avatar
dick cheney is brat @captainahab.bsky.social

I suspect most of the people announcing that they would abstain in 2028 for reasons xyz are bullshitting though.

aug 15, 2025, 5:20 pm • 1 0

Replies

avatar
mandoqueer @mandoqueer.itch.io

I think people won't have to because he won't actually be the nominee I think if you're worried at all you should join in on the Newsom hate mob just to make double sure he *isn't* the nominee

aug 15, 2025, 5:23 pm • 11 0 • view
avatar
dick cheney is brat @captainahab.bsky.social

It's hard for me to see him losing the primary if he personally erases 4-5 GOP House members tbh. I hate on Newsom plenty, I just don't have to do it on here because everyone here hates him too lol.

aug 15, 2025, 5:29 pm • 0 0 • view
avatar
mandoqueer @mandoqueer.itch.io

I'm sure in the 3 years we have between now and the primary this will not matter because other people who are very much planning to run are also clearly planning to do their own gerrymandering

aug 15, 2025, 5:31 pm • 6 0 • view
avatar
dick cheney is brat @captainahab.bsky.social

Pritzker doesn't really have much juice left, IL is already quite gerrymandered. New York iirc has some pretty bad procedural obstacles (even more than CA) that makes it impossible for the lines to be changed until 28 (and I don't think Hochul is a serious threat to Newsom anyway).

aug 15, 2025, 5:43 pm • 0 0 • view
avatar
dick cheney is brat @captainahab.bsky.social

Shapiro and Whitmer have split legislatures with GOP control. Walz doesn't have control until Hoffman's seat is filled, by which point it will probably be too late. Wes Moore can do one, but he only has one R to eliminate.

aug 15, 2025, 5:49 pm • 0 0 • view
avatar
mandoqueer @mandoqueer.itch.io

alternatively: The GOP is so turbo fucked in the next midterms that Newsom's extra CA seats don't make that much of a visible difference alternatively alternatively: It's 2 years from the midterms so it doesn't matter

aug 15, 2025, 6:11 pm • 2 0 • view
avatar
dick cheney is brat @captainahab.bsky.social

I'm sympathetic to that view but this is going to get a ton of media coverage because of the referendum component. Polling suggests it's gonna be competitive.

aug 15, 2025, 6:14 pm • 0 0 • view
avatar
mandoqueer @mandoqueer.itch.io

in California probably but he has to win everywhere

aug 15, 2025, 6:21 pm • 1 0 • view
avatar
mandoqueer @mandoqueer.itch.io

oh also he's term limited in 2026 so for those two years he won't be able to use the governorship as a platform against Trump and other people will 100% be picking up the slack. Two years is a long time.

aug 16, 2025, 1:23 am • 1 0 • view