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Leitmotif in a Minor Key @convivialbrodude.bsky.social

I just wish we had tried not sending Israel all of the bullets and bombs and weapons. They are reliant on us for those. I'm not saying they would've stopped, but a weak effort is better than no effort.

jul 24, 2025, 11:47 pm • 4 0

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K. Chen @tznkai.bsky.social

I still think the most likely outcome of not sending precision munitions was Israel using its dumber bombs more often killing more people while stepping up production of its own domestic arms industry.

jul 24, 2025, 11:51 pm • 6 1 • view
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K. Chen @tznkai.bsky.social

With the benefit of hindsight: 1. The Israeli public is at least as out of their minds as the US public was after 9/11, probably more 2. Netanyahu is willing to take a lot of risks to keep the war going and 'successful' 3. The Iranian proxies are less resilient than I would have thought

jul 24, 2025, 11:53 pm • 13 1 • view
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K. Chen @tznkai.bsky.social

But also with that same benefit of hindsight 4. Public distancing from Israel should have been more aggressive 5. Especially sanctions against the far right 6. More US aid to Gaza, more forcefully, earlier and longer.

jul 24, 2025, 11:54 pm • 12 1 • view
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Leitmotif in a Minor Key @convivialbrodude.bsky.social

That's likely true but they're using smart bombs on civilians and regularly shooting teenagers in the crotch so I'd rather just not be a part of it.

jul 24, 2025, 11:54 pm • 0 0 • view
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Leitmotif in a Minor Key @convivialbrodude.bsky.social

And the 9/11 thing is pertinent because America made so many mistakes afterwards and I had hoped Israel would have learned those lessons but a rabid public is hard to deal with.

jul 24, 2025, 11:58 pm • 2 1 • view
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Leitmotif in a Minor Key @convivialbrodude.bsky.social

As we are learning once again, unfortunately.

jul 24, 2025, 11:59 pm • 2 1 • view
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K. Chen @tznkai.bsky.social

Yeah, that's really the load-bearing pillar of my analysis and also why I think any outside leverage is much weaker than it looks even if you can show on paper it would cripple Israel's economy or whatever.

jul 25, 2025, 12:00 am • 3 1 • view
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Leitmotif in a Minor Key @convivialbrodude.bsky.social

That makes sense. I used to believe in a lot more load-bearing pillars. If they couldn't sustain America I'm not sure about much more fraught countries.

jul 25, 2025, 12:12 am • 1 0 • view
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Leitmotif in a Minor Key @convivialbrodude.bsky.social

*Sorry, realized I should've explained what they are fraught with (danger, creeping fascism, bad things sneaking in) but I appreciate you engaging. Have a good night.

jul 25, 2025, 12:24 am • 2 0 • view