Profile banner
Profile picture

123xyz.bsky.social

@123xyz.bsky.social

created December 1, 2023

578 followers 154 following 8,948 posts

view profile on Bluesky

Posts

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

The Treasury Secretary doesn't generally talk about foreign policy or war in a competent administration.

2/9/2025, 12:52:16 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Sounds ambitious. Maybe Russia should set this as a goal for Fall 2027.

2/9/2025, 12:46:38 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I hate T* & it'd be great if he'd increase direct sanctions on Russia. But imposing tariffs on🇺🇸imports from🇷🇺would be an empty gesture. Those imports are negligible. The secondary sanctions are the only way🇺🇸tariffs can hurt🇷🇺. The best way🇪🇺can hurt🇷🇺is ending the purchase of🇷🇺n hydrocarbons.

2/9/2025, 12:30:02 AM | 1 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Is that the same as the game we call musical chairs?

2/9/2025, 12:20:59 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Give Zelensky some credit. He wouldn't go unless he was sure it was low-risk. Also, Fico can't randomly arrest or kill the leaders of other nations. Slovakia would get thrown out of the EU for real. Also, how long would he live if he did that? 🇺🇦has proven it's quite capable of assassinating enemies.

2/9/2025, 12:17:04 AM | 1 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

*more information

1/9/2025, 11:57:39 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

A less cryptic source with .ore information about the LANCA missile made by WB Group being shown at MSPO 2025. militarnyi.com/uk/news/pols...

1/9/2025, 11:52:07 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Yeah, sorry. I thought you guys were talking about the shooter who didn't match that description at all and that's why I thought you were trolling. I understand now.

1/9/2025, 11:35:09 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I agree he's a Russian asset, but the weapons are being sold, no matter what the voices in your head tell you.

1/9/2025, 7:23:40 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

🇺🇸has approved sale of these weapons with T*'s approval. Not because he's a good person or respects🇺🇦, but they ARE being sold & will be helpful. Your refusal to admit that is your own pathology. Get the help you need, take your meds, keep your rants to yourself & most of all go fuck yourself. Muted

1/9/2025, 7:22:31 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

So you don't want me to talk about the subject of the post we're both responding to? When talking about the approval of a SALE of weapons, I shouldn't talk about the weapons or the fact they're being sold? You can't possibly hate T* more than me, but I don't let it make me deny reality.

1/9/2025, 7:22:31 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Sorry. I misunderstood you both. My bad.

1/9/2025, 7:13:43 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Oh. That I didn't understand. I didn't get a good look at the victim when I watched the clip.

1/9/2025, 7:13:11 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I wasn't questioning your honest mistake. I was trying to reply to @dogescam.bsky.social who I think was trolling you.

1/9/2025, 7:11:41 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Lies sell better than reality. Voters who like comforting lies are fucking morons.

1/9/2025, 7:08:18 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

100%

1/9/2025, 7:06:22 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Long overdue!

1/9/2025, 7:05:59 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Ordering the new systems benefits🇩🇰without affecting🇺🇦, which has priority on Patriot deliveries. The best way to get systems to🇺🇦quickly is delivering existing systems & ordering replacements, like🇩🇪, or persuading🇺🇸to deliver ones from🇺🇸inventory, maybe by paying to replace them with new batteries.

1/9/2025, 7:04:32 PM | 1 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I hope you're right, but the Defense Security Cooperation Agency's announcement says: “The proposed sale will improve Denmark’s capability to meet current and future threats by increasing its combat capability." Delivery of these should come after systems being ordered for🇺🇦 & won't happen soon.

1/9/2025, 7:04:32 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

The ones he'd probably vote for if🇪🇺treated🇺🇦decently. PiS🇵🇱, AfD🇩🇪, RN🇫🇷, UKIP/Reform UK🇬🇧, VOX🇪🇸ANO🇨🇿, FPÖ🇦🇹, Finns Party, Farmer-Citizen Movement🇳🇱?They're all real threats with so many voters rejecting "elites" -who deal in reality-in favor of populists-who blame problems on hated outsiders & "elites."

1/9/2025, 6:30:12 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Cool. I still think it's asinine that you want to keep Ukraine poor. The fact that there are other assholes out there who may respond poorly to treating Ukraine well is a partial excuse, but I'm not convinced you wouldn't join them. At some point, the subsidy farmers need to be kicked to the curb.

1/9/2025, 6:02:31 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

If you just want to shit on T* (obscenity deleted), good news for you: T* probably won't let🇺🇦use these on most targets in🇷🇺. He's still an evil asshole whose natural sympathies lie with brutal oppressors. Good news for🇺🇦: these should hit almost all targets in occupied🇺🇦with minimal risk to its jets.

1/9/2025, 5:54:14 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Seriously, why suggest I'm a liar while being too fucking lazy to click on the link @militarynewsua.bsky.social gave you & do some basic googling? The War Zone isn't a source I have instant trust in, but they have a nice habit of linking to their sources in official documents & other articles.

1/9/2025, 5:44:37 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Dumb bomb+strap-on guidance & fin kits = JDAM (cheap precision guided bomb) JDAM+pop-out wing kit (like cruise missile wings) = JDAM-ER (cheap glide bomb, ~74km range) JDAM-ER+low-thrust jet engine = PJDAM (P=powered; ~480km range proposed cheap cruise missile) ERAM is likely PJDAM or similar.

1/9/2025, 5:21:31 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Here's an older article about ERAM. www.twz.com/air/air-forc... None of this should actually be surprising. The US has a well-earned reputation for overpriced weapons, but since JDAM entered service, it has also made cheap precision-guided weapons that can be built quickly.

1/9/2025, 5:21:31 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Most details are in this RFI that was later replaced with an RFP with less details about the specs. A link to the RFI PDF is at the bottom of the page. The picture is an excerpt from the RFI. sam.gov/opp/41cd9248... >250nm = >460km, etc.

image
1/9/2025, 5:21:31 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Did you read the link @militarynewsua.bsky.social provided? This is all very public info $235k: Dividing $850M by 3,350. Delivery starting in October: Interpretation of WSJ & other sources saying deliveries starting in weeks. (Some inaccurately suggest all 3,350 would be delivered within weeks.)

1/9/2025, 5:21:31 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Awesome. I hope for a repeat. I'd read somewhere about oil pipelines, maybe in Alaska, needing to stay warm, but didn't remember any details.

1/9/2025, 4:04:10 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I know. I was talking about the shape of the weapon. When I watched it, even though I knew it wasn't backwards, I thought the front looked belled out like the back ends of some older RPGs are. I haven't re-watched the clip & I could have been seeing it wrong on my phone's small-ish screen though.

1/9/2025, 4:01:18 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I'm muting your blinded-by-nationalism bullshit. Have a nice life thinking everything French is better than anything anywhere else in Europe, or the world. Imbecile.

1/9/2025, 3:54:13 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

You mean the Eurofighter, right? That's the joint European fighter. France's refusal to join in any warplane project that isn't almost entirely made in France is exactly why Europe has no plans that can match those made in the US You fucking idiots are the problem holding🇪🇺back, not the solution.

1/9/2025, 3:52:07 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Enjoy your fantasies. There are many fine reasons not to buy the F-35. French "stealth" being comparable isn't one of them, even if you include EW as "stealth." French military experts admit as much.

1/9/2025, 3:47:15 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I did some reading about this too. I knew Italy surrendered before Germany, but all the details I had to look up.

1/9/2025, 3:42:02 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

The weapons sold to Europe were sold with restrictions on re-export, as is normal for weapon selling nations, but no limits on how the buying nation can use them itself & there is no killswitch. The idea there's a killswitch is a paranoid conspiracy theorist fantasy. That's not how the world works

1/9/2025, 3:38:46 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

What a shame he's still breathing.

1/9/2025, 3:27:45 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

There need to be sanctions on Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, & Tajikistan.

1/9/2025, 2:54:19 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Isn't that what Russia claims to be doing in Ukraine, ensuring its security by invading Ukraine to prevent it from joining NATO? In any case, Ukraine joining NATO never would have threatened Russia's security, only its ability to invade Ukraine & add it to the Russian empire.

1/9/2025, 2:44:07 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Slava Bulgaria!

1/9/2025, 2:25:50 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

But what's he told them? Only that🇺🇦, sometime soon, will attack somewhere deep in🇷🇺 What can the coward Putin do about it? Pull back airUkraine defenses from in & near & put most of them near Moscow, his palace, & his favorite bunker? Pull more back to protect random bases? That'd help🇺🇦@ the front

1/9/2025, 8:09:26 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

🤣 I had no idea that a flamboyance was the name for a group of flamingos. How extremely fitting.

1/9/2025, 7:47:14 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

1/9/2025, 7:40:09 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Why do the assassins get the wrong people?

1/9/2025, 7:37:38 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I'll share this in case anyone else wants a translation. The word "Providence" should be "Tanks."

image
1/9/2025, 7:34:42 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

There probably are some other things that could produce a similar sound when burning, but I'm pretty convinced that's small arms ammunition burning.

1/9/2025, 7:24:03 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

By "progress" he means surrender & subjugation. He's always on the side of the oppressor, eager to help brutalize the victim.

1/9/2025, 6:43:50 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

You're joking, I assume. There's a person in pants carrying what looks like a yellow messenger bag that they apparently put the gun in after the murder. I have no opinion on their footwear.

1/9/2025, 6:35:51 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

No, these are air-launched ground strike cruise missiles with range of more than 400km, maybe 600km. I haven't seen consistent reliable specifications. They are apparently based on the powered JDAM project.

1/9/2025, 6:15:39 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Trans people are 1% of the US population and are responsible for 0.06% of US mass shootings in the 2020s. That means cis people commit mass shootings at about 17x the rate that trans people do. Do you want to forcibly transition 99% of the US population to reduce mass shootings?

1/9/2025, 5:41:52 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

There was never any risk of Norway buying US frigates. Our new frigates are a variation on the European Multi-Mission Frigates (FREMM) built by Fincantiere. They may well be assembled in the US, but even if they are, it's a European design using many European parts.

1/9/2025, 4:55:33 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

It's bizarre how transparently terrified the T* administration is of🇨🇳. Calling it Modi's war, rather than Putin's, is incredibly stupid. Even if you want to put the blame on a buyer of🇷🇺n products,rather than the man who invaded, why not attack the leader of the nation that imports the most🇷🇺n oil,🇨🇳?

1/9/2025, 3:57:01 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I hope lots of senior officers were hanging out in that impressive building.

1/9/2025, 2:07:36 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Well, Thomas Jefferson did mention a solution for situations where the people aren't getting what they need from their government: "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants. It is its natural manure." www.monticello.org/research-edu...

1/9/2025, 2:05:27 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

When you attack the legitimacy of democracy, you help autocrats destroy it. When you suggest a false equivalence between the imperfectly good & the evil, you help the evil. But, if pretending they're all the same makes you feel clever, who am I to criticize you for helping push us all into slavery?

31/8/2025, 8:56:08 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

And I haven't seen a shred of evidence Robin Westman ever received any hormone therapy, let alone surgery, which is fairly uncommon.

31/8/2025, 8:50:04 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Or we could admit that a fair proportion of biological males are too violent & impulsive to be given free access to tools for mass killing & sensibly regulate guns. That's what you'd advocate if you cared about victims of mass shootings & not just spreading hate against those who differ from you.

31/8/2025, 5:59:48 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Assuming this 1 still identified as trans, that'd mean 0.06% of our recent mass shooters are trans. ~1% of our population identifies as trans, meaning cis people are >16x more likely than trans people to commit mass shootings. Shall we forcibly transition 99% of the population to cut mass shootings?

31/8/2025, 5:59:48 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

To you, with thousands of mass shootings in the past decade, the fact this one involved an apparent transgender shooter means this is a trans problem? In the '20s we've had 3,294 mass shootings 1 trans shooter in '23 & this 1 who identified as trans as a child, but we don't know if they still did.

31/8/2025, 5:59:48 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

-2ndary sanctions on nations buying🇷🇺n oil & gas unless they pay $30/bbl to🇺🇦. -give🇺🇦all frozen🇷🇺n assets after paying off loans secured against earning on those assets as a down payment on reparations. -Watch🇺🇦build & buy enough weapons to destroy🇷🇺's arms industry, army, & Air Force. -Sit back & laugh.

31/8/2025, 5:03:26 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

-🇪🇺strips Hungary of voting rights. If the votes aren't available, 🇪🇺n nations that oppose🇷🇺sign a treaty dissolving & forming EU 2.0 without Hungary & its supporters. -🇪🇺bans all imports from🇷🇺 & expels🇷🇺n nationals, allowing dual citizens to renounce.

31/8/2025, 5:03:26 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I think those who want to make significant territorial concessions are repeating Neville Chamberlain's mistakes, but unlike you or me, they're suffering the consequences of war & I accept that's their choice to make. There's a better answer without🇺🇸help, but🇪🇺would need backbone to get there.

31/8/2025, 5:03:26 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

That majority includes people who want to give🇷🇺 everything it holds, people who hope negotiations with other nations will get🇷🇺out of100% of 🇺🇦, people hoping to give up only Crimea, probably at least some who only want give up the Sevastopol naval base, & others with different goals in mind.

31/8/2025, 5:03:26 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

There's no poll saying🇺🇦ns want to give🇷🇺Crimea, most of Donbas & Zaporizhzhia & a big part of Kherson. That poll shows that more want to negotiate with nations other than Russia to end the war than want to continue to fight until every inch of land is reclaimed by force

31/8/2025, 5:03:26 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I was too hard on you. You don't like🇺🇦, but you don't love Putin either. You want to keep🇺🇦out of the EU unless there are special limitations to keep it poor & you want to appease🇷🇺with gifts of🇺🇦n territory. Like Neville Chamberlain, you pretend🇷🇺won't be back for more.

31/8/2025, 5:03:26 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

These are going to Denmark, not Ukraine.

31/8/2025, 3:19:57 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

So, what they're saying is that Ukraine needs to double the tempo and hit oil export pipelines too. Interrupting oil exports should work even better than strangling the supply of gasoline & diesel.

31/8/2025, 3:17:21 PM | 2 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Go fuck yourself, Putin lover.

31/8/2025, 3:03:57 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Why impose "special" burdens on the nation losing 100s of 1000s of people defending🇪🇺& whose people are poorer than the rest of🇪🇺's? Better that🇪🇺's coddled farmers adjust to the end of protection from global market prices instead? High prices & subsidies enrich owners of tiny unproductive farms.

31/8/2025, 3:02:51 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Maybe Hungary should be next?

31/8/2025, 2:34:37 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Don't transfer🇷🇺n assets to a fund (administered at great profit by🇪🇺n firms) to eventually leak money over l a few decades to 🇪🇺n contractors to get rich rebuilding🇺🇦. Just give🇺🇦the €€ tow spend as it needs. Let it build & buy enough weapons to destroy🇷🇺's economy & military & force it out of🇺🇦.

31/8/2025, 6:10:59 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

If Russia didn't want its expensive toys blown up, why would it have brought them to Ukraine?

31/8/2025, 5:52:21 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

His motivations make perfect sense If you view him as a sociopath seeking a world run by a small clique of brutal sociopathic dictators ruling empires that cover the Earth. His actions, on the other hand, don't always make sense because he's deeply stupid & mistrusts people who know actual facts.

30/8/2025, 7:31:22 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

T* consistently respects bullies, thugs, con men, mobsters & brutal dictators thinking their lack of conscience, empathy or consideration are smart. He has contempt for their weak, poor, powerless, or gullible victims, including the brave who die in war, who he sees as suckers & losers.

30/8/2025, 7:31:22 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social)

Portugal's president accurately says T* acts as a🇷🇺n asset, not that he's an "agent," specifically noting he's not suggesting any threats (kompromat). T*'s an asset because his acts aid🇷🇺militarily & in intelligence. I think T* craves Putin's approval & wants to be like him & has contempt for🇺🇦.

30/8/2025, 7:31:22 PM | 2 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

T* basically worships Putin who's everything T* wants to be. They share the goal of a world dominated by a few brutal imperialist dictators. That's T*'s main motivation. He may also hope for 🇷🇺n propaganda, electoral interference, & corrupt dealings. Threats or an explicit payment deal aren't needed.

30/8/2025, 4:55:56 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

He doesn't say "agent," which is untrue. He says T*'s an "asset," which is objectively true, as he points out. In this context, "asset" means T* acts for the intelligence or military benefit of🇷🇺for whatever reason. He's clear he's not saying🇷🇺is threatening T* (e.g., with kompromat).

30/8/2025, 4:55:56 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

...but this can *hit

30/8/2025, 3:27:55 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Unfortunately, 🇺🇦 probably needs 🇺🇸's approval of targets in Russia, but this can but essentially all 🇷🇺n targets in 🇺🇦, but only the 🇷🇺n oblasts closest to 🇺🇦.

30/8/2025, 3:26:57 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

It delivers a 500 lb warhead >400km for about $253k, including training & maintenance. 1st deliveries are in October with 3,350 to be delivered within a 2-3 years. Where can🇺🇦buy that capacity so cheap? It's cheap because it's just a bomb with wings & guidance (JDAM) + a small motor, powered JDAM.

30/8/2025, 3:22:37 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social)

Bullies, con men, thugs, & brutal dictators are smart people T* respects & wants to be like. Their victims & those who did in war, including 🇺🇸's war dead, are losers he holds in contempt. Anyone who wants the victims not to be abused is a sucker & a loser too. This explains 99% of what he does.

30/8/2025, 2:54:54 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Trump has a weird obsession with oil & doesn't give a shit about people. To him, the natural order of things is for the strong-who be worships-to brutalize the weak-who disgust him-& for everyone to burn lots of coal & oil, which he sees as the basis of a strong economy. 🇷🇺Is being normal, 🇺🇦isn't

30/8/2025, 2:44:05 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

It doesn't need to work for him to play with it.

30/8/2025, 2:32:15 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I'm patiently hoping they're preparing a massive strike with 50 or more Flamingos. I'd laugh myself sick if🇷🇺woke up one morning with its Ministry of Defense HQ a burning wreck, the Trans-Siberian Pipeline & other major pipelines broken at multiple points, refineries & munitions plants on fire, etc.

30/8/2025, 5:40:57 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

100 decoys should be less than $5 million more, probably a lot less. If you assume full export price for the remaining 31 missiles, you might get another $100M or so, but I think Russia's cost of production likely averages no more than a couple million each.

30/8/2025, 4:15:33 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

I can't see any way this cost close to $1B. If they launched 600 Shaheds or Shahed decoys & you optimistically assume only 100 were decoys (I'd guess >half are) & you assume 🇷🇺n-made Shaheds cost $200k, which is about what Iran charged (I'd guess <$100k), that would only be $100M for 500 Shaheds.

30/8/2025, 4:15:33 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

For clarity, this pipeline is currently used for gasoline, not oil, which is why it affects fuel supplies in the Moscow area. That's probably also why it burned so explosively.

29/8/2025, 10:09:51 PM | 4 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Ooh. Does that oil cool and become impractically viscous in winter if it stops flowing? God, would that be hard to fix. What would they do? Heat and drain the pipeline a bit at a time? Wait for a sunny day in spring? Just pump all the oil out of any rupture to avoid it hardening in the pipe?

29/8/2025, 10:08:16 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social)

Wait! We plan to deport migrants from other nations to South Sudan?! Have things gotten better since March when the UN warned it was on the "brink of relapse into civil war" due to ongoing political instability, ethnic violence, & humanitarian crises? Where next? Russian-occupied parts of Donbas?

29/8/2025, 5:38:26 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

It does kinda look like he had the wrong end pointed forward though.

29/8/2025, 5:22:39 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

But how do you point a weapon in the wrong direction by accident? Doesn't it have a sight and some sort of trigger? I think those don't work well if you're on the wrong side of them.

29/8/2025, 5:20:45 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Burning residential buildings aren't a good sign. Sometimes falling debris is real, but Ukraine needs to be clear that it never targets civilians.

29/8/2025, 5:15:01 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Be strong, Mark. A lot of people look up to you and the strength of your convictions. Unrelated, after finishing Andor, we watched Rogue One & Star Wars and GOD DAMN you were young then!

29/8/2025, 4:06:47 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Understood. I don't think there's much chance of the US fighting on Russia's side in the next 5-10 years. Maybe after the death camps get fired up. But you're wise not to trust the US or our president at all.

29/8/2025, 12:53:32 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Not actually. Mussolini was ousted in a coup in 1943, the military coup leader surrendered to the allies, the Germans seized most of Italy & set up a rival government that I think was nominally led by Mussolini. Piñata time came in 1945, I think shortly after German forces in Italy surrendered.

29/8/2025, 12:50:43 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

It's unanimous. I'll send the Kremlin a quick note asking them to hang Putin upside-down from a lamp pole, by his balls. I know that Mussolini wasn't hung by his balls, but I choose to pretend he was.

29/8/2025, 12:47:28 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

That could explain it.

29/8/2025, 12:43:01 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

He didn't know shit about detecting stealth aircraft. Yes, I understood your point about shaping the information an enemy has about you, but that's not exactly a unique insight & the fact Sun Tzu was Chinese says absolutely nothing.

29/8/2025, 12:41:21 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

All of those I listed probably play a role in whether the team flying Rafales would see the F-35s in the second or two the bay doors were open & be able to track them & return fire. I assume the AMRAAMs would be very visible on IR, at least giving an area for a narrow-field IR search.

29/8/2025, 12:32:55 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

It's hard to discuss how a real "fair" scenario would unfold, because air-to-air combat is uncommon, these planes aren't likely to fight each other, & there are too many variables: 1 on 1? 2 on 2? With AWACS? How near? Is the F-35 carrying missiles externally? What are their trajectories?

29/8/2025, 12:32:55 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Would it? AMRAAM is guided close to its target by the aircraft that fired it, an AWACS, or whatever. It only turns on its radar when it's close to the target. Does launching it give away that much? Genuine question. I have no idea.

28/8/2025, 10:12:14 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture 123xyz.bsky.social (@123xyz.bsky.social) reply parent

Interesting about the F-35's rear radar signature/RCS. Is it bigger than Rafale's front RCS? Surely there are test results out there on how the jamming pod cares against modern BVR missiles. It will be interesting to see how China's anti-stealth radar works out.

28/8/2025, 10:05:40 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view