I also think the original analysis is missing some context. Dem tailwinds were far stronger in 2020 than the other two cycles. 2020 election was playing the Jazz, other two not so much.

Yeah 2020 was definitely a referendum against Trump. HOWEVER, I don’t think it should be wholly discounted that Joe Biden was Joe Biden the whole way through. For better or worse, he had his own North stars.

Yeah for clarity, not saying he was a bad candidate, but I think the one-on-one comps are a little unfair. To 2024 Kamala, for example, incumbent parties got crushed around the world based largely on post-COVID economics abcnews.go.com/538/democrat...

I assume this means you think Obama and Biden moved left. If so, sure! Do that!