Do we known if his opponent is uniquely awful
Do we known if his opponent is uniquely awful
bsky.app/profile/davi...
Wow. That really is an impressive victory then
With over 95% in, Keishan Scott (D) defeats William Oden (R) by 41.2 points in a district Kamala Harris only won by 5.1 points. That's a Dem overperformance of 36.1 points.
And it doesn't look like his opponent sucked either. The previous Dem had no GOP opponent in 2024, but in 2022 they won by 20.1 points, so this is still a massive overperformance no matter how you slice it. bsky.app/profile/davi...
He had the endorsements of many prominent Republicans in the state. I'd honestly never heard of him, but he seems like the ideal Republican candidate for this district. www.facebook.com/profile.php?...
Our likely voters are extremely motivated. What about turnout relative to past elections? Increased turnout is essential for Dems.
Using @the-downballot.com data it looks like this brings Dems 2025 avg. Special Election overperformance up to 16.5 points across 23 races, which is awesome (the last one in NY was a special case but still). docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
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