That is Ukraine’s strongest security guarantee. If it can field 3,000 to 5,000 of these (and similar) missiles, ready within 24 to 48 hours to destroy upward of 25% of Russia’s economic output, further Russian aggression becomes untenable. 2/4
That is Ukraine’s strongest security guarantee. If it can field 3,000 to 5,000 of these (and similar) missiles, ready within 24 to 48 hours to destroy upward of 25% of Russia’s economic output, further Russian aggression becomes untenable. 2/4
That's 100 million USD in GDP destroyed per missile. How realistic is that?
Ukraines *own* weapons are more or less its only working security guarantee. Of course, they need not only carriers but some decent warheads. And Russia has no say at that. Or did we allow the WP to determine the arms stationed in Westgermany or Northkorea re Southkorea?
So be prepared for two things: 1) Russia will beat the nuclear drums to pressure Western states into forcing Ukraine to call off strikes on Russian industry. 3/4
2) Russia and its proxies in the West will insist that any peace deal must include Ukraine’s comprehensive disarmament in the missile domain (without of course having the same expectation for Russia). 4/4
That's why there will be no peace deal without a strong and victorious Ukraine. We, the Europeans have to decide now, on wich side we want to stand. The strong side for peace and democracy in Europe including Ukraine and hopefully one day even in Russia? Or on the weak side—unfree and dominated?
Ukraine will hopefully not make the same mistake twice: Surrendering their missile potential.
Russia's continuing aggression has awoken something in Ukraine that the Russians will regret for a very long time, I suspect. Ukraine won't be cowed into some toothless paper tiger agreement, not with these weapons on hand.
Everyone has learn the Budapest lesson. Ukraine won’t accept any proposals of disarmament. I believe it will be quite the opposite. The strongest security guarantee is strong Ukr army, missiles included.
They could sign a memorandum somewhere providing security guarantees in exchange for giving them up?
Like disarmament that happened earlier and enabled Russian invasion "...shipments included 575 Kh-55 subsonic missiles...along with 386 Kh-22 missiles" www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/1/... “Ukraine...was the weakest international actor of the three...under pressure from both sides to be ‘a good sport’”
This is why there is strong incentive for Ukraine to inflict maximum damage to RU before considering engaging in any settlement. That damage is also the only thing that will weaken the RU position. Both in perception & reality inside russia. The war will continue, regardless of the current theatre.
Well, in the end, not Europe is guaranteeing Ukraine's security, but Ukraine is guaranteeing Europe's security. 😊
💯💯💯💯💯🍁🇺🇦🇫🇮🇸🇪
5000/48 hours. Keep dreaming.🤔