I remember/thought still that a lot of little one's vaccines are pediatrician-administered?
arbitrator/mediator/lawyer; curious, humanist, globalist; husband, father, zayde x4; Lexington Group; On Kaposia band Mdewakanton lands by MSP. To Trumpites, I'm "a radical left lunatic." RIP, Minnie, will never forget.
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I remember/thought still that a lot of little one's vaccines are pediatrician-administered?
Some thoughts about the Great Khan heading into Chicagoland's big Reverse Fort Sumter weekend.
Isn't there a co-pay for each visit? And if so, how is that not a YUGE DISincentive?
Co-administration means that more people get vaccines, because people tend not to come back. But it appears that Dr. Prasad does not put much weigh on achieving high coverage. "FDA questions common practice of getting covid, flu vaccines together" wapo.st/3HJJS4P
You're not getting a concession from Republicans, you're giving the GOP leadership something they want as the "deal" to give them something else they want! If Schumer tries to whip this he should be removed immediately
there is something (earnest! odd! worth study and careful reflection more than discoursey speculation) about why groups like Gun Owners of America & NRA are making statements in defense of trans gun owner rights when they haven't done things like defend Philando Castile nbltop100.org/why-the-nra-...
Always crazy to be reminded that it went from 70 to 28 during Reagan and that alone explains so so much about the trajectory of our economy since
Once again, marginal tax rates are too low & pose an existential threat to đșđž democracy
Poker player extraordinaire
Me in @opinion.bloomberg.com: Itâs not just that workers are pessimistic right now, itâs that an improvement in labor market conditions alone wouldnât necessarily resolve that pessimism because of affordability concerns and AI fears: www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
The name of its capitol?
Does he even know where it is?
As ambassador, Adams would be briefed on any sensitive intelligence operation conducted on Saudi soil and be privy to details about the (very important) US-Saudi intelligence relationship. What could go wrong? www.politico.com/news/2025/09...
If Republicans were willing to do a *permanent* extension of ACA benefits (which they aren't), that would be a different question. But "millions of people lose their healthcare, millions more get a huge premium increase, but not until after the midterms" is the worst possible outcome
Senate Dems agreeing to fund the government in exchange for a brief, exploding extension of ACA benefits to help Republicans maintain the Senate would be political malpractice of the highest order www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2025/09/sena...
Escobar is a United States Representative Doing Her Job
[shoving glasses up face] actually all knighthood is a hollow, just fancy marketing on top of inheriting dad's job at the violence factory
NEW: The Kremlin is trying to influence the upcoming Moldovan parliamentary elections on September 28, 2025, as it tried with Moldova's presidential election and referendum about EU integration in Fall 2024. đ§”(1/6) Read more: isw.pub/RussianInflu...
I hope you both saw this: bsky.app/profile/dave...
But told with the utmost pretension.
Extremely stupid WSJ OpEd from Treasury Secretary Bessent. He is both mad that the Fed did too much to support the economy when rates were at the zero lower bound (first paragraph) and that they missed on their inflation target (second paragraph). Just moronic. www.wsj.com/opinion/the-...
"Reality has a well-known liberal bias"
Mortgage rates with a big drop down to 6.29% today, time to see if that gives us any juice:
donât let the pictures of xi jinping flanked by vladimir putin and kim jong un fool you: heâs not leading a new global order anytime soon. but he certainly sees a leadership void and is ready to exploit it.
I'm for giving a trillion to its inventor, and my Neuralink is telling me to buy one stat!
Exasperated Brazilian leftist urging sheepish German conservative to get a damn move on and do some neoliberalism.
Erika is the person Trump fired on Jobs Day last month when there were downward revisions
The revision to July was unremarkable, right? Confirming that your firing was wholly baseless and completely without reason, right? (Except that he dresses snazzier, and tweets nastier, right?)
The CPS (household survey) response rate jumped in August to its highest level since last October. The fog surrounding immigration estimates and survey response rates just keeps getting thicker.
I think it would be useful if Joe Biden's economists spent more time talking about their views on recession risks rather than just using the decline in immigration to set a lower bar for labor market performance.
Without question
And the converse is true too: Trump has not found a successful way to mock/bully JB
"Now that Trump is president again, elite institutions of all descriptions are melting like snow before a hot stream of urine." prospect.org/politics/202...
Biden or Harris or Barack Hussein?
In less than a year, America's allies are alienated and America's adversaries are riding high, getting over their differences and seeing improved relations with America's long-cultivated geostrategic partner, which now says it wants nothing to do with the US. This must be someone else's fault.
Attack ad should be being prepared RN
This is in response to a question about the accuracy of the BLS job numbers, so presumably the people being taken out are the BLS statisticians
The issue is markets were comfortable with a view that Fed Funds terminal rate had a floor of around 3% and job growth might be slowing but would probably be steady in the 50-100k/month range, and now both of those assumptions no longer hold. There's not yet an "anchor" of what to trust.
Hassett was very smiley
You can no longer rule out 1.5-2% Fed Funds in 2H 2026-2027 and negative job growth in 2026 so until we restore some sort of balance the bond market will probably be more volatile.
some further reading on this www.dallasfed.org/research/sur...
The fact that construction jobs are also down helps to shoot down the idea that there's a manufacturing jobs boom around the corner because all the tariff-driven factories are currently being built.
America lost 7k construction jobs in August, and overall job growth in the sector is now at its worst pace since the pandemic Over the last year, the US has lost 31k jobs in residential construction and only gained 78k jobs in nonresidential & civil construction
Thanks!!
There are +35% that are completely unconvincable. There are like 9% that are low-information, or vibes, or [...] that you're trying to reach. Hispanic men, Rogan listeners etc.
#TheNationalNewsDesk: Florida moves to eliminate all vaccine mandates, public health leaders warn that could put children & communities at risk. @jennifernuzzo.bsky.social: â...[Citizens] will not be happy when they have to contend with deadly, costly outbreaks as a result...â More here —ïž
US labour market "starting to freeze", traders bet on faster interest rate cuts www.ft.com/content/1589...
Something like $60/bbl is the non-profit point for WTI, right? So all the producers turn in 501(c)s?
I wouldn't tie it to the jobs data but yes agree they're trying to help him. Here's the thing: helping him hurts domestic US producers!
Saudis stepping on US shale producers as hard as they can *SAUDI ARABIA WANTS OPEC+ TO SPEED UP NEXT OIL PRODUCTION BOOST
That one on the right is O-fficial
I'll take the over.
Importantly, though, long-term unemployment (joblessness of more than 6 months) has been rising quite substantially. That suggests it's gotten a lot harder to find a job if you need one, which is consistent with what we've been hearing anecdotally.
Federal cuts continue to cost jobs as federal employment fell another 15k in August. Federal employment is now down 97k since January. The full extent of the federal job losses won't be seen until we get data for October after thousands more leave federal payrolls on September 30. #EconSky
That's not what the futures market is now predicting: 3 .25s by Christmas
A fun day to remember that a not-insignificant portion of global prosperity is currently built on Americans feeling confident enough in their job security and employment prospects to keep buying stuff at wildly higher rates than their counterparts in other countries.
Not to worry, Bill. I am entirely confident that Trump will highlight, indeed trumpet, that U-6 number, now won't he?
Comments on August Employment Report www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/09/comm... Weak. U-6 up to 8.1%. Unemployed over 26 weeks increasing significantly.
Average hourly earnings growth also slowed, falling to 3.7% year-over-year in August from 3.9% in July. As the job market cools, wage growth has been slowly following as well. 6/
Didn't we all learn this in like...1968-9?
Looks like a firing offense to me!! (And The Donald!)
But he celebrated Labor Day!! I saw it!
Job losses were particularly acute in professional/business services, the federal govt, and wholesale trade, but there have also been sustained losses over recent months in manufacturing, construction, and mining, an indication that Trump's blue-collar renaissance is clearly not happening. #EconSky
The labor market continues to soften, according to the latest #JobsReport out this morning from the BLS. Payroll employment grew only 22,000 in August and revisions now show employment losses for June (-13,000). Over the last three months, job growth has slowed to just 29,000 on average. #EconSky
Anything as in innocuous as a pride flag can cause a federal investigation now or people to lose their jobs. Of course they can't go after everyone but that's not the point. The spectacle is there to create fear in everyone else that they need to comply or they are next.
This is the digital stasi. Social media influencers utilizing tips from followers for content that they monetize while working with state actors to target the people they want. It's all a spectacle packaged as content. Destroying people's lives for profitable ideological bloodsport.
Still, a sharp dresser, right @dieworkwear.bsky.social? I missed him on @cnbc.com this morning.
NEW: Trump's nominee to run the Bureau of Labor Statistics ran an anonymous Twitter account filled with sexually degrading attacks on Kamala Harris, anti-gay slurs, and far-right conspiracy theories. www.cnn.com/2025/09/05/p...
Note that the report that got her fired has now been revised upwards! By all of...9.5%!!
Note: BLS is currently being led by William Wiatrowski, a "BLS lifer" who has served as acting commissioner twice before. E.J. Antoni has not yet been confirmed. And in any case, it would be hard for a commissioner to mess with the numbers in the short-term, at least without it being obvious.
I know I'm going to get this question a lot today, so here's my answer: Yes, I do still trust the data coming out of the BLS -- but with all the same caveats that always apply when trying to measure a changing economy in real time. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/05/b... #EconSky #NumbersDay
How many drinks were consumed, on average, and by him?
The more this settles in, the more its danger and gravity becomes clear. 1. This was a crime, whether under domestic law enforcement, international law or war law. 2. By its very logic, there is nothing preventing them from doing the same within the US. 3. They are bragging about it.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_...
WTF, ants?
Will this article mark the moment that balding forty-something consultants in business class airport lounges notice how fucking ridiculous The Economist is?
Dean gets it. Listen to Dean. bsky.app/profile/dean...
Good thing itâs not a state that tons of people visit every year, to hang out in huge crowds, before returning to their home communities on transpo that puts them in contact with hundreds of other people. That would be even worse.
Sequence data from the new Ebola outbreak in DRC suggests it is indeed a new spillover. And just incredible to see the virus sequenced and the data publicly shared less than 24 hours after confirmation of the outbreak. #IDsky đ§Ș virological.org/t/the-16th-e...
Being asked about crazy inflated numbers by antivaccine groups regarding how vaccines kids get. ANS: we went from vaccinating vs 8 diseases when I was a resident in the 1980s, to 16 diseases today. But of those 16, 11 diseases are combined into just two shots. Breakdowns below:
#NFP| PREVIEW: August US Nonfarm Payrolls Expected At 75K; Unemployment Rate At 4.3% What Top Economists Are Forecasting From Fridayâs 13:30 BST US Job Report:
Yikes. www.nbcnews.com/politics/jus...
It's going to be wild when SCOTUS overturns Marbury v. Madison on the shadow docket.
This annoys me more than most because it's not a close call with some live dispute. Nobody, even Trump's own flunkies, has even put forward any kind of theory for why he'd have this power. The law's very plain and simple. It's not ambiguous. There is *no* argument on the other side to be hedging on.
If you're feeling behind financially, remember: Only 18% of Americans earn over $100,000, per FORTUNE. The average American employee (full-time) earns $62,500, per federal data. You're doing better than you realize. Don't let the internet fool you.
Thanks for the new sources!
This absolute banger
Calm in government bond markets across advanced economies continues for a second day, driven by weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data and solid demand for income-generating assets. What remains unchanged are the persistent challenges of high government debt/deficits/issuance and stubborn inflation
Guess it's been a while...
I don't think my pro-Ukraine credentials are in doubt, but even I'd struggle to argue that Russia, which Trump is neutral to positive on (h/t @josephpolitano.bsky.social) selling oil to India while fighting Ukraine, which he's negative to neutral on, constitutes a US national economic emergency.
notably, this case was originally filed as a felony case and was downgraded a week later to a misdemeanor, which doesn't have to go before a grand jury
A while back someone was asking me if my university was telling me to keep quiet amidst the threats to higher education. Far from it!
"The cost of raising a child well, in direct expenses and the opportunity cost of time, is tens of thousands of dollars per year. Policy encouragements that have been tried and mostly failed are simply nowhere near the relevant magnitudes." drafts.interfluidity.com/2024/02/06/d...
why on earth is atlassian buying dia and what does this mean for maintenance of arc, which even on life support remains one of the best browsers ever?
This is incredible work. In a just world it would win some major reporting awards. Iâm saying that now bc I donât think it will. Thereâs a particular kind of scoop you only get by being a really effing good beat reporter for a long time who sources trust. Investigative reporting doesnât prize that.
This is the international expression of Trump's "one really violent day" approach to domestic law and order. In addition to being illegal, we know it doesn't work.
What's it like working at Ground Zero of the military occupation?
Ahead of #JobsDay tomorrow, Friends of BLS published a FAQ answering pressing questions like: Can the public trust BLS products? What's up with the firing of Dr. McEntarfer & nomination of Dr. Antoni? Why and how does the BLS revise jobs estimates? #EconSky www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
Also, they were probably not drug smugglers at all.
