2. Europe’s Role – Europe still possesses the industrial and economic capacity to ensure Ukraine’s victory—defined as preserving Ukraine’s ability to reject Russian demands. 4/5
Replies
Europe’s minimum theory of victory should be to demonstrate to Russia that no matter how long the war lasts, European support will sustain Ukraine’s resistance. As long as Ukraine is not left to fight alone, time works against Russia. 5/5
feb 12, 2025, 6:58 pm • 177 31 • view
But - and this might be important - is that actually true or possible?
feb 13, 2025, 8:12 am • 0 0 • view
That is, since we needed to be in that position yesterday, we need to be in a position to make this guarantee now. And I don’t think we are.
feb 13, 2025, 8:21 am • 0 0 • view
@skyview.social unroll
feb 14, 2025, 10:38 am • 0 0 • view
@unrollplease.bsky.social
feb 14, 2025, 6:30 am • 0 0 • view
Potentially this should even improve Ukraine’s position. With a potential pull-out of the U.S., it could make mobilization efforts in the Ukraine easier as well as To force the Europeans to support more. As an optimistic scenario/thought
feb 12, 2025, 7:32 pm • 11 1 • view
Even if the US would fund Russia?
feb 12, 2025, 7:00 pm • 2 0 • view
Or invade Greenland?
feb 12, 2025, 7:01 pm • 2 0 • view
Or both?
feb 12, 2025, 7:02 pm • 2 0 • view
I would expect the United States would involve itself in other quagmires more quickly. They'll have their hands full trying to deliver Trump's Gaza policy, take and hold Panama, impose on Mexico... while the administrative state is being cut to ribbons by Musk.
feb 12, 2025, 7:09 pm • 4 0 • view
👍 THX, Mr Hoffmann ! 🙏 That answers my thought --- wether Europe can upramp enough capabilities. To your estimate: how much upramping was undertaken in the last 3 years ? across the continent ? [ I am preared for unpleasant answer...]
feb 12, 2025, 10:40 pm • 0 0 • view
Europe has a choice - capitulate to Trump and let Russia rule them or help Ukraine defeat Russia permanently. Russia is right on the edge, Trump's handing them a life preserver.
feb 12, 2025, 11:46 pm • 18 3 • view
📌
feb 13, 2025, 12:58 am • 0 0 • view
Eu can do this alone without aid/interference from the US
feb 13, 2025, 2:26 am • 1 1 • view
Yup. That's what Rutte & Olaf said: As long as it takes
feb 12, 2025, 9:04 pm • 1 0 • view
Who in Europe will stand up against Trump's peace plan? No German candidate for the office of chancellor.
feb 13, 2025, 12:06 am • 1 0 • view
And that is what is really frightening. And Scholz talks about limiting rearmament.
feb 13, 2025, 4:39 am • 2 0 • view
Our Chancellor's words are pathetic. First the turning point and then these political lapses. No strength, no backbone, no class.
feb 13, 2025, 8:35 am • 1 0 • view
No trust in Scholz, but he won't be chancellor for much longer. What's worse: I don't trust Merz either. No one can govern against a majority, and I fear that a majority of the German people will be happy with an end of the war, even if it comes at the price of a capitulation of Ukraine.
feb 13, 2025, 8:20 am • 0 0 • view
Let's wait and see. The fact that Europe is allowed to take care of Ukraine. Yes, Scholz will not get a big chapter in the history books. On the other hand, he has responsibility for the country. What would we do in his place?
feb 13, 2025, 8:30 am • 1 0 • view
Okay, ich steige auf Deutsch um. 1. Ukraine weiterhin in Kooperation mit den europäischen Partnern unterstützen. Mit "weiterhin" meine ich: mehr als vorher. 2. Pläne für eine Friedensordnung entwerfen. Ohne USA kein Nato-Beitritt. Also etwas anderes.
feb 13, 2025, 8:35 am • 1 0 • view
Germans interpret the war through the lens of World War 2, meaning that they consider capitulation not so bad, occupation not so bad, dictatorship not so bad, and deep down in their hearts they still believe that might makes right and that those who are weaker should be reasonable and give in.
feb 13, 2025, 8:20 am • 0 0 • view