I expect the GOP government will shut down this fall because the Vance-Trump govt isn't interested in govt that responds to American needs or Americans who aren't already wealthy & supportive of the inflationary big billionaire bill. I expect the USD to fall.
Inflation is you paying more/less for the same service/product. Whether it's the result of govt policies, pricing for profit (be some do have more money & can pay without pain, while others are captured, eg need to eat & heat), or constraining supply (OPEC strategy), it's inflation & it's man-made.
Just like "AI" is manmade. (last week was explaining all this to graduating engineering students who didn't know places like Stanford were studying AI in the 1950s/1950s or that genX graduated into similarly poor career prospects).