Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Morgan Stanley AI tech beneficiaries basket -5.5% in past two sessions, its worst two-day drubbing since the period immediately following April 2’s “Liberation Day”
Markets, Twain, Leafs, Survivor
4,981 followers 204 following 2,058 posts
view profile on Bluesky Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Morgan Stanley AI tech beneficiaries basket -5.5% in past two sessions, its worst two-day drubbing since the period immediately following April 2’s “Liberation Day”
angel (@spx.fyi) reposted reply parent
basically if you can’t meme it, you do not understand something well
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
just about trying to capture essence of a story in a more palpably identifiable way to make the actual copy more readily understandable
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
living up to my year-long edict of “more and more on short posts I find myself thinking ‘don’t write the post until you know the meme you can post with it first’”
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Nvidia falls as the chip designer pushes back against "erroneous chatter" of supply constraints sherwood.news/markets/nvid... $NVDA
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
Circle’s recent post-IPO secondary was basically providing a liquidity event for major holders too, based on the terms of its prospectus
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
been on this for a bit sherwood.news/markets/why-...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
Their ipo was not a 180d expiry, had different terms
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
“August was another record month for SPX 0DTE options trading, averaging ~2.4M contracts a day and making up a record 62.4% of overall SPX volume” -Cboe
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Magnetar dialed down its CoreWeave position and put on the Mark Cuban collar trade sherwood.news/markets/core... $CRWV
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
CoreWeave’s general counsel Kristen McVeety is living the fcking dream. Joins the company in March 22, just sold all her direct position for $30 million and has another ~$9M chilling in a grantor-retained annuity trust. You would never see me again (I’d still post tho)
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
🎶Stay below 5. Stay below 5. Ai ai ai ai stay below fiiiii-eyi-iiiiiii-eyi-iiiiiiiive🎶
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Bouts of stock market volatility as US 30-year yields push briskly towards/above 5% have been common but also more brief/limited with each occurrence
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
say what you will about man u, you need a triple shot of caffeine to still be awake watching liverpool-arsenal
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
BLOW THE DAMN WHISTLE
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Arsenal fans in shambles
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
BALL DON'T LIE WOOOOOOOOO
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Zirkzee just lacks the quality
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
Send the firefighters home.
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
What did I say about Dalot tucking in?!!?!?
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
PUT OUT THE FIRE
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Burn it all down.
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Amad. My dude. Come onnnnnnnn
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Our right side is formulaic but oh so powerful and our left side is fluid and completely unpredictable, this is beautiful.
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Wtaf I love Mason Mount now
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
He played 90 mins so now he can't play 60 it seems
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
It's kinda gone to shit with cunha out tho
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
I mean yeah but this is the most interesting way I've seen him try to have a build up and shape when we lose the ball in which Casemiro isn't really called up to do much in either
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
Dalot is playing up high. Shaw is gonna drift up wide. Mason is tucking in as legs in midfield. This looks....good?
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Opendoor’s new strategy: engage with its retail audience and do some of the things they’re asking $OPEN sherwood.news/markets/open...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Alibaba AI chip in development the latest sign of China testing unchartered waters: “just how much AI development can we do without Nvidia?” sherwood.news/markets/nvid...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
China: “We’ll figure out how to make it up in volume with AI chips before y’all agree on digging up enough more rare earths”
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
to repeat, calling this a goat rodeo is an insult to talented goats
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
SUPER MICRO WARNS THAT IT STILL HAS ACCOUNTING PROBLEMS I think the only way to be a cheap AI-linked stock is to have a multi-year run of accounting issues that just happen to coincide with an inability to hit sales targets. sherwood.news/markets/supe... $SMCI
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Pretty much the only way to make Nvidia’s sales look anything less than amazeballs is to compare it to itself. And on that note, its sales surprise -- in $ terms -- is now lower than it was when the AI boom kicked off. sherwood.news/markets/nvid... $NVDA
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
A week with Nvidia earnings and the attempted firing of a Federal Reserve official is running with S&P 500 realized vol of sub-2 so far.
Isaiah Bishop (@isaiahbishop.bsky.social) reposted
its managed to be more boring than i thought possible
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Wall Street is going with a “keep calm and carry on (raising price targets)” mantra following Nvidia’s ho-hum Q2 earnings sherwood.news/markets/trad... $NVDA
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
I am glad to be a source of joy for people
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Where is Nvidia currently trading in after-hours? oh, you know, about $176.50, not too far off max pain for Friday’s expiry
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
When’s the last time anyone heard Jensen be this low energy? More like JEBsen....
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
i can’t say “burn it to the ground” bc we’re clearly already six feet under
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
lol we lost on PKs
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
If demand > supply is what’s going on, shouldn’t CoreWeave get bid up like crazy on Nvidia data center revenue misses?
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
US government will get the 15% of H20 sales in the mail along with the $550 billion from Japan.
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Nvidia’s net other income alone (i.e. CoreWeave) would be the 44th most profitable member of the S&P 500, a smidge behind McDonald’s. sherwood.news/markets/nvid...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
CoreWeave’s killer run played a big role in juicing Nvidia’s $2.2 billion “net other income” in Q2 $CRWV $NVDA
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
more like OUTEOS. Or adios.
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Well, we’ll be even rested for Premier League games now.
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
www.youtube.com/watch?v=P41g...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
If Man United were a stock it’d be a value trap that tumbles 20% after somehow missing the very low bar for earnings
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Things are looking Grim(sby)
it’s me, aubrey plaza accord (@sellingtheta.bsky.social) reposted
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
i hate my life
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Morgan Stanley has a very interesting way of forecasting AWS revenue growth: mapping it onto how much data center square footage Amazon’s adding. $AMZN sherwood.news/markets/morg...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Taylor Swift Day 2 markets coverage got me ready for a run like
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Signet Jewelers jumps as the stock basks in the 🎶Afterglow🎶 of Taylor Swift’s engagement to Travis Kelce. $SIG At 10:20 a.m. ET, daily accumulated volumes were about 8x their one-month average. sherwood.news/markets/sign...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
🎶What's a girl gonna do? A diamond's gotta shine🎶 Signet Jewelers up 4.6% today after T-Swift/Kelce engagement
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
American Eagle soars after announcing collaboration with Travis Kelce (Taylor Swift’s fiancé) sherwood.news/markets/amer...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
If Nvidia’s expected post-earnings swing in market cap were a company, it’d be the 32nd-largest stock in the S&P 500. sherwood.news/markets/here...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Jensen Huang’s going to have to announce a merger with Apple to get my attention at this rate
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Uh, quiet part out loud, dude *TRUMP: WILL HAVE MAJORITY SHORTLY ON FED
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
Brilliant Earth +20% on T-Swift/Kelce engagement sherwood.news/markets/sign...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Whatever happened to “I love shiny things but I’d marry you with paper rings”?!?!? sherwood.news/markets/sign...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Shares of Signet Jewelers briefly popped after the Taylor Swift-Travis Kelce engagement announcement
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m very happy for them!
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
More references to Howard Lutnick than Scott Bessent in news articles for three straight sessions, first time that’s happened since March
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Usually, Wall Street waits until Nvidia reports stellar results to hike price targets en masse. This time, they’re front-running the Q2 results. The average price target is up 7.7% over the past month, the fastest growth this year. $NVDA sherwood.news/markets/wall...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
More like Sydney Swooney sherwood.news/markets/amer...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
...well then
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
The sad part is Casemiro is a couple years younger than me. I've become that guy.
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
GOD BLESS VAR
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
The year is 2057. The head of Casemiro, encased in a solution of formaldehyde, is starting as a six for United.
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Best day for $XLY (consumer discretionary sector ETF) since May 12 -- the China trade truce
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Powell seemingly answered a) today with “no” and with nod to “policy in restrictive territory” gave a signal as to when b) enters the equation
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Smooth brain: non-committal and data dependent into 70% cut pricing would be bearish
Dan Davies (@dsquareddigest.bsky.social) reposted
everything which CEOs claim about remote working is actually true of AI...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
S&P 500 quietly ties its longest losing streak since April 2024.
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
If I were Powell I would simply do this instead of gritting my teeth and staying on as a governor www.youtube.com/watch?v=RJax...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
is that up yet?
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
Now, the reason I can’t quite go overboard with that take is because a) who wants to read about boring b) their option activity still exists and is very much a combo of YOLO + overwriting that index exposure with 0DTEs
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
In aggregate, retail traders have been selling single stocks and buying index ETFs this year, arguably adopting a much more boring and traditionally-espoused approach, something that you read about precisely never. (per JPM data)
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
the acronyms in food and bev never fail to blow my mind and i hate most of them....THIS is an except
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Palantir from >10% above its 20-day moving average to >10% below its 20-day moving average in less than five trading days $PLTR
Rani Molla (@rani.bsky.social) reposted
The share of Amazon orders including groceries have more than doubled in the last decade. Expect that to grow with Amazon’s free same-day grocery announcement sherwood.news/tech/grocery...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
what’s in a nAIme? Rough couple days for companies that are trying very hard to remind you they’re in the AI business by literally having “AI” in their name. sherwood.news/markets/addi...
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)
Bank of America’s US AI beneficiaries basket cleanly through the 50-day for first time since April.
Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social) reply parent
i will say there is a lot in this that makes me go “i like the cut of this guy’s jib.” Separately I’ve also reverted back to the “use target ranges for inflation to allow, these point targets do more harm than good” idea