@bgsilverback73.bsky.social the most recent eyes on episode of eyes on forced me to consider a possibility I never had previously. The US might not come to the aid of a NATO ally invoking article 5. Is this just where we are at?
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"Aid" can mean anything, a fellow Nato country can just send some helmets.
aug 27, 2025, 11:21 am • 1 0 • view
That's the feeling I got from the pod. As a kid who grew up in the Cold war I thought we were all ride or die with the homies. Then reenforced after they had our back in the stan. Basically any security guarantee we give Ukraine isn't worth the paper it's written on (Budapest memorandum.)
aug 27, 2025, 11:26 am • 0 0 • view
There's are reasons to be positive, look at how much help Ukraine has had. It's not even in Nato. Nato has never been bigger or more modern. Russia has never been weaker.
aug 27, 2025, 11:31 am • 0 0 • view
I guess I'm cynical. For Europe it's self preservation. For the US it seems like a tight rope between MIC campaign donors getting an ROI and whatever the rus influence is on elected officials.
aug 27, 2025, 11:37 am • 0 0 • view
I tend to agree with @matthewnewell.bsky.social in that we (as in the U.S. needs to gain clarity and vocalize that understanding on what "aid" entails. The issue is that even if we do...will the current (or any future) administration hold to it?
aug 30, 2025, 9:24 pm • 1 0 • view
I’ve thought this for a while. It’s almost bound to happen if they’re still in charge when it goes down. On the plus side, I think Europe can hold them off until wiser heads prevail
aug 27, 2025, 11:48 am • 0 0 • view
Do the orcs have the bodies anymore to make a move? Maybe trump 2028?
aug 27, 2025, 11:55 am • 2 0 • view
Exactly. With eight years of planning they couldn’t take Kiev. Now with three years of, uh, extensive training, even Talinn looks out of reach
aug 27, 2025, 11:58 am • 0 0 • view
I won't discount the institutional knowledge they are gaining from this long in the fight.
aug 27, 2025, 12:12 pm • 0 0 • view
But as you say, the bodies simply aren’t there to implement much
aug 27, 2025, 12:54 pm • 0 0 • view
3 battalions of russian boys turn 18 each day...
aug 27, 2025, 1:00 pm • 0 0 • view
…every day for three years, yet couldn’t hold, nonetheless retake, Kharkiv
aug 27, 2025, 2:44 pm • 1 0 • view