmission lines. Instead of moving electricity in space, it moves it in time. If you want more details contact me through my website williamtaggart.org
3- In 2024 lots of batteries were added, natural gas was cheap and that arbitrage value dropped to $27/MWh, even the battery guys were losing money. 4,000 MW of battery projects have been cancelled in 2025. ERCOT and none of the US has a market that rewards energy storage. Batteries or long duration
2 - You could argue that $10 would go to install more solar, but more solar is causing more grid instability. We saw that in 2023 when volatility was high. If you had a 10-hour storage you would have made $62/MWh just by charging on low price and discharging at high price - arbitrage.
1- natural gas prices are up and the fuel cost for a megawatt hour generated by combined cycle natural gas has gone to $23, up from $13 last year. That is the floor for electricity prices and that floor has gone up by $10/MWh. When you say I'm "eating into renewables", no I'm eating into the $10
This is a long response so bear with me. This will focus on ERCOT for three reasons, A-it is an island with minimal connection to the rest of the US which makes it a petri dish for the overall grid. B -Renewables are over 40% of electricity generation this year. C -it is my likely beachhead market
Go do the research. No one in the electrical grid wanted those tax credits to end except the people pushing for more natural gas power plants. It’s sad that we not only need to deal with the drill baby drill people who don’t understand that shale is peaking, but also people like you as well.
False - read the article. Wind and solar cause variability. Look at the data. As a result you need storage to deal with the wind and solar variability. You need a stable grid and that means storage has to be paid. As for natural gas, production will peak in 5-10 years, just as US oil is peaking
David - take a read. The problem is these people don't under stand the storm that is coming. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
@timmiller.bsky.social - Looking for data on the Texas redistricting here is some for you.
With a Texas special session and redistricting on the agenda, it's a good time to repost this on gerrymandering. My view - Texas is so gerrymandered already, more districts is impossible, and trying could open the door to independent moderates. @fwdparty.bsky.social @texasforwardparty.bsky.social
So, in the process of doing an analysis of the OBBB and for SNAP, the bill raised the age when the work requirement stopped from 50 yrs old to 65 yrs old and changed the exception for a parent of a dependent child, to a child under 14 years of age. @repcasar.bsky.social that affects 20,000?
The original post has been updated based on comments from readers. But the core analysis still holds true, the Washington Post overstated the risks to the Black community about police shootings. @washingtonpost.com open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
@washingtonpost.com @postopinions.bsky.social
The Washington Post made a claim about police killings and I think they got it wrong. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
Here's the link - www.hartenergy.com/exclusives/e...
Wonder why you haven't heard any more "drill, baby, drill". It's because the Oil & Gas people are now talking shale plateau followed by decline. Not sure what is going on? Look up Hubbert's Peak on Wikipedia, we have been here before.
Check your history, Medicare wasn't until the 1960s under Johnson.
No. This is if Douglas had won the presidency in 1860.
In an effort to stick to the facts - Registered Voters in New York City - 4,741,026 Registered Democratic Voters in NYC - 3,081,389 65% Democratic Voters in Primary Election- 993,546 21% Votes for Zohran Mamdani - 432,305 9.1% So, less than 10% of the voters in NYC are causing this panic.🤦 #NYC
@douglewin.bsky.social @cltomlinson.bsky.social
The demands on the electrical grid are changing, and it is time that the Texas ERCOT grid changed with them. But will Texas leadership recognize this, or continue to play the old game. #ERCOT open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
$36 trillion national debt, Over $1 trillion interest payment every year, and we run a budget deficit of almost $2 trillion, meaning we can't even afford the interest on the debt and you put out the comment that this debt may not be bad?
Demands. He demands it.
The hard unfortunate truth is it is always easier to destroy than it is to build. Something that very engineer, architect, and craftsman already knows.
@gtconway.bsky.social - would like your opinion if this would resolve Supreme Court asking for a non-political rule for gerrymandering.
Wait a minute. How long is this parade route? Half a mile? Come on, I’m from New Orleans, a Mardi Gras parade doesn’t even get warmed up until after a mile. #NOLA
@hcrichardson.bsky.social @radiofreetom.bsky.social @sarahlongwell25.bsky.social @jvl.bsky.social @judgeluttig.bsky.social @sifill.bsky.social Would love to hear your opinion of the attached article. Could it be the simple non-partisan rule the Supreme Court was looking for.
Do you think politicians should choose their voters? The questions around gerrymandering are looked at in the attached article. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
So 65% of the voters didn’t vote for her. Wouldn’t ranked choice voting actually get you to the majority’s choice.
@hollybfletcher.bsky.social something for you to read. Not only does this support your point that the election wasn’t stolen, but the reasons Trump won were a little more complex. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
You need a case of popcorn. 🍿
You needed yellow and orange cheese sticking out the top, not lettuce.
@andrew-yang.bsky.social - key question are you in the Forward party or Democratic Party.
US National Debt Sept 30 2001 - $5,807,463,412,200.06 Sept 30 1993 - $4,411,488,883,139.38 Start looking at the hard numbers and do the math. fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/his...
The credit rating of the US Treasury bonds just took a hit, so what happens next? #USDebtCrisis open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
No. The debt increased by $1.4 billion. They had surplus during the last two years, but the debt was still higher at the end of the Clinton presidency. It’s amazing that you say I’m misinformed when the debt in January 2001 when Bush took office was bigger than the number in 1993.
How so? He increased the national debt by $1.4 trillion during his eight years.
The credit rating of the US Treasury bonds just took a hit, so what happens next? #USDebtCrisis open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
For your further reading if you want open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
Apologies on the grammar and Fitch was 2023 and Standard and Poors was 2011 during Obama. The point is the national debt has been by both parties and that is the core issue. Yes Trump is the trigger, but both parties created the debt bomb.
Any comment on the 2012 lowering by Fitch during Obama’s term? Apologies for the grammar in the original post. My point is this isn’t a Trump thing it is a national debt thing which both parties have done. @muellershewrote.com
Ummm Standard and spoofs lowers their rating in 203 during Biden’s term. #MoodyRating @muellershewrote.com
Now do how much debt they ran up. Both parties have failed us @georgetakei.bsky.social
Why do I feel that by saying that you have guaranteed us a hell of a news roller coaster tomorrow.
Think about it. Every company has the job with the nice title that every one knows is the stool for the dunce they can't fire, but don't want in charge of anything.
Time to make both parties talk about the national debt, cause the bond markets are now starting to sound the alarm. #FixingAmerica open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
Ask yourself. How do you suspend the midterm elections.
Pay attention Democrats - To fix something you need a plan. This is the plan. fixingamericathebook.com
By the way, that was already a requirement. For truck drivers to be able to read road signs, which are all in English. Be careful of Trump taking credit for things, when they had already been working.
“…will hereby executive the minimum…”. Grammar ain’t his strong suit either.
A quick lesson on management of change and why the Trump Adminstration’s ignoring this bedrock principle of engineering is putting us at risk. open.substack.com/pub/williamt...
That's the fun part. Trump thinks that the Federal government is throttling drilling preventing supply. Which is completely wrong. He and the Department of Energy is going to fast track regulatory approval, and nothing will change.
Not “the respect he deserves”, the respect he craves.