2/3 Russia, The Junior Partner • India buys cheap Russian oil, boosting its energy security while keeping Moscow dependent. If Russia collapses, India pivots back to Gulf suppliers. • China props up Russia with trade & tech, but only on its terms. Moscow is reduced to a junior partner.
3/3 Russia’s last resort: China wins either way. For Modi & Xi, Putin is just a bargaining chip with the West. They gain leverage, he clings for survival. The moment he’s more trouble than he’s worth, they’ll cut him loose—one deal with Washington could seal it.
It's the end of summer and the little dictator is so pale. Hiding underground permanently will do that for you!
When is Russia weak enough for China to start eyeing their eastern provinces? Would Russia use nukes to defend them? CAN Russia use nukes to defend them? Why haven't they conducted an underground nuclear test to certify they still work?
When Moscow is bombed, Russia will no longer exist What kind of nukes in Russia?! Russia has no nuclear weapons or nukes
It definitely USED to have a large arsenal of working nukes, but there's reason to think it hasn't been well-maintained since about a decade before the collapse of the USSR. And nukes are high-maintenance; if not well-maintained they very well may not work, at least as intended.
I couldn't tell you why exactly, but ionizing radiation makes metal brittle, so as I understand it metal parts must be replaced on a schedule, or any number of failure conditions may obtain. And then there's the problem of tritium having a half-life of about twelve years.
If you don't have the ability to produce tritium then every twelve years your arsenal halves in size as you cannibalize your arsenal to supply your arsenal. Russia may have gone through four generations of this cycle. And that assumes they're managing the situation competently.
Deuterium and tritium are used for fusion, that is, for strategic thermonuclear bombs. Thermonuclear bombs make up a small percentage of every nuclear arsenal in the world. Tritium can be made from deuterium. In 2003, Iran and Russia built a reactor to obtain deuterium in Iran. To no avail!
Cesium is used as a trigger in nuclear warheads. That boost is relative and in most cases small tactical nuclear warheads are aimed for, not for boosted.
Most of our warheads are not small tactical nuclear warheads. And you were wrong about the tritium. It is used for fission bombs.
It has nothing to do with maintenance. By 2000, Russia dismantled 80% of Russian and Ukrainian nuclear weapons and sold them to the West as fuel for NPPs. Russia has sold off all of Iran's enriched uranium by October 2024. Since 2003, Iran and Russia have tried unsuccessfully to make nuclear weapons
Eh I'm not sure I buy these claims but I'm all ears if you can cite sources.
I will give you concrete evidence and documents if you are a person from the government or service, but not American=Russian
Russia has to sell maybe this cheap that they can either repair their Refineeries and Pipelines or feed their People. If they don't repair the Pipelines they might have enough Oil for Winter. Basically the Russians can Choose next Winter: Freeze or Starve.